When the Fed cuts rates while $SPY is trading near all-time highs (within 1%), the market usually falls sharply 2–3 months later. That aligns closely with our model’s prediction of a serious correction beginning in February 2026.
Every time rate cuts begin near market peaks, the aftermath has been very bad.
Historically, the pattern is unmistakable:
– Rate cuts in Sep 2007 → disaster followed
– Rate cuts in July 2019 → sharp sell-off in Aug 2019
– Rate cuts in Sep 2024 → 4 months later, Market nose dived from Feb 2025.
_ Rate cut resumes in Sep 2025 – 3 to 4 months later?
When the Fed cuts rates while $SPY is trading near all-time highs (within 1%), the market usually falls sharply 2–3 months later. That aligns closely with our model’s prediction of a serious correction beginning in February 2026.
Every time rate cuts begin near market peaks, the… pic.twitter.com/bSh5BfBnAM
— optionGeek (@StockShark16) December 8, 2025
AAII investors increased their allocation of stocks to 71.2%. That’s the highest since November 2021. Cash allocation remains near 4-year lows at 14.8%.
I find this meaningful because almost four years ago in November 2021, the prior bull market was nearing its end. The peak… pic.twitter.com/RbYhsxNxyG
— Eric Soda (@EricSoda) December 7, 2025
The Fed is a massive boondoggle.
Wall Street still doesn’t get it. The Fed has become a bloated, backward-looking relic, anchored to broken models and bad data. Secretary Bessent sees it clearly, but investors keep treating Powell’s Fed like an oracle instead of the lagging,… https://t.co/kj3dX1vFDS
— James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) December 7, 2025
This is dangerous..
Excluding the Magnificent 7, the rally is driven largely by no-revenue and no-profit stocks while the rest of the market is stagnant.
There is no ground below us supporting the valuations.
If something goes wrong, the correction could be pretty deep. pic.twitter.com/vMk0Cw7KKF
— Oguz Erkan (@oguzerkan) December 8, 2025
Pre-market futures are flat, but over the next two days a downward bias is likely. On the geopolitical front, the Taiwan–Cambodia border clashes are escalating, and the peace efforts between them seem to be falling apart. In Ukraine, a Russia–Ukraine deal also looks unlikely…
— optionGeek (@StockShark16) December 8, 2025
The Western world is about to realize:
– We’re heading for something akin to the Great Depression/Recession 2.0
– This is going to force companies to lay off a ton of people
– This will ALSO force companies to adopt automation en masse (historically, recessions accelerate tech adoption)
– Which will result in a massive jobless recovery, from which we might never recover
– The Thiel/Yarvin “accelerate the collapse” crew has lost faith in their own plan
– No one has a plan
The Western world is about to realize:
– We're heading for something akin to the Great Depression/Recession 2.0
– This is going to force companies to lay off a ton of people
– This will ALSO force companies to adopt automation en masse (historically, recessions accelerate tech…
— David Shapiro (L/0) (@DaveShapi) December 8, 2025
S&P 500 was essentially flat in November, in its worst month since April.
byu/Conscious-Quarter423 inStockMarket