Fed cuts rates near market peak, historical patterns warn of serious correction. AAII shows stock allocation at 71.2%, cash near four-year lows, echoes late 2021 market peak.

When the Fed cuts rates while $SPY is trading near all-time highs (within 1%), the market usually falls sharply 2–3 months later. That aligns closely with our model’s prediction of a serious correction beginning in February 2026. Every time rate …

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Japan’s top insurer bond losses triple echoes U.S. bank collapse warning. SVB crisis replay? Unrealized pain turns real without central bank shield

‘Japan’s Top Life Insurer Says Unrealized Bond Losses Tripled.’ This Bloomberg headline sounds familiar, right? Back in March 2023, several US regional banks, including Silicon Valley Bank and later First Republic Bank, collapsed when ‘unrealized losses’ became realized losses as …

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