Crazy to think that money supply is expanding this aggressively even as global central bank balance sheets have been contracting.
We’ve seen a $10T increase in global money supply in just the past 12 months.
Now imagine what happens once central banks inevitably need to expand their balance sheets again — which, in my view, is only a matter of time.
If this helps:
Mute the recent volatility noise in hard assets — this is the macro data point that ultimately drives the cycle, in my view.
Global M2 hit an all time high of $95 trillion 10 days ago pic.twitter.com/z2yRAZnufO
— Jason Burack (@JasonEBurack) November 19, 2025
GLOBAL LIQUIDITY AT $125 TRILLION ALL-TIME HIGH: THE BEAR MARKET THAT CANNOT EXIST
Bitcoin crashed 29% to $91,500. Panic everywhere. Media screaming crypto winter.
But here's what the data actually shows: Global M2 money supply just reached $125 trillion. The highest level in… https://t.co/KSlwWCGhgi
— Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) November 19, 2025
U.S. grocery prices hit record high as monthly cost for a family of four reaches $1,030
— NewsWire (@NewsWire_US) November 19, 2025
If the Fed admits BOTH inflation and unemployment risks are elevated,
there’s no way they cut next month.
This is the worst macro mix possible.— Rekt Specter (@rektspecter) November 19, 2025
FED FOMC MINUTES:
– ONLY SEVERAL PARTICIPANTS SUPPORTED FURTHER CUTS
– MOST PARTICIPANTS CONCERNED CUTS COULD ADD TO RISK OF HIGHER INFLATION
– MANY SUGGESTED APPROPRIATE TO KEEP RATES UNCHANGED FOR THE REST OF YEAR
December rate cut odds now 35% vs 50% from this morning
— amit (@amitisinvesting) November 19, 2025
The Federal Reserve minutes released earlier this afternoon (link below) are a fascinating read. They moved down the markets' expectations of a December rate cut, driven largely by these references to inflation by what seems a significant portion of a deeply divided FOMC.… pic.twitter.com/Xk80UXZraK
— Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) November 19, 2025
December FOMC is going to be a cliff hanger https://t.co/TleEpLkaRO
— QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 19, 2025