Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by Michael On Monday morning, the front page of the Drudge Report featured a very alarming two word headline in all capital letters: “INFLATION ACCELERATES”. Of course that headline was 100% accurate. Prices are rising and our seemingly endless cost of living crisis is beginning to accelerate once again. I have heard from many of …
This is getting ugly fast. Oil inventories crash toward zero by July, prices ready to explode. Crazy. This countries going to meltdown soon. Prices on food and gas are going to push people over the edge 💀 pic.twitter.com/U5Pd9UQ58Q — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 11, 2026 Lots of videos on TikTok of gas stations out of …
by Michael We live at a time when deception is running rampant. Iran is not telling the truth about what is going on in the Strait of Hormuz. Neither is the Pentagon. On Monday, a few commercial vessels were able to get through the Strait. On Tuesday, that number dropped to zero. That isn’t progress. …
Is a Private-Credit Crisis Imminent? The rapid expansion of opaque and minimally regulated lending outside the traditional banking system over the past 15 years largely flew—as intended—under regulators’ radar. Now, however, signs of trouble in shadow banking are multiplying, with rising redemptions and notable fund failures stoking fears of a 2008-style crisis. Though we might …
Live recession oddshttps://t.co/yvED3yZNF6 — NewsWire (@NewsWire_US) April 26, 2026 Grok: Accurate per the American Farm Bureau Federation’s survey (April 3-11, 2026; 5,700+ farmers). 70% say they can’t afford all the fertilizer needed this season due to price spikes. Many plan to cut rates or acres, risking lower 2026 yields. South hit hardest (78%). Full report: …
🚨 BREAKING INSIDERS JUST STARTED MASSIVELY DUMPING EVERYTHING EXCEPT OIL RIGHT AHEAD OF THE U.S. MARKET OPEN ON MONDAY! EVERY SINGLE INSIDER IS SELLING BILLIONS NONSTOP: 0 BUYS. 1,382 SELLS. $13.58 BILLION IN VOLUME. THIS IS REALLY BAD FOR MARKETS… pic.twitter.com/BRRaddPa9n — Wimar.X (@DefiWimar) April 19, 2026
🇮🇷 Strait of Hormuz reality check, early April, even after Trump’s ceasefire: – Vessel traffic has dropped to single digits per day.– Iran now has total control: obstructing passages at will and charging vessels millions of dollars in fees to get through.– Crude oil prices… https://t.co/MHTCeXqfrE pic.twitter.com/E79Jb4xXDq — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) April 9, 2026 Here’s …
Trump decided at the last minute not to strike Iranian power plants and major infrastructure for two weeks. Iran said it accepts the two-week ceasefire and will coordinate safe passage for ships through the Strait of Hormuz. No other major terms were agreed upon by either side. Iran did not accept any U.S. core demands. …
by Michael Is it just a coincidence that the United States is being hit by a remarkable series of natural disasters at the exact same time that a catastrophic war has erupted in the Middle East? This weekend, I came across an image on social media that someone had created that depicted 7 disasters that …
by Michael When this war with Iran erupted, everyone knew that it would have an impact on the global economy. But very few anticipated that it would be this bad. We are facing the worst oil disruption in history, the worst natural gas disruption in history, the worst helium disruption in history and the worst …
Trump is REALLY pissed about the mines being laid in the Strait of Hormuz. It's only a matter of time before he does something REALLY dumb. Like put troops on the ground. Bulls, we're out of TACOs. German stocks are on the verge of breaking key support for the first time… pic.twitter.com/eZe8S6EdVy — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) …
Really hard to bearish seeing stats like this https://t.co/adTqOewbHC — Reformed Tr🅰️der (@Reformed_Trader) March 7, 2026 🚨 BREAKING! A LARGE tanker just SAFELY cruised through the Strait of Hormuz amid the raging conflict with Iran. Gas prices will come back down. pic.twitter.com/jdaNmgaXep — Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman) March 8, 2026 Everyone is crying about next week… …
Man, times really are tough out there. byu/Mr-Night-Owl inwallstreetbets
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_onvuhKr3c The fog of war is very real right now. If you listen to Western media outlets the US and Israeli bombing of Iran is going very well. Their entire military leadership has been wiped out almost their entire Navy and this thing will be wrapped up very soon at the start of the week …
