The Fed just admitted the job market won’t recover for years. They now expect higher unemployment through 2027. Fed model divergence flashes pre-recession warning, chart mirrors 1989, 2001, 2008 before hard pivots

Kinda puts this into a different perspective now huh? Same thing with me talking about $UNF and $MAN. All kind of adds up. pic.twitter.com/PJuiYoEVOt

— Amanda Goodall (@thejobchick) June 18, 2025

This chart is a clear warning shot to those still clinging to the idea of a “soft landing.” Every time the modeled Fed Funds Rate (based on labor + inflation dynamics) has overshot the actual Fed Funds Rate this aggressively and then sharply reversed, it has preceded a recession… https://t.co/wMbCBeIaz8

— EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) June 18, 2025