Semiconductor Markets Are Running on Leverage Not Value

Institutional hedging is surging as open interest on puts outweighs calls by over 3 to 1

Hyperscalers are dumping 650 billion into AI infrastructure but AI chip guidance is stalling

Broadcom hit revenue targets but failed to raise full year AI guidance causing sector jitters

Global smartphone semiconductor revenues are set to collapse 13 percent in 2026

Memory prices are spiking 50 percent creating a cost bottleneck that kills downstream margins

Market breadth has effectively evaporated as gains rely on fewer and fewer names

This is a structural bubble where capex spending has decoupled from actual earnings growth

Betting on a correction is not just sentiment it is a mathematical necessity

The leverage is about to unwind as the AI buildout hits a reality check

Not financial advice