Luke Gromen warns world has 2 to 3 weeks before collapse, supply chains already cracking under pressure

Per Grok:

If the US-Israel-Iran war extends another 2-3 weeks (now ~4 weeks in):

– **Energy**: Strait of Hormuz disruption (20% global oil) already cut ME exports ~60%. Prolonged closure could push oil to $150-200+/bbl, triggering shortages, rationing (e.g., odd-even plates in Asia), higher transport/fuel costs worldwide.

– **Supply chains**: Rerouted shipping, port delays hit Asia-Europe trade; factories slow, goods shortages emerge in electronics/food.

– **Economy**: Inflation spikes, recession risks rise, bond/stock volatility (markets currently pricing quick win). Gold surges as hedge.

– **Military/Geopolitics**: Iran’s missiles degraded (hundreds of strikes), but asymmetric retaliation/proxies continue. US risks Suez 1956-style strategic setback if no resolution; talks pushed but Iran demands reparations/sovereignty.

Outcomes depend on diplomacy vs. escalation—quick deal likely best case. Data-driven, not prediction.