Fed cuts rates near market peak, historical patterns warn of serious correction. AAII shows stock allocation at 71.2%, cash near four-year lows, echoes late 2021 market peak.

When the Fed cuts rates while $SPY is trading near all-time highs (within 1%), the market usually falls sharply 2–3 months later. That aligns closely with our model’s prediction of a serious correction beginning in February 2026. Every time rate cuts begin near market peaks, the aftermath has been very bad. Historically, the pattern is …

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Morgan Stanley’s 20% Gold Allocation Marks a Historic Shift in Investment Strategy

By Egon von Greyerz In this powerful interview with Jan Kneist from the Investor Talk channel, Egon von Greyerz exposes the historic shifts now reshaping global finance. Gold is hitting new highs, silver is accelerating, and institutional players are moving in. Now,  even Morgan Stanley recommends a 20% allocation to gold. This significant shift signals a re-evaluation of …

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Valuation doesn’t matter, until it does. Equity allocation high, sentiment low… 2018, 2020 or 2022?

They say valuation doesn’t matter, until it does. You can't fight gravity; at some point, this will return to zero. "Ah, but P/S is no longer a useful metric" Until it is, again. pic.twitter.com/Rz4dimoZBZ — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 1, 2025 2018, 2020 or 2022? pic.twitter.com/qXZph4eTpO — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 2, 2025 Another weird …

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Investors’ 51% US stock allocation surpasses Dot-Com peak, despite underperformance since 2022 bear. The warning signs are clear.

Retail has been relentlessly buying. Net buyers in 44/51 sessions. Every day individuals want to believe in the American dream, growth and continuous prosperity. -Goldman Sachs pic.twitter.com/jB7K3DGanf — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) March 23, 2025 🚨This is NOT going to end well: Investors' allocation to US stocks is at an all-time high of 51%. This …

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US households’ stock allocation hits all-time high at 43.4%, surpassing 2000 Dot-Com Bubble by 5 points. Is smart money running to the exit?

⚠️US HOUSEHOLDS STOCK ALLOCATION HIT A NEW RECORD⚠️ Americans' exposure to stocks as a % of financial assets rose to a record 43.4% in Q3 2024. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 15 years. It has now surpassed the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble levels by 5 percentage points. pic.twitter.com/2cegQ67N3s — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December …

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