A hub for independent voices and hard truths
What if it is land prices? I always get skeptical when people claim they know exactly when a crash will happen. Then I look at the list of warning signs piling up. The 18.6 year real estate cycle theory says …
Something strange is happening in the bond market. The Fed spent years shrinking its balance sheet through quantitative tightening. Then QT ended in late 2025. Now the Fed’s balance sheet is around $6.7 trillion and has started growing again through …
Import prices in US rose 1.9% month over month. This was higher than expected (forecast around 1.0%). Export prices rose 1.3% month over month. This was also higher than expected (forecast around 0.9%). Import prices up big because of fuel …
But he loves it… pic.twitter.com/mWWMdBobn7 — The Outsider (@calendarking) June 14, 2026
GainsPainsCapital proves wall street is peddling the energy blip narrative to distract from a catastrophic upstream price surge CPI at 4.2 percent is not the story because it is a lagging indicator that captures nothing This chart should concern every …
Social Security benefits could be cut by 22% in six years if action isn’t taken, according to the annual report from the Social Security Board of Trustees. Millions of retirees and other Americans could soon see a significant cut in …
By Peter Reagan In our culture, some people are trend setters and others are trend followers. In the 1980s, for example, Don Johnson and the cast of Miami Vice helped make white slacks and pastel-colored blazers popular. Millions of people followed along, …
by Martin Armstrong The May inflation report came in exactly where many expected, yet the details beneath the headline reveal what is actually taking place in the economy. Consumer prices rose 0.5% for the month and 4.2% year-over-year, the highest …
The Chinese industrial machine is running on overdrive while the local consumer remains trapped in a deflationary hole Notayesmanseconomics notes industrial input prices jumped 5.8 percent year on year while consumer goods prices fell 0.8 percent This is a classic …
By Peter Reagan “But it’s just three feet deep, on average!” There’s an old joke about the economist who drowned crossing a river that was, on average, just three feet deep. That’s the problem with averages. They can be technically accurate …
The latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics confirms that inflation rose to 4.2% in May 2026. This is the highest level since April 2023. The main driver of this surge is the energy shock caused by the war …
Nobody in DC gives a fuck about your wallet. Consumers face brutal inflation and crumbling dollar value. And a 97% loss since 1913 (founding of the Fed) and an 88% loss since 1971 (closing of the gold window and 100% …
U.S. government debt is projected to grow by 9.9% according to consumer data. Federal deficits are now the primary driver of inflationary pressure in the economy. Treasury yields are elevated because the bond market demands a premium. Fiscal spending is …
Gains, Pains & Capital argues Fed policy never eliminated inflation, only displaced it across categories and time Official CPI down from peak levels, but housing still elevated Insurance costs remain one of the fastest rising major expense categories Federal interest …
Core CPI prints are showing a hidden 4% climb in essential goods. Grocery bills for the average family are up $150 in a single month. Shipping giants are adding a $2,000 per container surcharge to mask fuel pressure. The Fed …
The Conference Board’s latest index dropped to 93.1 in May, a clear sign that shoppers are feeling the pinch. Consumers cited soaring prices at the gas pump and grocery checkout as the primary drivers of their sour mood. Mentions of …
Consumer sentiment hits all-time low… Borrowing costs reach 2007 highs… The “temporary” inflation trap explained… 61% of Americans said they had to cut back on groceries https://t.co/lv4IA7FhPJ — The Straits Times (@straits_times) May 23, 2026 The American housing market in …
They want you to blame Iran for inflation. Iran is not the cause. The M2 money supply just hit a new all time record high. When the government prints more money and pumps it into the economy prices go up. …
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump on Iran negotiations: "I'm in no hurry. Everyone is saying, 'Oh, the midterms.' I'm in no hurry." No hurry. Gas is at $4.52. Inflation at 3.8%. The midterms are in 5 months. No hurry at all. https://t.co/vLsxnS0P2F pic.twitter.com/CahAEnAKkL …
Global inflation is now projected to hit 3.9% for the year, a jump that economists warn will hit developing nations the hardest as the cost of imported goods and energy erodes real income. While the U.S. economy is holding at …
Financial records show that the U.S. dollar is worth significantly less today than it was in 2020. Because of cumulative inflation over the last six years, $1 from 2020 now has the buying power of roughly $1.29. This means consumers …
US Treasuries dump hard, yields smash 2007 highs and climb toward 5 percent… Bond vigilantes force inflation forecast straight to 5 percent nightmare… Fed cornered into July rate hike or lose total control of the debt disaster… Just getting started …
The CPI is a total fraud, by design. Its true purpose is to hide how high inflation is, not to accurately report it. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) May 17, 2026 Charlie: The US just can't afford to report inflation accurately, …
There is no other explanation, other than the slight possibility that Scott Bessent is dumber than dirt about the very things that are supposed to be his area of expertise. by David Haggith No sooner did Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent …
President Trump and Xi Jinping are entering the third and final day of the Beijing summit… Insiders say a “Memorandum of Energy Cooperation” is on the table to cool the Iran blockade… Trump is reportedly offering a “pause” on new …
The prospect of a return to Volcker-era economics is no longer a fringe theory. As the 10 year Treasury yield continues its march upward, a growing chorus of macro analysts is warning that the current inflationary spiral is not a …
The intensifying bond market crisis is the final warning that the Federal Reserve has learned absolutely nothing from the disaster of 2022. We are watching Treasury yields surge at the same time that oil is sitting above $100 a barrel …
Inflation at 3.8 percent… Fed still signals rate cuts… The dollar is being sacrificed… pic.twitter.com/ANGARLR75b — Jay (@themarketvitals) May 12, 2026 Just an observation: The +.6% month on month(mom) inflation seen in April is over +6% annualized. We are starting …
LIVE: CPI rips to 3-year high… Gas prices officially up 28 percent YoY… The middle class is being liquidated in real time… Source: fxstreet Gas prices are the main culprit, accounting for nearly half of the monthly spike… Core inflation …
