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“There has been a rise in global trade restrictions in recent years.”
"There has been a rise in global trade restrictions in recent years."@SoberLook pic.twitter.com/oQCYEGFO22 — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) June 6, 2024 There has been a notable increase in global trade restrictions over the past few years. Several factors have contributed to this trend: COVID-19 Pandemic: The pandemic disrupted supply chains, reduced demand, and led to various …
US economic data softens, job report impact crucial, potential for severe downturn looms.
Recent economic updates from the U.S. paint a bleak picture, stirring deep unease among investors. The latest indicators, including the sharp decline in the Bloomberg Economic Surprise Index, signal a worrisome underperformance reminiscent of the tumultuous trends observed in 2019. This downturn in economic sentiment comes at a precarious moment, with all eyes fixed on …
31% of recent home buyers struggled due to budget issues and high rates; 69% of US consumers fear a recession within the next year, rising sharply recently.
The recent insights into consumer sentiment and economic outlook paint a complex picture of financial strain and diverging spending patterns across different segments of the economy. With 31% of recent home buyers citing financial challenges like budget constraints and high interest rates, it’s clear that affordability concerns are widespread and impacting major purchasing decisions. Moreover, …
US government interest payment has virtually been a straight line up since 2020. The recent Chinese of US Treasuries might be one of the first signs of a major fiscal crisis in the US.
US government interest payment has virtually been a straight line up since 2020 Despite crossing $1 TRILLION, this debt crisis keeps getting worse pic.twitter.com/YE8v8uLZHG — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) May 18, 2024 2/ What matters here is not overall US government debt but rather the balance of payments. If a country runs a trade deficit this …
The largest judicial corruption scandal in the entire recent history of democracy in Spain
A scandal rocks the Spanish Supreme Court as 10 out of 16 magistrates from its Criminal Chamber are caught with accounts in tax havens, marking a grave breach of judicial integrity and democracy’s trust. The amnesty offered does not shield anyone, including Marchena, from accountability, signaling a deep-seated corruption crisis within Spain’s judiciary. 10 magistrates …
Recent economic surprises have not been bullish.
Recent economic surprises have not been bullish. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/2XR12mHstx — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) May 10, 2024 March consumer credit +$6.27 billion vs. +$15 billion est. & +$14.13 billion in prior month … revolving credit +$0.2 billion; nonrevolving +$6.1 billion pic.twitter.com/t8ONME4QCm — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) May 7, 2024 Some here are saying the surge …
US unemployment claims show minimal volatility in recent weeks despite potential variations.
Over the past 13 weeks, initial unemployment claims have remained remarkably consistent, hovering around 212k, despite the inherent variability in state programs and seasonal factors such as holidays. If the trend of minimal volatility persists, it could erode confidence in the accuracy of unemployment data and raise concerns about underlying economic conditions. Further stagnation in …
Taiwan rattled by 80+ quakes, reigniting safety concerns after recent disasters.
Over 80 earthquakes, with the strongest measuring 6.3 magnitude, hit Taiwan’s east coast from Monday night into Tuesday. The quakes were centered in Hualien, a rural eastern county, causing buildings in Taipei to shake. Taiwan experienced a devastating 7.2 magnitude earthquake on April 3, resulting in at least 14 deaths and numerous aftershocks. This is …
Democrats acknowledge Trump’s potential for historic comeback, citing recent victories and concerns.
“Among younger voters in the 18-39 age group, Biden is up only by a single point: 43 percent to 42 percent. With all five candidates competing, the numbers still look terrible for Biden. Joe (“Old Yeller”) Biden earned only 44 percent of the black vote, 29 percent of the Hispanic vote, and 37 percent of …
Immigration tops U.S. population growth in recent years.
Immigration has been the biggest factor in our population growth? That’s truly surprising! https://twitter.com/LibertyPillMeme/status/1768786199240401139
Current election map based on most recent polls
by Apprehensive-Tree-78 Based on Feb 29th polls. This is the current election map. Trump doesn’t need to win a single rust belt battleground to win either. He wins with Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona with 271 EVs. It’s our election to lose.
Warning Signs: Recent Bank Failures and the Fragile Global Financial System
Dive into the complexities of the global financial system with Mike Maloney as he explores the timeline of banking collapses, drawing parallels between the events leading up to the 2008 financial crisis and recent banking issues. The discussion delves into concerns about the stability of various sectors, including commercial and residential real estate, stock markets, …
Latest GDP numbers and recent revisions for both UK and NZ were “WORSE THAN EXPECTED.”
by mark000 UK Q2 initially reported as 0.2% now 0.0% Q3 initially reported as 0.0% now -0.1% NZ 22Q4: -0.6% 23Q1: was 0.0% now -0.2% 23Q2: was 0.9% now 0.5% 23Q3: just released, forecast was +0.3% instead -0.3% The global economy is faring worse than expected in 2023. via CNN: The United Kingdom’s economy shrank …
U.S. naval deterrence falters; recent assaults reveal vulnerability despite carrier groups, raising concerns about future capabilities.
THIS HAS BEEN A LONG TIME COMING, WITH PLENTY OF BLAME TO GO AROUND WASHINGTON, THE PENTAGON, AND THE NAVY ITSELF: U.S. Naval Deterrence Is Going, Going, Maybe Even Gone. This was only one of several recent assaults on American naval assets in the region. They have happened despite the presence of the Ford carrier strike …
Recent technicals on the market are bearish, indicating a potential downturn in the near future.
