A hub for independent voices and hard truths
by confoundedinterest17 Its hard to watch Biden and The Progressive Greens destroy the enegy security of this great nation. Biden is draining the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, probably in a misguided attempt at ensuring we never go back to abundent petroleum …
Goldman Sachs to layoff approx ~2,500 in latest job cut announcement coming as soon as October $GS — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) September 8, 2023 As inflation cools and employment remains resilient, a US economic downturn is becoming less likely. Goldman …
Default rate on credit card loans from small lenders is now higher than: Dot Com bubbleFinancial CrisisC-19 Buckle up. pic.twitter.com/1dBkzHOI1X — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) September 7, 2023 Americans are defaulting on their credit cards and auto loans at levels not …
“Would They Go to War with Russia? Of Course, They Would! They Want to Anyway” Tucker Carlson Predicts Massive Recession and WW III with Russia before 2024 Elections (VIDEO) Tucker Carlson sat for an interview with Adam Carola earlier this …
via Mike Shedlock: The Philadelphia Fed GDPplus measure, a blend of GDP and GDI, is flashing a signal that recession has already started. Data from Philadelphia Fed, chart by Mish GDPplus is a measure of the quarter-over-quarter rate of growth …
Risk on due to recession fears… h/t inWineVerit4x
Credit coming soon near you…https://t.co/hEiqH3gD9L — Maverick007 (@Maverick0087367) August 29, 2023 If these charts are correct and we are on the verge of another crash, markets should: 1) Rally until September 8th2) Remain flat until OpEx September 15th/20th3) Begin declining …
Keep in mind: Liquidity matters! pic.twitter.com/Umk4CilqDY — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) August 28, 2023 ⚠️ 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗡𝗖𝗛 𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗦𝗨𝗠𝗘𝗥𝗦 𝗠𝗔𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘𝗟𝗬 𝗖𝗨𝗧𝗧𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗜𝗔𝗟 𝗣𝗨𝗥𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗦𝗘𝗦, 𝗖𝗔𝗥𝗥𝗘𝗙𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗖𝗘𝗢 𝗪𝗔𝗥𝗡𝗦 Full Story → https://t.co/zME1YTyaFi "We are seeing a non-spending tsunami in France." pic.twitter.com/ObkiNwVLaA — PiQ (@PiQSuite) August …
2/ There's a noticeable uptick in narratives around the prospect of a "soft landing" in recent months Meanwhile, discussions around the potential for a "recession" are dwindling in 2023 pic.twitter.com/6jwkX6V8oq — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 23, 2023 4/ The notion …
by Hagtzel LONDON, Aug 23 (Reuters) – Euro zone business activity declined far more than thought in August with the slide in Germany particularly fast, while some inflationary pressures returned, surveys showed. Wednesday’s purchasing managers’ indexes complicate matters for the …
via bnnbloomberg.ca ‘We’re not getting out of this without a recession’: David Rosenberg Iva Poshnjari, BNN Bloomberg U.S. equity market strength is deceiving experts into believing we’ve dodged a recession, one prominent economist is warning. The S&P 500 was up …
by DesmondMilesDant I know Q1 = -0.4%, Q2 = -0.3%. But they have literally changed the definition of recession. We need three consecutive -ve prints. Not 2.
by marketsimulator Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq.html#/overview The yield curve as a leading indicator uses the 10y-3mo value to predict the probability of recession. July report came out last week and May ’24 is higher than any time in the last 40 years at …
JUST IN – First Germany, now the Netherlands enters recession. — Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) August 16, 2023 All of Europe is sinking into recession and economic decline The latest country that joined the list of countries in recession today is the …
by confoundedinterest17 Inflation is a killer to the middle class and low-wage worker. Yet there are always apologists for terrible Federal spending and Federal Reserve monetary policies. Like Alex Bereson with his “How we stopped inflation without a recession (hint: by …
Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq.html#/overview The yield curve as a leading indicator uses the 10y-3mo value to predict the probability of recession. July report came out a couple days ago and May ’24 is higher than any time in the last 40 years at …
Counter intuitive opinion, if CPI comes in slightly hot tomorrow they'll use that as a bullish narrative to "prove" the U.S. economy is resilient in the face of Chinese deflation What the talking heads won't tell the public is unlike …
In 2008 the soft landing dream was alive through the end of August, 9 months into the recession.https://t.co/SkNWeYEFFu — Eventually Consistent Capital (@EventuallyCC) August 8, 2023 “Soft landing” news on @business is now higher than in 2000 and 2007. #macro …
by mark000 The September/October window has high potential for the horror show to begin IMO. The global markets, financial system and economy will experience simultaneous heart attacks, leading to (or because of) super negative geopolitical developments. US Treasury Market Hits …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com, Federal tax receipts suggest GDI numbers, not GDP numbers, are accurate. They also hint at recession… Tax receipts from the BEA, chart by Mish Tax receipts and total receipts are from the Bureau of …
via Peter Schiff: Good news. The looming US recession has been canceled. Or has it? Just a few weeks ago, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that while economic growth has slowed, “our labor market continues to be quite strong — …
https://twitter.com/texasrunnerDFW/status/1686187300516954112 EVERYTHING IS GOING SWIMMINGLY: Car Loans Tougher to Get, More People Getting Rejected by Lenders. https://twitter.com/1200616796295847936/status/1686034230470451201 The total for all commercial properties that were in distress was $72 billion, in the US, up 13% from the first quarter, per Bloomberg. …
Otavio (Tavi) Costa: “Corporate bonds now yield only 0.12% above the Fed Funds rate. The lowest level since 2007, preceding the Global Financial Crisis. Every time credit spreads were at historically suppressed levels, a hard-landing scenario followed. Perhaps this time …
Photo by Katie Nesling From Peter Reagan at Birch Gold Group If you were to ask some market optimists about the possibility the U.S. would officially enter a recession this year, one answer one answer is, “What recession?” Despite widespread expectations that the …
Brace for a credit crunch + a "serious" recession So counsels Dr Lacy Hunt, one of the most-respected living economists And don't use the financial markets as a signal for economic health. They're a near-useless indicator in his opinion This …
Not to mention, the Fed originally claimed inflation would’ve already been at 2%. Now, they said inflation won’t hit 2% until 2025. Their solution to being wrong? No longer giving guidance on policy outlook. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time …
pic.twitter.com/oGs5JsTJ3M — StockCats (@RealStockCats) July 26, 2023 2-years ago… Powell predicted inflation will be "transitory" pic.twitter.com/ipmIKCwu8Y — StockCats (@RealStockCats) July 26, 2023 *FED CANCELS RECESSION FORECAST – POWELL pic.twitter.com/3xmb6ceNFd — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) July 26, 2023
OK, now that this chart has triggered Recession Deniers who wouldn't know The Cycle if it punched them in the face… here's the entire historical time-series, including, the IP Recession we entered in June How much lower from here? A: …
