Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
@alienslastnight Tim Burchett cautions the public to stay grounded amid sensational claims, warning that misinformation and psychological operations could be at play. Addressing stories about alleged alien hybrid programs, he emphasized that people should be skeptical and not accept extraordinary claims without direct evidence, stressing: if you don’t see it with your own eyes, don’t …
A leaked CIA briefing to the White House concludes that Iran retains significant ballistic missile capabilities, undercutting Donald Trump’s claims that the regime’s stockpile has been wiped out. The regime retains roughly 70 percent of its prewar missile stockpile and 75 percent of its mobile launcher inventory, according to a confidential CIA analysis provided to …
Central banks in China Russia stack gold while Western money printing hits the wall. Adam Creighton calls out coming sudden reallocation as governments inflate away obligations. War on cash CBDCs and emissions targets all tools to crush personal economic freedomAdam just spelled out the quiet math that’s about to bite the West hard. Man the …
Over 100,000 undocumented Chinese nationals sit in US while China takes just 3,000 then drags its feet. Law-abiding Chinese travelers now face cash bonds and visa blocks because their government won’t take its own back. US prepared for visa sanctions on China over migrants issue, official says https://t.co/RuvLOQ4OOx — The Straits Times (@straits_times) May 5, …
The luxury EV maker reported a difficult first quarter tonight, with a market cap sitting at a precarious $2.39 billion as debt concerns mount… Management is hosting a call to discuss the results, but the early data shows the high interest rate environment is suffocating the luxury electric market… Production and delivery numbers are struggling …
The White House is threatening to slash more UN dues, Trump wants “reforms” including a 10% cut to peacekeeping missions today… USAID has been effectively dismantled, the remaining skeleton crew is being folded into the State Department… UN Secretary General Guterres says the funds are “non-negotiable,” he’s warning of an imminent financial collapse for the …
UPDATE: Trump on Iran proposal: It’s not acceptable to me. I’ve studied it, I’ve studied everything – it’s not acceptable. — First Squawk (@FirstSquawk) May 3, 2026 The President told reporters in Miami he’s looking at the “concept” of Tehran’s deal, military strikes remain a possibility if they misbehave… Truth Social posts show Trump is …
President posts picture of himself armed and declares no more Mr. Nice Guy.. Extended blockade targets regime coffers as nuclear talks stall.. Brent crude nears war highs above $114 dollars on supply fears.. TRUMP WARNS IRAN: “GET SMART FAST” Donald Trump slammed Iran over stalled nuclear talks, saying it has failed to make progress toward …
Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: “We’re 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant …
Goldman Sachs is warning that pension funds will dump $23 billion in stocks by month-end — one of the biggest selling programs in years — just as CTA buying is drying up. With U.S.-Iran talks collapsing and bearish pressure building, stocks could take a sharp hit. But I’m still holding my S&P 500 longs. In …
Multiple risk stack flagged, macro shock, private credit stress, AI valuation reset risk combined. Global stock markets are too high and set to fall, says Bank of England deputy “The thing that really keeps me awake at night is the likelihood of a number of risks crystallising at the same time – a major macroeconomic …
EU energy commissioner warned this morning that even if the Iran war ended today the energy crisis could last years with jet fuel shortages grounding routes and diesel next in line plus potential catastrophic economic fallout beyond energy. The best case scenario still means years of tight energy supply. PROLONGED ENERGY CRISIS AHEAD, EU WARNS …
Russia is reportedly developing a nuclear weapon designed to be deployed in space that could cripple global communications and cause widespread disruption. General Stephen Whiting, head of U.S. Space Command, has admitted that Washington is “very concerned” about plans to place a nuclear anti-satellite weapon into orbit. “They are thinking about placing in orbit a …
ECB chief Christine Lagarde warns of possible food rationing due to fertilizer disruptions “A third of fertilizers are shipped through the Strait of Hormuz… that is at risk.” A “monster drought” has already affected most U.S. states. But Glenn Beck warns that this may only be the beginning. Between the drought and other issues with …
If you read this as talks collapsing, you’re taking the bait, this is how they raise stakes before sitting back down. 🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 BREAKING: Iran's lead negotiator Ghalibaf rejects negotiations while the U.S. blockade continues and threatened to reveal "new cards on the battlefield" "Trump, by imposing a siege and violating the ceasefire, seeks to turn …