% bullish (lower pane) is making a double top on the right shoulder, deja vu of the left shoulder. Note the correlation between Bitcoins and Internet stocks. pic.twitter.com/LPcMqilKR5 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 21, 2023 S&P 500: The odds in my analysis favor that the intermediate top is in or very near. The recent euphoria is …
Dropping Like a Stone: ON RRP Take-up in the Second Half of 2023. Liberty Street Economics detail the recent drop in ON RRP take-up through the lens of the channels identified in the recent staff report driving its initial increase.
via dismal-jellyfish: Source: https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2023/12/dropping-like-a-stone-on-rrp-take-up-in-the-second-half-of-2023/ Background: Liberty Street has a paper Treasury Bill Supply and ON RRP Investment based on the Staff Report Banks’ Balance-Sheet Costs, Monetary Policy, and the ON RRP. TLDRS: The authors call out the increase in Overnight Reverse Repurchase (ON RRP) take-up from 2021 to May 2023 was influenced by several factors, including higher balance-sheet costs …
The recent surge in gold prices may seem impressive, but when adjusted for inflation, it still lags behind the peak in 1980 by 20%.
Gold may have hit an all-time high earlier this week but on an inflation adjusted basis it remains 20% below the 1980 peak pic.twitter.com/yKUScQ7laZ — Barchart (@Barchart) December 6, 2023 Poland bought 300t recently — Jan Nieuwenhuijs (@JanGold_) December 5, 2023 Moody's has cut China's credit outlook to negative. Moody's also recently lowered the United …
Goin’ Down! Recent Homeowners Lose Over $200 Per Day In Property Value (San Francisco Sellers Reported Biggest Losses, Memphis TN Leads In % Losses)
by confoundedinterest17 The US housing market is goin’ down! While the Case-Shiller National home price index is rising again, it has been slowing since March 2022. This is happening as “the honey pot” (aka, M2 Money printing) growth is now negative. While real hourly compensation growth is slightly, the average rate of growth since April …
Is recent gold rally driven by central banks?
Some people questioned in their replies that investors are dumping gold. Well, what about learning reading charts? pic.twitter.com/1ggz0BPlBh — Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) December 3, 2023 Just one thing matters: in November, central banks added $350BN in liquidity, the third largest increase since March pic.twitter.com/xjThXLOQam — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 4, 2023 🥇#Gold has broken from …
Stock Buybacks around the world have plunged to a 7-year low; Goldman has estimated that the recent rise in yields is equivalent to four 25bps hikes
Stock Buybacks around the world have plunged to a 7-year low pic.twitter.com/QZzDD97Jwt — Barchart (@Barchart) November 1, 2023 With the rapid rise in yields since the federal reserve's last meeting, they are unlikely to change their policy stance given the rise in yields "naturally" tightens the economy. Goldman has estimated that the recent rise in …
Ecuador has experienced a busy recent period, with the third political assassination in three months.
Councilman Charbel Rouhana was gunned down un Yaguachi, Ecuador Rouhana had attended a meeting and was in front of his residence when assailants opened fired before fleeing on a motorcycle Rouhana, 50, was married to Yaguachi Mayor Viviana Olivares and had one child A councilman has been assassinated while standing outside his home in Ecuador, marking the …
With Elon’s recent $28 billion loss, Toyota says ‘people are waking up to reality’ that EV adoption will be an uphill battle
Toyota’s chairman and former CEO, Akio Toyoda, has long been a skeptic of the electric vehicle hype train—it was a big reason he stepped down from the top job at the Japanese carmaker earlier this year. Now, he can finally say, “I told you so.” With Elon Musk’s Tesla reporting disastrous third-quarter earnings last week, …
Without tech stocks and recent AI-hype, markets would be significantly lower.
As we have noted multiple times this year, the same trend can be seen in the Nasdaq. 70% of the index's YTD performance is from just 10 stocks. Perhaps this is just the new normal as tech giants become bigger. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) …
The Biden administration is restarting DIRECT DEPORTATIONS of migrants to Venezuela amid RECORD numbers of illegal crossings in recent weeks
🚨 JUST IN: The Biden administration is restarting DIRECT DEPORTATIONS of migrants to Venezuela amid RECORD numbers of illegal crossings in recent weeks, four US officials told CBS News Since Biden took office, he has refused to deport illegals back to Venezuela, but the massive… pic.twitter.com/XjmGErJhyb — Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) October 5, 2023 via: MSN …
At Least Three Americans Have Been Killed In Recent Days In Ukraine
At least Three American “Mercenaries” have been confirmed killed in Ukraine in recent days, and others killed earlier last month. Some of these may have been from the bombing of the “Ukrainian” Regional Artillery Coordination Center along the Donetsk Front. The most recent: PICTURE: Alex Coburn, the American mercenary who was killed in #Ukraine yesterday. …
Hedge funds to sell up to $30 billion of stocks soon, potentially exacerbating the recent downward move in shares
via reuters: LONDON, Oct 2 (Reuters) – Hedge funds using computers to trade equities are expecting to start selling to the tune of $20 billion to $30 billion in the next two weeks given retreating stock markets, a UBS (UBSG.S) note seen by Reuters shows. Hedge funds using algorithms to follow market trends have turned …
ADL Boss Jonathan Greenblatt Brags About Dictating Most Recent Apology by Adidas CEO
by Chris Black Remember when Jonathan Greenblatt was responding to Elon Musk and he said “Elon is the richest man in the world, we’re just a little non-profit”? Meanwhile, he goes around bragging about how he dictates public statements of the CEO of a Fortune 500 company from a different country. How many apologies is …
The recent developments point to concerns about competence and potential national security implications
The American Geophysical Union’s display of ignorance regarding the scientific method raises questions about the level of competence within scientific organizations. The scientific method is fundamental to research and the acquisition of reliable knowledge, and any departure from it can lead to flawed conclusions and unreliable data. WE REALLY DO HAVE A CRISIS OF COMPETENCE: The …