Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
WE HAVE NEVER BEEN THIS BROKE… Searches for ‘can’t pay credit card’ smash records… 11% of accounts now seriously delinquent… Savings rate vanishes… 🚨 Americans have never been this broke before. Google searches for “can’t pay credit card” just hit an all time high. At the same time, US consumer confidence has collapsed to one …
It is just taxpayer money being stolen with no repercussions. If the donks do manage to build some small amount of actual track, no train will ever run on it as thieves will destroy it for scrap metal before that ever happens. The cost of High-Speed Rail is now estimated at $231 billion. Our country …
WTI hit a weekend high, now 6% higher than Friday's close pic.twitter.com/fMWazCZo7Z — Robert (infra 🏛️⌛️) (@infraa_) April 19, 2026 Sunday is coming to an end. But Trump, according to Axios, is expected to have an Iran deal within a day or two. We are already at that point. So you can be sure that …
NEW: Feds arrest an Iranian woman last night at LAX right before she was about to get on a flight to Turkey. Shamim Mafi is accused of brokering Iranian bombs, weapons, drones and ammunition to Sedan. Mafi, who lives in LA, allegedly brokered "millions of rounds of… pic.twitter.com/MQtbwCmRl1 — Matt Finn (@MattFinnFNC) April 19, 2026 …
BREAKING: Odds Democrats win the Presidency in 2028 surge to an all-time high. pic.twitter.com/y7QAGlTKAd — Kalshi (@Kalshi) April 15, 2026 View post on imgur.com
So far today: Stocks up 1% (one percent from all time high) Shitcoin up 4% Oil down 6% I’ve never seen such retardation. $376,000,000,000 has been added to U.S. stocks in just 30 MINUTES. pic.twitter.com/lGiWr0mYOi — AI Alpha | Tech & Finance (@jackson58757265) April 14, 2026 NEW: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iranian military: “Warships are approaching Hormuz, we …
Recent labor market data suggests that the U.S. may already be entering the recession that some economists have for months been anticipating, according to the global financial services firm and credit ratings agency Moody’s. The company devised a new model to determine whether and when the country is in the midst of a downturn. Incorporating …
At first glance, it looks contradictory. Rent growth slows, but rent still feels unaffordable. The reason is simple. Growth and level are not the same thing. Recent data shows that rents have softened in many markets. In 2025, asking rents declined year over year in 74 out of 150 крупных metro areas tracked by RealPage. …
Status of COVID-19 As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be an HCID in the UK. There are many diseases which can cause serious illness which are not classified as HCIDs. The 4 nations public health HCID group made an interim recommendation in January 2020 to classify COVID-19 as an HCID. …
FOOD CRISIS BEGINS: Supply chain already being affected by US/Israel-Iran war, and guess who’s ready to step in and profit with fake-meat alternative proteins? Bill Gates and the state of Israel have a plan to feed the world when WWIII-driven famine hits and people can no longer afford to buy dwindling supplies of meat, fish, …
https://t.co/d5kFiX7b1O — Northstar (@NorthstarCharts) March 24, 2026
‼️ FERTILIZER PRICES NOW AT NEAR 4 YEAR HIGH—UP 44%. FOOD INFLATION IS COMING – 30% world’s fertilizer supply & 20% oil supply goes thru Hormuz. – It’s planting season now: Rising fuel & fertilizer costs will reverberate through economy & be felt in grocery stores this summer. pic.twitter.com/1pYuYw1fkp — Maine (@TheMaineWonk) March 22, 2026 …
Retail trading activity in single stocks has plummeted–Citi pic.twitter.com/c9DixpKuiX — Gunjan Banerji (@GunjanJS) March 23, 2026 "A big distribution pattern is carving out in the Junk Bonds vs. Treasuries ratio. A breakdown here would be the last thing stock market bulls want to see."@AlfCharts pic.twitter.com/DWoYrsc0ba — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) March 21, 2026 "The forward 12-month …
by confoundedinterest17 Despite falling mortgage rates, analysts expected December’s drop in new home sales to accelerate in January… and accelerate they did… crashing a stunning 17.6% MoM (-2.7% MoM exp) – the biggest MoM drop since July 2013. This huge MoM drop dragged sales down 11.3% YoY – the worst slide in three years. Source: Bloomberg …
Wholesale inflation is climbing faster than economists expected. Producer prices for final demand increased 0.7 percent in February, the largest monthly gain in seven months. Both goods and services contributed to the surge, pushing the overall index above forecasts and signaling that higher costs are moving through the supply chain. Prices excluding food and energy …
