Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Working Americans have been in depression since 2008. They bailed out the establishment by stealing YOUR quality of life. It doesn't just "feel" worse, it IS worse. pic.twitter.com/oWLyAme7Nv — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) August 23, 2025 Insane chart: Boomers for the win. Sickening https://t.co/8Ldcixm4OL — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 24, 2025 What bubble? 😳 pic.twitter.com/f3Lmfvz5t0 — …
via Mike Maharrey Corporate bankruptcies hit a 14-year high in 2024, and the pace continued through the first seven months of 2025. This should throw cold water on those who imagine the U.S. economy is booming, and it underscores the Catch-22 facing the Federal Reserve as it wrestles with interest rate policy to battle sticky price inflation. In …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, Continued claims hit a new high since November 2021. Continued unemployment claims, data from Department of Labor, chart by Mish Today, the US Department of Labor released Unemployment Claims for the week ending August 16. Initial Claims In the week ending August 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims …
PLTR C-suite have sold over $500 million in shares since May. byu/corp_carrot inwallstreetbets
by confoundedinterest17 The US housing market is a changeling, going from a mega glut during the financial crisis to a tight market, then back to a glut … again. In fact, there are 511,000 new homes for sales in the US, the highest inventory since the financial crisis. Combine all-time high home prices with RELATIVELY …
🇺🇸 US Challenger job cuts 806,383 YTD. Highest since COVID and the Global Financial Crisis! Chart: @AugurInfinity pic.twitter.com/A8ufO4gP4W — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) August 16, 2025 “Through the end of July, U.S.-based employers have announced more than 800,000 job eliminations in 2025. That’s the highest number of jobs lost through the same period since 2020, when …
EIA now sees Brent crude falling below $60 by the end of 2025 and averaging around $50 through 2026. https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/releases/press573.php The US rig count is already in freefall. It’s down to 411 this week, from 487 in January. Back in December 2022, there were 780 rigs running. That’s a 52% collapse. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/crude-oil-rigs OPEC+ has reversed …
U.S. Stock Market at its most expensive valuation since the Great Depression 🚨 Probably Fine? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/JVCijfR202 — Barchart (@Barchart) August 11, 2025 Guess what the biggest driver of this stock market rally has been? Leverage. For the first time ever, margin debt has topped $1 trillion and has ballooned +25% over the past year. Fully one-fifth of …
The Fed’s reacting to lagging labor data while ignoring leading inflation signals. Policy misfire incoming. JUST IN 🚨: The odds of a September rate cut have soared to over 94% pic.twitter.com/E8copNJVuO — Barchart (@Barchart) August 12, 2025 Overall US CPI moved up to 2.7% in July, the highest level since February. US Core CPI (excluding …
Real wage purchasing power down 89% since gold standard ended. The average hourly wage (in gold terms) just hit a new all-time low, going all the way back to 1963 The real purchasing power of the average wage for an hour's work, has declined by 89% since the end of the gold standard in 1971 …
Trump’s second-term data purge didn’t stop with the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In August 2025, he told the Congressional Budget Office to do a “methodology review,” which led three senior analysts to quit. Memos inside the CBO show the aim was to make deficit numbers match White House growth claims. At the same time, the …
$KRE -7% since 21st July notably. Something brewing with the banks? 🤔 — Godzilla Trader 🦖 (@David_Tracey) August 11, 2025 Condo prices are collapsing pic.twitter.com/YBmN3BkkZO — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) August 11, 2025 https://twitter.com/VladTheInflator/status/1954720087023481049
Since when have Democrats followed the rules???? Look at the census. Look at the tens of millions of illegals they imported. I cannot think of a group of people less concerned about the rules than Democrat politicians. — Matt Van Swol (@mattvanswol) August 10, 2025 BOB O’ROUKE who is 100% Irish, decided to add “Beto” …
Apple shares rose 13% this week, its largest weekly gain in more than five years, after CEO Tim Cook appeared with President Donald Trump in the White House on Wednesday. At the White House on Wednesday, Cook appeared with Trump to announce Apple’s plans to spend $100 billion on American companies and American parts over …