Ken Griffin of Citadel has said there is an energy price shock occurring across the world. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April 20, 2026 AI BOOM WON’T AUTOMATICALLY MEAN RATE CUTS Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh argues an AI-driven productivity surge could allow lower interest rates without stoking inflation. Economist Ed Yardeni disagrees. While also bullish on …
NEW: The International Energy Agency chief is sounding the alarm that Europe is running out of fuel due to the Strait of Hormuz blockade: "We have maybe 6 weeks or so of jet fuel left… I can tell you soon we will hear the news that some of the flights from City A to City …
Turkey and Argentina used rate pressure management to ease fiscal strain but ended up amplifying inflation and currency instability through loss of market confidence. The former US Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen says lowering rates to reduce debt service costs can lead to inflation getting out of control. She compared the United States today to …
This started as U.S. vs Iran… now it’s slowly turning into a U.S. vs China situation, and that’s where things get risky. Follow the oil and it makes sense. China depends on Hormuz for ~40% of its oil and 30% of LNG, so it’s not sitting back. They’ve already sent warships from Djibouti, parked destroyers …
The Israeli military said its air force hit infrastructure of the Iran-backed militant group in Lebanon and was continuing to support its ground forces operating in southern Lebanon. The statement came as Teheran was pressing for a halt to Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in three-party talks that began Saturday afternoon between Iran and the US …
BREAKING 🚨 🇮🇱 🇱🇧 Israel’s IDF Chief Eyal Zamir says Lebanon is now the main battlefield. ⚡️ 💥 “We are at war, not in a ceasefire. This is our primary combat zone” 🇮🇷 🤯 He says a ceasefire holds with Iran, but fighting can resume any moment with force. pic.twitter.com/R94tNCFnic — FalconUpdatesHQ (@FalconUpdatesHQ) April 10, …
TLDR: JPMorgan slapped a $145 price target on TSLA (Sell rating), calling ~60% downside, after Tesla missed Q1 deliveries by ~7,600 units and built a 50,000-unit inventory surplus. https://finance.yahoo.com/video/jpmorgan-warns-tesla-stock-could-sink-60-in-new-note-heres-why-142000095.html Seems $TSLA is forming shoulder-head-shoulder formation pic.twitter.com/ftNx6D7Kno — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) April 6, 2026 Tesla is probably the prefect reflection on how the stock market …
BREAKING: A recession model that has predicted every single US downturn in 80 years just hit 49%. The threshold is 50%. Every time it has crossed that line, a recession followed within 12 months. No exceptions. And the data behind this reading doesn’t even include the Iran war yet… Moody’s built an AI model trained …
Angel investor Simon Dixon explains how the U.S. economy Ponzi scheme is approaching imminent collapse: “[This] is an absolute disaster.” “The only solution [now] is to print more money than Covid… more money than the global financial crisis.” “[The U.S. needs] to roll over $7 trillion of debt at either 4.5% or 5%.” This clip …
Americans aren’t getting laid off. And they’re not quitting. They’re simply just not getting hired, and the numbers haven’t been this bad since the pandemic closed the economy by force. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday the hiring rate fell to 3.1% in February, with just 4.8 million hires, the lowest since April …
Trump warns he is strongly considering pulling the US out of Nato in renewed attack on 'paper tiger' alliance https://t.co/ddTcqRIRmU — Daily Mail (@DailyMail) April 1, 2026 Donald Trump has warned he is strongly considering pulling the US out of NATO in his latest attack on the ‘paper tiger’ bloc. In an interview with the …
Iran’s Ambassador to Russia warns the U.S. against a ground invasion: “If someone invades our land and thinks they can easily take Iran, they are mistaken. American soldiers will suffer a great calamity. I don’t know if they will be able to remove the bodies.” This is the bluntest threat Iran has made in the …
As shown below, the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) currently warns of a potential recession or at least a significant economic slowdown. I haven’t published the WRS for some time and “Walmart Worries” just keep multiplying. For the details see my latest @ https://t.co/cmZvbGqspf pic.twitter.com/GU4EJg2Hx6 — Jim Paulsen (@jimwpaulsen) March 30, 2026 Walmart recession signal on …
Bernie Sanders: Larry Ellison, the second richest person on Earth, who is a major investor in AI, predicts an AI powered surveillance state is coming where "citizens will be on their best behavior because we are constantly recording and reporting everything that is going on." pic.twitter.com/PhHYPSvgmh — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) March 29, 2026 Jimmy welcomes back …
🚨🌍 THE WORLD HAS 2–3 WEEKS BEFORE COLLAPSE Luke Gromen says supply chains are already cracking under pressure. He says if nothing changes, the global economy won’t hold much longer.@LukeGromen https://t.co/QYajJHCA85 pic.twitter.com/T4PyWG3vRl — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) March 26, 2026 Per Grok: If the US-Israel-Iran war extends another 2-3 weeks (now ~4 weeks in): – **Energy**: …