GUESS WHO’S BACK?
Kalshi now assigns a 43% probability of a U.S. government shutdown on January 31, 2026, the highest level since the 2025 crisis.
Goldman Sachs estimates a 40–50% risk, while JPMorgan puts the odds at 20–40% for a lapse in early 2026. Both firms say a short… pic.twitter.com/4AkcBdQhG8
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) December 11, 2025