Something is happening with the food in America and more people are noticing it every single day. Ground beef that doesn’t smell right, cheese that won’t melt, strawberries that are completely white on the inside and taste like chemicals. These aren’t isolated complaints anymore. Thousands of people across the country are saying the same thing: …
The reality is that both OpenAI and Anthropic are going to spend hundreds of billions of dollars just trying to out compute each other over the next decade. Instead of guessing which massive software model wins the war at a $500B+ premium, the real opportunity is buying the… — 5to9_M.J. (@5to9_MJ) February 14, 2026 $1T …
Not really shocking. Half of Congress thinks we are a democracy and not a constitutional republic. — No one special (@mickdayank) February 9, 2026
Were did you get the polls from Minnesota cali and Oregon the Olympic team of 3!! Really how do you know a non college from a college age!! Please info on sources???? — Bama17🇺🇸 (@Bama175) February 9, 2026
BANK OF JAPAN QUIETLY BEGINS ETF SALES PROGRAM SET TO LAST A CENTURY – NIKKEI — First Squawk (@FirstSquawk) February 9, 2026 Per AI: Multiple major Japanese financial outlets — including Nikkei Asia, which is the country’s most credible economic newspaper — reported that: The BOJ has started selling ETFs from its balance sheet. The …
A new social network called Moltbook has been created for AIs, allowing machines to interact and talk to each other. Within hours of the platform launching, the AIs appeared to have created their own religions, developed subcultures and attempted to evade human efforts to eavesdrop on their conversations. There is some evidence that humans, operating …
BESSENT SAYS WHETHER TO SUE WARSH OVER FED INTEREST RATE POLICY IS UP TO PRESIDENT TRUMP — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) February 5, 2026 Feb 5 (Reuters) – U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Thursday declined to commit that the Trump administration would not sue Kevin Warsh, its nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, if he …
-74% of all insulin used in America comes from Denmark. -100% of all Ozempic used in America comes from Denmark-15% of all shipping containers arriving in America come from a Danish company All 3 are being discussed within Denmark to halt. — Morgan Cameron Ross (@Morgan_C_Ross) January 18, 2026 You really oughta research the facts …
Really hard to imagine why precious metals have been bid. pic.twitter.com/9g2lWKXnli — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) January 14, 2026 Monetary policy should be on hold until the 12% additional inflation we've had since January 2020 above the 2% trendline is erased. There's no point in having an inflation target if you're not going to adhere …
US Senator Lindsey Graham said on Thursday that recent media reports suggesting President Donald Trump had ruled out military action against Iran were inaccurate. “All the headlines like these are examples of reporting that are beyond inaccurate,” Graham wrote on X. He shared screenshots of headlines that read “Trump gets cold feet on Iran” and …
Core CPI is at the lowest level since 2021. https://t.co/pCbKkErSEW pic.twitter.com/rQ4iaiQe9N — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) January 13, 2026 Inflation 🥶🥶🥶 CPI MoM: 0.3% vs 0.3% exp.CPI Core MoM: 0.2% vs 0.3% exp. CPI YoY: 2.7% vs 2.7% exp.CPI Core YoY: 2.6% vs 2.7% exp. The tariff "inflation shock" yet to arrive… — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) …
A perturbed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told President Trump late Sunday that the federal investigation into the Federal Reserve chair “made a mess” and could be bad for financial markets, two sources familiar with the call told Axios. Why it matters: Bessent’s worries about the financial fallout were somewhat realized Monday, when the dollar dropped …
Bill O’Reilly explains what Donald Trump is really after in Greenland after taking down Maduro in Venezuela. “I know this because I sat in a meeting with President Trump to discuss Greenland.” According to O’Reilly, “President Trump wants… pic.twitter.com/zbBmsCcPSn — The Vigilant Fox 🦊 (@VigilantFox) January 6, 2026
by Michael We are literally watching history in the making. We all saw what just happened in Venezuela, and now there are all sorts of rumors that more bold moves are about to be made on the global chessboard. Thanks to social media, war rumors often spread like wildfire, and not all of them turn out …
BREAKING: Hilton statement to @FoxNews: "Hilton hotels serve as welcoming places for all. This hotel is independently owned and operated, and the actions referenced are not reflective of Hilton values. We are investigating this matter with this individual hotel, and can confirm… https://t.co/e9UHjL4L1m — Bill Melugin (@BillMelugin_) January 5, 2026 The Department of Homeland Security …
