S&P earnings surge expected but recession risk looms large. Wall Street bets on 26 percent growth through next year. Risk Reward doesnt look great.

S&P 500 earnings are expected to grow 11% this quarter and another 26% next year. We better hope there’s no recession, because if there is, a sharp downgrade in earnings estimates could be a real drag on the market, in my view. pic.twitter.com/gDXHwh4KDC — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) April 28, 2025 …

READ MORE

S&P 500 could plunge 33% to 3,700 warns Wolfe Research….11% rally fools bulls again, echoes of 2008’s one-day surge.

S&P 500 could plunge 33% to 3,700 warns Wolfe Research 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/zBbOK715rN — Barchart (@Barchart) April 25, 2025 The S&P 500 could tumble as low as 3700 in a mild recession, according to Wolfe Research: “If uncertainty caused by tariff policy were to push the U.S. economy into recession in …

READ MORE

Credit card delinquencies highest since 2011. 275,000 jobs cut in March as layoffs surge. Trucking volumes have collapsed to near pre-COVID levels.

The pressure is not just building. It is bursting through the seams. More than 5,300,000 student borrowers are now in default. Another 4,000,000 are about to be hunted down when federal collections resume on May 5. These are not small figures. They represent lives unraveling under debt that was never …

READ MORE

Gold signals danger but Fed likely to cave and fuel next surge. Central banks are buying. China is buying. Insiders are buying.

This is spot on. They NEVER truly reached restrictive levels and hot money has been allowed to slosh endlessly around the system particularly since COVID. Now Powell will be summarily dismissed in order to install an even greater Dovish lackey. — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) April 21, 2025 Central …

READ MORE

China dumps Treasuries in dead of night. Yields surge while Wall Street sleeps. Beijing unloads $500B in quiet retaliation

🇨🇳🇺🇸 CHINA’S MIDNIGHT MOVE: DUMPING U.S. DEBT WHILE WALL STREET SLEEPS? While Americans were dreaming of rate cuts, China may have been busy sending U.S. bond yields through the roof. Treasury spikes overnight—while Beijing’s open and Wall Street’s out cold—hint that China’s… https://t.co/AsfxvRMGwD pic.twitter.com/WOSSRYrPwY — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) April 15, …

READ MORE

Gold hits historic breakout, surpassing 1980 inflation-adjusted peak, signaling massive upside. From $235 to $1,915, gold’s 10-year surge could repeat with a 3x price jump

Gold just had a historic breakout The 50 year chart – adjusted for inflation – is in uncharted territory past the 1980 peak pic.twitter.com/nWSFhhPY5J — Katusa Research (@KatusaResearch) April 12, 2025 Gold have much more upside than most anticipate. From 2001 to 2011 within 10-year period gold price increased 8 …

READ MORE

Bulls rally on contrarian thinking, ignoring market realities… Put/call ratio skyrockets after April shocks, China’s tariff surge from 20% to 145%

Bulls keep agreeing that everyone is bearish so it's contrarian to be bullish. In what can only be described as the biggest circle jerk in market history. Here is the put/call ratio since the Liberation Day shock which occurred on April 2nd. Which was followed by the China shock… pic.twitter.com/ZsFJjjEf4a …

READ MORE

Surge of Disappearances Plague Caribbean Island.

“A troubling mystery surrounds the Caribbean island of Antigua, where an unusual number of people have vanished without a trace, including nine in the past two years alone. Among them was 74-year-old Hyacinth Gage, who disappeared on her way to a hospital appointment six years ago, sparking an intensive yet …

READ MORE

Market overvalued and overbought, with bearish price action now confirmed. Americans’ 1-year inflation expectations surge from 2.6% to 5.0% in three months.

