A hub for independent voices and hard truths
BREAKING: Tucker Carlson hits all-time high in the 2028 Presidential Election odds, as he teases a potential run. 7% chance. pic.twitter.com/RZbGz7SMmK — Polymarket (@Polymarket) May 1, 2026
BREAKING: Odds Democrats win the Presidency in 2028 surge to an all-time high. pic.twitter.com/y7QAGlTKAd — Kalshi (@Kalshi) April 15, 2026 View post on imgur.com
This is the MOST MANIPULATED market in stock market history. — Midas (@midascabal) March 10, 2026 Crude Oil has to be impossible to trade right now Red = Transportation Secretary Chris Wright says the Navy escorted a ship through the …
May the Lord bless and protect this man. The best thing Obama did… pic.twitter.com/km108bVcB2 — Ellen/SeaSandII (@EllenMomGUM) February 19, 2026
BREAKING: January CPI inflation falls to 2.4%, below expectations of 2.5%. Core CPI inflation fell to 2.5%, in-line with expectations of 2.5%. Core CPI inflation is now at its lowest level since March 2021. Odds of further interest rate cuts …
The odds of a US government shutdown on 14th Feb just dropped to 25%. Good for markets. pic.twitter.com/sLM0ferdLk — Ash Crypto (@AshCrypto) February 13, 2026 The drop in shutdown odds to 25% on markets like Polymarket stems from the current …
Despite Trump's ambitions, the odds of the U.S. acquiring any part of Greenland are declining. 21% chance.https://t.co/GGe6isYEMg — Polymarket (@Polymarket) February 2, 2026 US still seeks takeover of Danish Arctic island, Greenland’s PM Nielsen says Greenland mental health survey reflects …
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing Democratic candidate Taylor Rehmet has won a special election for Texas State Senate District 9 in Tarrant County — a seat Donald Trump carried by 17 points …
Currently a 77% chance on Polymarket. This morning it was 9%. Looks like something has been set in motion in Minneapolis today. https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31 If SNAP benefits are not paid again, in addition to many stores already being cleaned out by …
Thomas Massie’s political snapshot 📸 pic.twitter.com/UxeHd76b3Y — Politician Pages (@politicianpages) January 19, 2026 Proud to be voting for him again! https://t.co/oQYpwal0nm — Kacee Allen (@KaceeRAllen) January 19, 2026
BREAKING: Odds Trump is impeached again are at an all-time high pic.twitter.com/lVwqa8Jc5o — Kalshi (@Kalshi) November 28, 2025 https://kalshi.com/markets/kximpeach/president-impeached
(Bloomberg) — Applications for US unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week to the lowest since mid-April, remaining relatively subdued amid economic uncertainty. Initial claims decreased by 6,000 to 216,000 in the week ended Nov. 22. The median forecast in a …
🇺🇸US PPI came in at 2.6% Expected – 2.7% This means core inflation is cooling down. Chance for Fed to cut interest rates goes up. — Ted (@TedPillows) November 25, 2025 Polymarket now has Fed cutting in December at 86%, …
BREAKING: Odds the House passes a bill to release the Epstein files surge to 98% pic.twitter.com/NDNUiJG2Hv — Kalshi (@Kalshi) November 17, 2025
https://t.co/WB4W0amlqs — Kalshi (@Kalshi) November 12, 2025 Trump is upside down on every issue: -Epstein: -39-Foreign Policy: -8-Trade/Tariffs: -17-Economy: -18-Immigration: -5 pic.twitter.com/ybW4uKqHUb — Maine (@TheMaineWonk) November 13, 2025 🚨BREAKING: There is now an 85% CHANCE that the government shuts down …
They keep telling everyone inflation is “cooling” while the numbers keep jumping the moment you look closely. This is why the hawks on the Fed are screaming no rate cut. Most recent food inflation data from Consumer Edge. Highly respected. …
https://t.co/uZpnABvHb2 — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) November 7, 2025 Reporter: What do you make of this new Democrat offer? Graham: Horrible. I'm not going to keep giving taxpayer dollars to the five largest healthcare insurance companies under Obamacare to get the government …
December rate cut odds are ticking lower after Fed member warns of stagflation #MacroEdge pic.twitter.com/QHlkPIADLo — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) October 31, 2025 Fed’s Logan: WE FIND IT DIFFICULT TO CUT RATES AGAIN IN DECEMBER INFLATION IS TOO HIGH INFLATION TAKING TOO …
🚨 2026 RECESSION ODDS UP TO 49% pic.twitter.com/sb2XNapYJW — Micah (@micah_erfan) October 28, 2025 So if we layoff everyone to increase margins this year, who will have money left to buy your products next year? https://t.co/1h0rTviPXw pic.twitter.com/2kAtdSgs2B — Boring_Business (@BoringBiz_) …
https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-city-mayoral-election?tid=1761673595743
Money market funds just hit an all-time high of $7.4 TRILLION 99% chance the Fed cuts rates in 6 days. Rate cuts will push treasury holders to seek more risk, driving liquidity into Bitcoin and other assets Liquidity tsunami incoming …
BREAKING: The odds Democrats sweep 4 key elections, including the NYC Mayor race, are surging to 78% pic.twitter.com/PSl25JTYXQ — Kalshi (@Kalshi) October 21, 2025 Zohran Mamdani chances of winning New York City’s upcoming mayoral election have hit a new high, …
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-national-guard-portland-appeals-court/ Washington — A federal appeals court on Monday cleared the way for the Trump administration to mobilize and deploy members of the Oregon National Guard to Portland while a legal challenge moves forward. A divided panel of three judges …
🇺🇸 TRUMP: “BEST WAY TO END THE WAR IS A FULL PEACE DEAL – NOT JUST A CEASEFIRE” “A great and very successful day in Alaska! The meeting with Putin went very well, as did a late night phone call …
Oil is in free fall lately. $58 today. This is one of the first signs of a recession. We’re getting to price levels near what it costs producers to pull it out of the ground. On the bright side it …
According to Polymarket, recession odds have climbed back near their April 9th peak. GDP Leaked? pic.twitter.com/3O5XkEYKyU — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) April 29, 2025 $2,900 tariff on a $2,100 purchase from Hong Kong. You can kiss the global economy goodbye. Unavoidable now. …
Polymarket currently has odds at 30% for a U.S.-China trade deal before June—who’s out here betting Yes with both sides not even talking ATM? pic.twitter.com/sWgxVyeSvG — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) April 24, 2025 China considering removing tariffs on industrial chemicals like ethane: …
by Michael Is the U.S. economy headed for a recession? Nobody can deny that consumer confidence is plummeting, home sales are way down, mass layoffs are being conducted all over the nation, thousands of stores are closing, and a global trade …
via creditbubblebulletin: Somehow, it staged a remarkable comeback. “Transitory” was spoken five times during the post-meeting press conference, twice by Chair Powell: “As I’ve mentioned, it can be the case that it’s appropriate sometimes to look through inflation if it’s …
Another Biden Miracle: Odds rising on a recession as defaults soar 50% 🤯 https://t.co/h4xXSsJVzE — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) December 30, 2024 Volatility-based breakout signals risk-off scenario, reminiscent of COVID-19 and 2008 crises. A breakout pattern based on volatility …