Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
China’s youth unemployment has reached extremes. Gen Zers are paying to pretend to work in faux offices across the country. With 14.5% of young professionals still unemployed, they are gathering at hotspots run by “Pretend to Work Company.” https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/china-youth-unemployment-bad-gen-155718392.html Facing a brutal job market, young adults pay for the structure and social interaction these fake …
Canada’s labor market did more than stumble in July, it collapsed spectacularly. Missing job growth forecasts by over 54,000 is not just a minor slip. It signals serious cracks in the economy’s foundation. When youth unemployment reaches levels unseen since 2010, that sends a sharp warning about the future workforce and consumer spending. The sectors …
6.5M sidelined want work participation rate keeps falling… 1. Sector BreakdownJune job gains were led by gov’t, healthcare, and hospitality—low-wage, service-heavy sectors. Meanwhile, business services, manufacturing, and tech were flat or shrinking. This isn’t strength—it’s a shift toward unproductive labor. pic.twitter.com/STzuNl5NM8 — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) July 3, 2025 3. People Not in Labor Force …
Labor market stays warm signs of slowdown below the surface… BLS HOT HOT HOT!: Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 147,000 in June, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in state government and health care. Federal government continued to… — Sold …
Layoffs surge 80 percent over last year. U.S. employers announced almost 100,000 job cuts in May, up 47% from the same month last year Read more: https://t.co/eblFmoiRIQ — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) June 26, 2025 Massachusetts closing in on 5% unemployment is a major canary in the coal mine. https://t.co/0CAtRANQl4 pic.twitter.com/o1ErSondtS — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) …
Echoes of 2008 stir on Wall Street… Just as in 2000 & 2007, when weekly unemployment claims start nearing 300K you can kiss the bull market goodbye. Mark it down. 💯 Chart from @profplum99. pic.twitter.com/bJffcNyvN5 — John (@market_sleuth) June 19, 2025 CRASH WARNING🛑 Dow Jones 2008 vs 2025 Likely or Unlikely? Study carefully; carefully study. …
Kinda puts this into a different perspective now huh? Same thing with me talking about $UNF and $MAN. All kind of adds up. pic.twitter.com/PJuiYoEVOt — Amanda Goodall (@thejobchick) June 18, 2025 This chart is a clear warning shot to those still clinging to the idea of a “soft landing.” Every time the modeled Fed Funds …
These jumps in unemployment are insane. Windsor: 7.8 to 10.8 Oshawa: 5.3 to 9.1 Toronto: 7.8 to 8.8 Barrie: 6.2 to 8.4 Ontario is getting hammered. pic.twitter.com/8HPqMbqmSY — red pill rick (@igetredpilled) June 6, 2025 Canada’s unemployment rate hits 7%, which is the highest since 2016. Ontario is bumbling with an 8% unemployment, which I …
A lot of people are extremely bullish on AI and the level of productivity it brings and the fortunes along with it. But there’s a dark side as well. AI has the potential to leave more Americans unemployed than ever in our country’s history. As much as 10 to 20% unemployment could be a realistic …
Unemployment 20-29 (2 year associate academic):.6%Unemployment 20-29 (2 year vocational):5.2%#econtwitter further thoughts? — Ro Khanna (@RoKhanna) May 15, 2025 College was supposed to be the ticket. The path. The safety net that guaranteed something better. Parents took out loans. Students borrowed more. Politicians promised it was the only way to get ahead. And now, those …
Long-term unemployment is rising: The number of long-term unemployed Americans jumped to 1.67 million in April, the highest since February 2022. The number of Americans unemployed for 27 weeks and over has risen by ~600,000 over the last 2 years. As a result, the share of… pic.twitter.com/HLdMQcEbaj — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 7, 2025 …
🚨The US job market is deteriorating: Long-term unemployment hit 1.67 MILLION in April, the highest in 3 YEARS. The share of individuals unemployed for more than 27 weeks of total unemployment hit 23.5%, the highest in 3 years. This has never occurred outside of recessions. pic.twitter.com/wLh8mDxEDN — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) May 5, 2025 🚨 …
People are so desperate for cash that they are rushing out to melt their gold jewelry in exchange for cash. At the same time. Layoffs are picking up and many people are turning into gig work for a quick paycheck replacement. Only to find out that there is now a waitlist that can last for …
The Brief Arizona is faring better than other states in tracking down money from pandemic unemployment fraud. There is still nearly $4 billion unaccounted for, however. Nationwide, the recovery rate of unemployment fraud money recovered is in the single digits, while in Arizona, that number is closer to 30%. PHOENIX – Arizona investigators are still …
