This is a serious problem for the Mag 7.
Share buybacks always put a floor on how low these stocks could drop.
It gave their shares a steady bid every quarter
How do their stocks stay valued at $4 trillion without the buybacks?
Microsoft is already rolling over💀 https://t.co/dzFek20ChN
— QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) February 10, 2026
Alphabet is selling 100-year bonds in the UK, the first sale with such an extreme maturity by a technology firm since Motorola sold this type of debt in 1997. “100-year bonds tend to have a habit of calling the top of a market.” https://t.co/V2Ddzs7gre
— Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) February 10, 2026
This chart is for all the folks who couldn’t understand my post (below) a couple of days ago because, you know, words… https://t.co/tzFJFYFGZr pic.twitter.com/UMxX8ckOGS
— Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) February 10, 2026
2/ The National Bureau of Economic Research has 3 specific conditions to define an asset bubble:
– The asset needs to rise by >100% over a 2-year period.
– It needs to outperform the broader market by at least 100% over that same period.
– It needs to deliver a 5-year return… pic.twitter.com/K01qewXIOP
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) February 10, 2026
4/ But if we apply that same definition to the NASDAQ 100, it doesn’t meet these 3 conditions
It has risen about 45% over the last 2 years, outperformed the S&P 500 by only 3%, and gained roughly 90% over the past 5 years.
That means just 1 of the 3 criteria is met.
This is… pic.twitter.com/zYUpxNhuat
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) February 10, 2026
"I’m willing to go bankrupt rather than lose this race.” Google cofounder Larry Page on the AI spending race
Sometimes you should believe what people say. pic.twitter.com/D91DaCRCyT
— Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) February 10, 2026
Big Tech is spending $700 BILLION on AI this year.
But their cash flow is collapsing. Amazon is going into debt. Google’s free cash flow is dropping 90%.
And they’re literally paying influencers $600,000 each to convince you AI is worth using.
If this technology was as revolutionary as they claim, why are they spending half a million dollars per creator to sell it?
Here’s what’s actually happening behind the scenes:
This week, all four tech giants reported earnings at once and every single one dropped a spending number that made Wall Street lose its mind.
Amazon: $200 billion in capex. The largest corporate capital expenditure in HISTORY. Stock dropped 9%.
Google: $185 billion. Wall Street expected $120 billion. Stock dropped 5%.
Meta: $135 billion. Double what they spent last year.
Microsoft: down 17% this year, worst performer in the group.
Combined 2026 AI infrastructure spend: almost $700 billion.
But here’s where it gets ugly.
Amazon’s free cash flow collapsed 71%. Morgan Stanley projects they’ll burn through $17 billion in NEGATIVE free cash flow this year.
Bank of America says the deficit could hit $28 billion.
Amazon quietly filed with the SEC on Friday saying they might need to raise debt to keep building.
Google’s free cash flow is projected to crater 90%, from $73 billion down to $8.2 billion.
They already did a $25 billion bond sale in November and their long-term debt QUADRUPLED last year.
These companies are spending everything they have, then borrowing more, then spending that too.
Now here’s the part that got me thinking:
CNBC just reported that Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta are paying influencers between $400,000 and $600,000 EACH to promote AI products on Instagram and YouTube.
AI platforms spent over $1 BILLION on digital ads in 2025, a 126% jump year-over-year.
Google and Microsoft’s AI ad spending jumped 495% in January 2026 alone.
Anthropic is running Super Bowl ads.
OpenAI is flying creators to private events and covering all expenses.
When was the last time a truly revolutionary technology needed a $1 billion ad campaign and $600K influencer deals to get adoption?
Did the iPhone need influencer campaigns? Did Google Search need Super Bowl ads in 1998? Did email need a billion dollar marketing push?
No. People just used them because the value was obvious.
You know what DOES need massive paid promotions? Pharmaceutical drugs. Crypto exchanges. Online gambling apps. MLM companies.
Products where adoption is driven by hype, not utility.
And now, apparently, AI.
So the pitch from Big Tech is:
“This technology will eliminate your job. Also please use it. Here’s $600K if you tell your followers it’s cool.”
They need HUMANS to sell a product they designed to REPLACE humans.
They need creators to promote a technology that will eventually make creators obsolete.
They need influencers to build trust in a system that will eliminate the need for influencer marketing entirely.
The question everyone should be asking:
If $700 billion per year in spending can’t produce a product that sells itself, when exactly does this start making money?
Because right now the math is messed up.
$700 billion in spending, cash flow crashing, stocks tanking, SEC filings about raising more capital, and the best growth strategy they’ve got is paying tiktokers to demo features.
Either AI is about to deliver the greatest economic transformation in human history, or we’re watching the most expensive corporate Hail Mary ever thrown.
And the fact that they need to pay half a million dollars per influencer to convince you it’s the first one isn’t a good sign.
Big Tech is spending $700 BILLION on AI this year.
But their cash flow is collapsing. Amazon is going into debt. Google's free cash flow is dropping 90%.
And they're literally paying influencers $600,000 each to convince you AI is worth using.
If this technology was as… pic.twitter.com/aSNXHAyy77
— Ricardo (@Ric_RTP) February 10, 2026
It is undeniably obvious what is unfolding here.⚠️
We are seeing classic Wyckoff schematic patterns playing out with striking clarity…not only on the Nasdaq, but replicating across countless individual stocks and major bourses worldwide.
In my opinion, we are teetering on the… pic.twitter.com/MuGC7WrQia
— The Great Martis (@great_martis) February 10, 2026