🇮🇷 Strait of Hormuz reality check, early April, even after Trump’s ceasefire:
– Vessel traffic has dropped to single digits per day.
– Iran now has total control: obstructing passages at will and charging vessels millions of dollars in fees to get through.
– Crude oil prices… https://t.co/MHTCeXqfrE pic.twitter.com/E79Jb4xXDq— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) April 9, 2026
Here’s what’s going to happen.
Saturday: There will be a “Peace Agreement”
Sunday: The pre-market will rip higher, and oil will plummet.
Monday: One of the Middle-Eastern countries will violate the “Peace Agreement”
Tuesday: Market will plummet and Oil will go up again.…— Nicholas J. Stelzner (@stelzner_n1150) April 9, 2026
The war isn’t over and it likely won’t be over soon.
Unless JD Vance and the negotiating team can get a deal made this weekend, I do think there is a real possibility that we strike Iran again.
China is allegedly restocking Iran with missiles and other military weapons.
We can’t let that continue to go on.
The Iranians talk a big game militarily but I think it’s all talk.
The strait of Hormuz will be a huge issue going forward if it continues to remain closed or flowing with record low volumes.
What do you think, is the ceasefire going to hold up for the next couple weeks?
The war isn’t over and it likely won’t be over soon.
Unless JD Vance and the negotiating team can get a deal made this weekend, I do think there is a real possibility that we strike Iran again.
China is allegedly restocking Iran with missiles and other military weapons.
We…
— Cole Grinde (@GrindeOptions) April 9, 2026
Today a huge US military airlift continued to the Middle East despite a ceasefire… pic.twitter.com/d5DT5kfQhz
— WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧 (@WarMonitor3) April 9, 2026