Not since the early weeks of the pandemic have Americans been this certain that unemployment will spike. Consumers surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in March put a 44% probability on the nation’s jobless rate being higher a year later, marking the highest level since April 2020. The New York Fed’s latest …
We are in a recession! ⚠️This is HUGE: 1.2 MILLION people lost full-time jobs in the US in February, the 2nd-highest reading since the 2020 CRISIS. This comes after January upward revision of 2.4 million due to historic population adjustment. Is the US job market cracking?👇https://t.co/3owdJozuXU — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) April 1, 2025 🚨US …
Take, as a particularly egregious example, what is perhaps the most widely reported economic indicator: unemployment. Known to experts as the U-3, the number misleads in several ways. First, it counts as employed the millions of people who are unwillingly under-employed — that is, people who, for example, work only a few hours each week …
Voters weren’t crazy. The economy felt worse because it was worse. The government cooked the books, pretending unemployment was low, wages were up, and growth was strong—meanwhile, people were struggling to pay rent and keep food on the table. Washington elites dismissed their concerns as ignorance, blaming “right-wing media” instead of asking the real question: …
This discrepancy could lead to the underestimation of employment growth, which is why your estimate of a potential bump in the unemployment rate makes sense. My back of an envelope calculation implies that the US unemployment rate will raise from 4.1 to 4.5-4.6% if the expected birth/death model adjustments are fully implementet into the unemployment …
by LegalDragonfruit1506 -Unemployment rate is low -Lots of job openings are being reported Almost 1/4 of Harvard MBA grads are unemployed. A recession is coming and the current administration is going to be holding the bag. https://www.edexlive.com/campus/2025/Jan/21/over-23-of-harvard-universitys-mba-graduates-unemployed-report
Seeing unemployment as a major factor for FHA mortgage delinquencies… it really is a house of cards. — Amanda Goodall (@thejobchick) January 13, 2025
🚨UNEMPLOYMENT IN CALIFORNIA IS SKYROCKETING🚨 The number of unemployed persons in California reached a whopping 1.05 MILLION, the highest in 3 years. Unemployment has jumped by 322,000 over the last 2 years. At the same time, the unemployment rate spiked to 5.3%. Recession? pic.twitter.com/gNpLH6z0ZH — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December 26, 2024 Don't say you …
California unemployment is pulling a 2008 trajectory https://t.co/XQ40iAtKV0 — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) December 24, 2024 🚨 Another half-million jobs reported under Biden turn out to be phantom! 🚨 The Philly Fed's recent findings reveal that Q2 job growth was actually negative, with all reported gains set for revision in 2025. This follows an alarming downward …
Corporate bankruptcies and defaults accelerating, unemployment continues to rise, and spreads blow out. Especially, after Powell said “we’ve avoided recession” and S&P Global is expecting the speculative-grade default rate to fall to 3.5% by September 2025. Moody’s pointed out… https://t.co/9tn3htvQQI pic.twitter.com/kPNU1t3OTz — WarnTracker 2.0 (@j77324) December 21, 2024 This is concerning: Non-farm payroll employment in …
The MEDIAN duration of unemployment is 10.5 weeks. It was Dec 2008 by the time this series hit such lofty levels, 1 full year after the recession had begun, which took @nberpubs a record 366 days to backdate By then, the recession was 12 months old. It didn’t end until Jun 2009 https://t.co/VolPahwwiQ — Danielle …
This happens in Canada too! — Mothersilverape (@mothersilverape) December 15, 2024 https://twitter.com/j77324/status/1868113104136986809 https://twitter.com/dailyjobcuts/status/1867920697030578185 The labor market continues to weaken, hard to see a rebound in positive momentum at maximum employment. Employment to pop ratio is finally declining, however. pic.twitter.com/jRvCxKqDYI — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) December 15, 2024 pic.twitter.com/cWReoeN4c2 — Captain Frans Banninck Cocq (@Pricetheory101) December 14, …
One of our most legendary @MacroEdgeRes calls to date was our global employment forecast for Canada from March of 2023. — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) December 10, 2024 Canada is in a silent depression. 🤫🇨🇦 Pay attention to all the clues. 👇🏽 pic.twitter.com/LfpreO8ZnI — EconomicWoes 🤖 (@ManyBeenRinsed) September 14, 2024 Imagine dropping 1.8M on a house …
Fed injected 100million into the banking system this morning. Its probably nothin. pic.twitter.com/HzOJdkbUZW — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 10, 2024 They injected 2.3billion back few weeks ago. Ongoing liquidity crisis that will get extremely worse. — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 10, 2024 The blood indicator is VERY close to cross its 100-week MA. …
The unemployment level is now higher than where it was when the Fed cut rates (September). pic.twitter.com/epNpEKuaSt — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) December 9, 2024
