A hub for independent voices and signals
GUESS WHO’S BACK? Kalshi now assigns a 43% probability of a U.S. government shutdown on January 31, 2026, the highest level since the 2025 crisis. Goldman Sachs estimates a 40–50% risk, while JPMorgan puts the odds at 20–40% for a …
The U.S. Supreme Court is signaling support for President Donald Trump’s firing of independent agency board members, as the court’s conservative majority suggested it would overturn a 90-year-old decision that has limited this type of presidential power. (AP Video: Nathan …
US leading economic indicators are still deteriorating: The ratio of US leading to coincident economic indicators is down to 0.85, the lowest level since 2008. This ratio has now declined for 4 consecutive years. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index …
Via International Man International Man: Gold has seen a dramatic rise recently. What do you think is driving this surge—inflation, geopolitical instability, loss of faith in fiat currency like the US dollar? Doug Casey: The answer is all of the above. First, …
$VIX there will be news And VIX will see 28 Something nasty is coming 🩸$SPY $QQQ — 👁 (@Oculustrade) October 16, 2025 Premarket futures are up and trading green, but with the $VIX still above 20, this rally can’t be …
The law is breaking down and the streets are telling the truth. Chicago is not cooperating. The city is standing up to ICE. Officials are shielding migrants. They are defying federal agents and daring the government to do something about …
Megyn Kelly is joined by Dr. Patrick Soon-Shiong, CEO of Los Angeles Times Media Group, to talk about Bari Weiss taking over as head of CBS News, the future of the media, and more.
Gold is exploding to new all-time highs. The media is finally paying attention. But ask yourself: is it too late to buy gold? Or are we just seeing the beginning of something far more seismic? Is the new bull market …
The U.S. shutdown adds fresh strain to an already unstable economy marked by stagflation and global uncertainty. While policymakers gamble with the dollar’s future, Brandon Smith of Alt-Market.com reveals the stakes are much higher than we realize… By Brandon Smith …
President Donald Trump is holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan at the White House and indicating the U.S. might soon lift its hold on advanced fighter jet sales to the NATO ally.
I lived 2000 bubble, 2008 bubble but this is by FAR the biggest of them all… this is the end of USA as u know it… they know whats coming thats why they are pumping with 0 fear of consequences …
Less than 14bn$ of “cash on the sidelines” are left in the US. When this hits zero banks will start to borrow liquidity regularly from the FED REPO facility because there isn’t much left in the open market. The FED …
https://twitter.com/RealMattCouch/status/1965895858819575888 https://twitter.com/uCntHndlThyTrth/status/1965918560196407598 🚨#BREAKING: Watch as newly footage shows what appears to be an unknown individual on the roof of the Losee Center at Utah Valley University moments before Charlie Kirk was shot. The shooter is still at large pic.twitter.com/TSuZnNItu6 — …
NATO did not act immediately. There was no formal Article 5, no joint statement. Poland could not wait. The drones were Shahed-136s, designed to explode on impact. Warsaw treated them as a real threat and struck first. The hesitation from …
Liquidity can’t stop a business cycle that’s already turning. Weak growth is the warning shot before the crash. When the cycle breaks, stocks don’t get “saved.” They get crushed. "Liquidity cannot stand the turn of the Business Cycle" (no matter …
Housing is the foundation of the economy, and when it starts tipping downward, jobs, banks, and local economies feel it immediately. Hidden delinquencies in mortgages and corporate loans mean that a correction could hit like a hidden avalanche, catching lenders, …
Watch closely when #VIX specs short $VIX in size as the $markets are rising. Previous two episodes of large VIX selling over the past year ended with the $SPX correcting… and this time the VIX action has been extreme.h/t @themarketear …
Markets cheered, but the message was hawkish. Powell didn’t promise cuts. He didn’t hint at September. He made the Fed’s caution sound like reassurance. That’s not dovish. That’s tight policy, carefully cloaked. “Risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, …
SPY’s up. But internals are cracking. RSI over 80. Stochastic signals stalling. Price action’s heavy. Hedge funds dumped $60B in index exposure last week. Retail’s still chasing. Fed’s rate cut already priced in. No upside surprise left. One of the …
The Treasury quietly redesigned its bond strategy in plain sight. Scott Bessent said the Treasury has “a big toolkit” to stabilize markets if the Fed refuses to act.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-14/bessent-says-treasury-has-big-toolkit-if-needed-for-bond-market He also warned that yields have become too high: “It wouldn’t make …
Here is a quick chart I mustered up today… The ‘1929 trendline’ it’s a seldom and scary situation! pic.twitter.com/RKKuuDqKEn — Beachside Bagholder (@dax_mccaskill) July 18, 2025 2008 vs. 2025 Overlaying gold prices for the same period is even scarier. The …
When a firm like BlackRock takes a hit of this size, it raises deeper questions: Who pulled the capital, and why? Was this a sovereign wealth fund reallocating for political or liquidity reasons? A pension plan de-risking into cash or …
Sales crash 12% as condo market sees 80% more sellers than buyers. BREAKING: The median US condo sale price declined -2.2% YoY in May, to $354,100, marking the second-largest decrease since at least 2012. The only time condo prices dropped …
Tom Lee, Fundstrat head of research and CIO, joins CNBC’s ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss outlooks on Nvidia, whether there may be catalysts to the upside, and much more.
The U.S. economy is showing signs of strain that official headlines aren’t capturing. Despite stock market gains, underlying indicators suggest a slowdown. Labor market indicators are weakening. Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 28, 2025, were 227,980, a …
Trump publicly saying US China has reached a deal and China will send as much rare earth as needed to US 1. China never confirmed that, only stated more details of the principle of agreement framework has been identified and …
Markets hit weekly high right after Israel strike but low summer liquidity could trigger another brutal crash… Oil is pointing to a new global deflation. That I predict will be outside of central bank control aka. a mass deleveraging event. …
The warning signs are never loud. They come in quietly, with subtle changes that most overlook. A company does not flip a switch and lay people off the next day. It builds toward it slowly. And for those paying attention, …
Trump this morning: "We of course support Israel, obviously and supported it like nobody has ever supported it." “Iran should have listened to me when I said – you know I gave them, I don’t know if you know but …
A Bloomberg TV headline was warning that breadth is imploding on this rally. Why? Because hedge funds are piling back into mega cap Tech. Why? Because S&P momentum algos are manipulating the futures higher due to the collapsing VIX and …