The bond market is getting twitchy. Over the past 20 years, when credit spreads blew out but the S&P 500 wasn't even beyond a pullback yet, it was 3-for-3 in bear markets. h/t @sentimentrader pic.twitter.com/xiba9GU3z2 — Jason Goepfert (@jasongoepfert) March 17, 2026 The market is green today and nobody's talking about the sector that refused …
YOU ARE NOT READY FOR WHATS TO COME https://t.co/osSGWVl2WA — Midas (@midascabal) March 17, 2026 I have news for Trump’s base: Trump is a known pedophile who also cheats on his wives and his taxes. He is as fake a Christian as those who believe in him. You will figure this all out the same …
Everyone’s watching the $VIX. Almost nobody’s watching the VVIX. $VIX drops 13% and the timeline relaxes. But options on the $VIX itself? Still at the 88th percentile. That’s institutional hedgers quietly keeping their crash insurance fully loaded. Surface calm. Expensive tail protection underneath. That’s not contradiction. That’s a tell. $IWM round-tripped its entire intraday rally …
We have now entered the rampant buffoonery phase of this war. However, it appears that both sides are looking for an offramp without admitting as much. Trump has punted the Strait of Hormuz crisis to the rest of the world and Iran has said they will allow the rest of the world to pass through …
Record winds are just one part of the extreme weather hitting the country this weekend, with some facing blizzard conditions and others preparing for triple-digit heat. HARRISBURG, Pa. — Hundreds of thousands of people were left without power Saturday after high winds raked eastward from the Great Lakes region, leaving trees down and substantial property …
Iranian high explosive test chamber damaged, possibly destroyed. https://t.co/3rMvmuF1dm — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) March 12, 2026 Since the first 24 hours of Operation Epic Fury, Iranian ballistic missile and drone attacks have dropped drastically. pic.twitter.com/4Bpl5lZKD8 — U.S. Central Command (@CENTCOM) March 11, 2026
This is the MOST MANIPULATED market in stock market history. — Midas (@midascabal) March 10, 2026 Crude Oil has to be impossible to trade right now Red = Transportation Secretary Chris Wright says the Navy escorted a ship through the Strait of Hormuz, -8.3% Blue = Social Media post deleted, +5.49% Green = repost below, …
by confoundedinterest17 Global uncertainty hits an ALL-TIME HIGH. Higher than Covid, the 2008 financial crisis, and the dot-com crash COMBINED. You know what that means!
Mac10 @SuburbanDrone This is the story of the stock market year to date as viewed by the equal weight NDX and the World ex-U.S.: Back in late January, U.S. stocks got hit by AI panic – The fear that AI was going to implode sector after sector including many Tech stocks. So Wall Street pundits …
WASHINGTON, March 3 (Reuters) – The U.S. financial services industry is on heightened alert for potential cyberattacks amid the unfolding U.S. war in Iran, with firms stepping up monitoring for threats that often rise during periods of geopolitical conflict, said executives and analysts. The killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei last weekend in an …
by Michael The war with Iran that we have been waiting for is officially here. The U.S. and Israel are absolutely pummeling Iranian military targets, and in return the Iranians are striking targets all over the Middle East. As you will see below, even a British military base in Cyprus has just been hit. I think …
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 BREAKING — Iran Killed High Ranking US Military Commanders in Gulf Hotels. pic.twitter.com/B3vd4RWudv — ✦✦✦ 𝙿𝚊𝚖𝚙𝚑𝚕𝚎𝚝𝚜 ✦✦✦ (@PamphletsY) February 28, 2026 Factcheck: No, this isn’t true. Iran’s retaliatory strikes today targeted US bases across the Gulf (Bahrain, UAE, Qatar, etc.) and hit the Fairmont hotel in Dubai, causing a fire visible in similar footage. …
BREAKING: 🚨 Federal Reserve purchases of short duration Treasury Bills now exceeds the height of the 2020 pandemic. Jerome Powell is currently holding $329B short duration T-Bills on the Fed's balance sheet, exceeding the previous crisis peak of $325B. This marks the first… https://t.co/fvDjn6VCQb pic.twitter.com/v4a9OZj3Zb — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) February 27, 2026 Yup, REPO jumped to …
In its 250th year, is America, land of immigration, becoming a country of emigration? Last year the U.S. experienced something that hasn’t definitively occurred since the Great Depression: More people moved out than moved in. The Trump administration has hailed the exodus—negative net migration—as the fulfillment of its promise to ramp up deportations and restrict …
makes sense pic.twitter.com/3sers77pVs — Bitcoin Capital (@Bitcapital_ch) February 18, 2026