Treasury volatility just hit rock bottom, the lowest since January 2022. The MOVE Index cratered. Fear? Gone. Hedging? Forget it. Market signals? Silent. Only a quiet calm that should scare you. “Volatility in the Treasuries market has dropped recently, with the ICE BofA MOVE Index falling to its lowest level since January 2022.” https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-treasuries-volatility-gauge-falls-092845181.html Rates …
It's interesting to see some people claim inflation is slowing. The equal-weighted commodities index is up 12% in the past year. That’s real-world inflation. Meanwhile, US money supply just hit a new high, and the dollar is weakening sharply against other currencies, including… pic.twitter.com/xYS56p7DeX — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) August 9, 2025 Commodities surged 12% …
To put this into perspective$PDD has a $160 billion market cap 60% higher than $HOOD But it did $54 BILLION revenue last year. 60% higher market cap13.5x more revenue. ??????????????? pic.twitter.com/MqaHEB1zic — Zoomer 🧢 (@zoomyzoomm) August 9, 2025 And today they were loading $pltr $270 calls still lol https://t.co/YEAHCH37bY — jbulltard (@jbulltard1) August 8, 2025
Jobless claims just hit 1.974 million. That’s the highest since November 2021. Not a bump. Not seasonal noise. It’s been climbing for weeks. Up another 38,000 this time. That’s not recovery. That’s erosion. “Continuing Jobless Claims went up by 38K to 1.974M for the week ending July 26.” https://www.fxstreet.com/news/us-initial-jobless-claims-rose-to-226k-last-week-202508071234 “Continuing claims soared by 38,000 to …
The Trump investigations list keeps growing. Year by year, case by case, the pressure never let up. This is the timeline of what some call the Deep State’s war on Trump: 2016: Russiagate 2017: Mueller 2018: Taxes 2019: Ukraine impeachment 2020: COVID handling 2021: January 6 2022: Jack Smith special counsel 2022: Classified documents case …
Job cuts in the U.S. have topped 806,383 so far in 2025, the highest January‑through‑July total since 2020. Tech, retail and government sectors lead the wave. “We are seeing the Federal budget cuts implemented by DOGE impact non‑profits and healthcare in addition to the government. AI was cited for over 10,000 cuts last month, and tariff …
Ground beef just hit $6.12 Highest price ever recorded by the USDA Up 12% year over year Up more than 50% since 2022 This isn’t a seasonal spike It’s systemic US cattle inventory has collapsed 94.2 million head as of July 1 Lowest mid-year count since 1973 June feedlot placements: 1.44 million Lowest since 2017 …
Julian Brown turned grocery bags into diesel. He filmed it. Posted it. Called it Plastoline. Said it could scale with funding. Four working prototypes. He burned himself testing it. Kept going. Then stopped. His last post was July 9. Said he was under attack. Mentioned helicopters. Told followers to record everything. His license leaked online. …
Russia’s largest airline went dark on July 28. Aeroflot’s internal systems were breached, locked, and shredded. The attackers say they had access for nearly a year. They moved through flight records, employee logs, internal comms. The group calls itself Silent Crow. Pro-Ukraine. Tied to Belarusian hackers. The Russian Prosecutor General’s Office confirmed the intrusion. No …
The metals are not rallying. They are sounding the alarm. Gold futures tapped $3,413 this morning. Spot gold briefly broke through $3,390 before easing. Silver surged above $39. The reflation story is no longer just a theory. It is in motion. The currency bleed is on full display. Dollar index slipped below 98 again. That …
Two major markets, two VERY different conclusions and outlooks. The diverging views and prices revolve around what really happened in April. Was it a one-off overreaction to tariffs? Or was the deflation confirmation of more than just potential volatility? Both markets are doubling and tripling down on their separate views, each reaching record or near-record …
BREAKING – Stephen Colbert, who has had one joke since 2016, has been canceled from the CBS network. pic.twitter.com/yn9sFbLcJV — Right Angle News Network (@Rightanglenews) July 17, 2025 The Late Show With Stephen Colbert has been canceled by CBS. The news landed like an earthquake on Thursday evening, coming amid swirling ongoing questions about the …
Silver surges above $39 for the first time since the first US downgrade in Aug 2011 pic.twitter.com/2MUb0zDOZa — zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 14, 2025 Gold about to go on a canter. https://t.co/DVdYZ05t0F pic.twitter.com/u0bhtdLoG8 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) July 14, 2025
Pump this straight into my veins 🔥🔥🔥 EVERY. SINGLE. WORD. pic.twitter.com/4oLZIcE84Q — Mel (@Villgecrazylady) July 12, 2025
Gold has taken the lead. Over the past 25 years, it has outperformed the U.S. stock market even when dividends are included. That’s not a short-term anomaly. It’s a long-term shift in how value is preserved. Since 1999, gold has surged 866.67%. The S&P 500, by comparison, has climbed 388.67%. That’s a full doubling of …
