Currently a 77% chance on Polymarket. This morning it was 9%. Looks like something has been set in motion in Minneapolis today.
https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31
If SNAP benefits are not paid again, in addition to many stores already being cleaned out by Winter Storm Fern, this can also be very bad for grocery store supply chains.
h/t Anonymous Coward