Market overvalued ✅Market overbought ✅Bearish price action confirmation ✅ pic.twitter.com/G9f275GkAt — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 1, 2025 Linkhttps://t.co/uFMsfLLbSj pic.twitter.com/0CnpwQeJ5J — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April 1, 2025 ISM Prices Paid pic.twitter.com/q2t24pHB4d — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) April 1, 2025 Bond investors are worried: The 2-year breakeven inflation rate has jumped to 3.27%, …

READ MORE

Social Security surge adds to fiscal crisis with 20,000 new recipients daily. Interest payments set to surpass $7 trillion, dwarfing federal revenue

The United States is running on borrowed time—literally. The national debt now sits at a staggering $36.7 trillion, and every single day, another $8 billion is piled on. That’s not a typo. Eight billion dollars a day. This isn’t just bad bookkeeping; it’s a slow-motion catastrophe. Right now, the country …

READ MORE

Corporate bond spreads surge, financial distress signals flash red. Recession fears mount as trucking index slides.

Markets are hanging by a thread, and most don’t see it coming. High-yield corporate bond spreads just spiked 60 basis points in a month—hitting a six-month high. Investment-grade spreads aren’t far behind, climbing to their highest level since September. These are stress fractures in the system, warning signs that something …

READ MORE

The surge in consumer insolvencies to levels not seen since 2009 is a massive warning sign for Canada’s economy

In Canada, bankruptcies, consumer proposals, and insolvencies are at a 5-year high. 📢 🇨🇦 Consumer Insolvencies Just Hit A 2009-Level Surge If this is a "strong" economy, what happens in a downturn? Why is this a massive warning sign for 🇨🇦 consumers & real estate. 🧵 pic.twitter.com/9T64MjMXLj — Shazi (@ShaziGoalie) …

READ MORE

Gold in euros holds firm at €2,600 support, setting stage for a potential surge. China’s gold accounts could drive further accumulation in global markets.

The rally in $GOLD is unstoppable and has initiated the next surge, which may drive prices toward the $3,000 zone. The double bottom formation indicates positive momentum, which is likely to push prices higher. pic.twitter.com/2h3SWRHfYA — Gold Predictors (@GoldPredictors) January 22, 2025 With the new China banks’ #Gold accumulate product …

READ MORE

China’s 30-year yield at 1.854% signals deflation, lost decade fears. Lack of trust in stocks and real estate drives Chinese bond surge.

China 30 year continues to drift lower, yield 1.854%. Deflation and the lost decade are real possibilities. With over capacity in manufacturing it’s only a matter of time before deflation reached the west. pic.twitter.com/GUzESzA0QB — James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) January 8, 2025 🚨DEFLATIONARY IS COMING TO CHINA🚨 China's economy has …

READ MORE

This is the surge in Job openings people are talking about.

This is the surge in Job openings people are talking about. pic.twitter.com/sqtaSDE666 — Mr.Awsumb (@MrAwsumb) January 7, 2025 If we seasonally adjust the job openings, the applicants won't notice how bad it is. Or how many of them have been the same job position "open" for 5 years. pic.twitter.com/xFAFSl0RAx — …

READ MORE

Mortgage Crisis Looms in Canada: Arrears Rates Surge by 50%, and It’s Just the Beginning. Even Earning $100K+ Are Drowning in Housing Costs.

1/ Mortgage Meltdown Incoming? The share of 🇨🇦 mortgages in arrears (90+ days overdue) has jumped 50% since hitting historic lows. The latest rate of 0.21% might seem small, but here’s why it’s a ticking time bomb for the housing market. pic.twitter.com/ZPhxPWHTQF — Shazi (@ShaziGoalie) January 4, 2025 3/ For …

READ MORE

Dollar’s surge threatens Asia’s markets, mirroring 1980s Latin American crisis. S&P 500’s five-day decline mirrors 2022 and 1987 market crashes.

pic.twitter.com/BmgN8RzSM3 — Jack Krzewinski (@JackKrzewinski) January 2, 2025 "The relentless surge of the U.S. dollar is primed to cut a swath of carnage through Asia’s asset markets, leaving economic strain in its wake. The dollar wrecking ball similar wreaked havoc with Latam currencies in the 1980s… Historically, when the dollar …

READ MORE