Corporate bond market exceeds $10T; primary dealer inventory at $33B signals illiquidity. Rising defaults echo 2008.

Corporate bonds outstanding >$10T. Primary dealer inventory $33B -not a liquid market. When credit markets quiet & calm, it gives impression liquidity's fine, but if many want to sell, liquidity disappears. Even in quiet markets, finding a bond can take several days @apolloglobal pic.twitter.com/6tx1U6jNH6 — Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) March …

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Borrowing decline signals economic strain, echoing through construction and job sectors.

The intricate dance of economic indicators has unveiled a story of shifting tides in residential construction spending, mortgages, and job cuts. Let’s delve into the latest data and decipher the narrative. As the residential construction spending spotlight dims, a critical player takes center stage: borrowing. A decline in borrowing echoes …

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Bitcoin’s 90% correlation with Nvidia signals a $4 trillion financial risk, fueled by rampant artificial intelligence.

The fusion of the stock market with the crypto market is now complete. Bitcoin is 90% correlated with Nvidia. It's a $4 trillion financial weapon of mass destruction. Sponsored by artificial intelligence. Which is now rampant. And also in computers. pic.twitter.com/X3bjYwkzVI — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) February 28, 2024 Bulls, these central …

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German Bank’s Warning Signals Greatest Real Estate Crisis Since Financial Crisis

In a chilling turn of events, Germany’s Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG has sounded the alarm, declaring the current state of affairs as the “greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis.” The contagion that started in the troubled US commercial property market is now making waves in Europe, prompting concerns about …

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Fed Chair on 60 Minutes signals a slower rate cut, leading to potential stock market pressure on bank stocks.

(Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will appear on CBS News’s 60 Minutes this Sunday and will discuss inflation risks, expected rate cuts and the banking system, among other topics, the network said. CBS announced his appearance on the social media platform X on Thursday, the same day that …

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China Surpasses India as Top Consumer of Gold Jewelry: Rising Demand Amidst Economic Uncertainties Signals Shift in Investment Preferences

China has overtaken India as the world’s number 1 consumer of gold jewellery. China understands the era of gold very well. — Gold Telegraph ⚡ (@GoldTelegraph_) February 3, 2024 China’s gold rush: world-leading jewellery surge shows how other investments have lost their shine China has overtaken India as the world’s …

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FAA’s Controversial Practices: Secret Code Words and Unusual Signals Allegedly Used for Employment Advantages

Recent revelations suggest unconventional practices within the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), where students associated with the Black Caucus of Federal Aviation Employees were allegedly given secret code words for their resumes. This practice aimed to fast-track their applications to the front of the line. Even more astonishing is the claim …

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Weak Job Growth Signals Concern: US Companies Add Fewer Jobs Than Expected in January, ADP Report Reveals

Good Morning Everyone! US companies added fewer jobs than forecast in January, according to the ADP jobs report. Private payrolls increased 107,000 in January from a downwardly revised 158,000 (was 164,000) gain in December. Nominal wage also growth continued to slow. This… pic.twitter.com/lDOZGumoP1 — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) January 31, …

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Ford Indicators Flash Serious Recession Signals as Probability of Contraction Rises

The probability of an outright contraction keeps getting higher and higher with each successive release. Ford projecting a *30%* decrease in commercial chassis orders: What this means: If you're ordering fewer chassis, you're likely producing fewer vehicles. But 30% is a big number. Image below is a layoff notice (WARN) …

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Mounting concerns over rapid high-yield bond sell-off, RRP depletion, labor market slowdown, and Euro zone recession signals.

The US high-yield bond market is currently facing its swiftest sell-off since March, triggering concerns reminiscent of worries about a banking-market collapse. Spreads in this market have widened by almost half a percentage point since December 28, marking the fastest pace of widening since March 16. This sudden development has …

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Japan’s economic dichotomy: Weak yen fuels equity rally, but strengthening yen signals uncertainty ahead.

The intricate dance of Japan’s economic landscape unfolds as the weak yen propels a robust equity rally, fueled by foreign demand in 2023. However, a notable twist in the narrative emerges as asset managers, for the first time since May, express bullish sentiments towards the Japanese yen. This intriguing shift …

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Signals of the Beginning of a Distressed Cycle

In a surprising development, CITIGROUP has decided to exit the distressed-debt trading business, sending shockwaves through financial markets. This move is not just a business decision; it’s a signal that the economy might be entering a distressed cycle. Several indicators point to an economic downturn on the horizon. Employment growth …

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Unexpected departure of NHTSA’s Ann Carlson raises questions on EV regulations and signals shifting administrative priorities.

Ann Carlson’s unexpected departure as acting administrator for NHTSA raises questions about the continuity of EV regulations. While the DOT cites the Vacancies Reform Act as the reason, her role in shaping regulations to promote electric vehicle usage makes this move significant. The memo emphasizes her leadership achievements, including advancements …

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SOFR surge signals funding pressure; less cash, dealer inventories, and repo demand risk Fed reassessment and early QT end.

by Chris Black Last Friday the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), a repo rate serving as the Fed’s new target reference rate , jumped 6 basis points (6 bps, 0.06) to above the Fed’s target range… Continue reading by subscribing. Username Password Remember Me     Forgot Password

Repo Rates Soar: Chinese Banks Navigate Unprecedented Debt Issuance Amidst PBOC’s Conflicting Signals; Smaller Banks in Distress as Mainstream Narratives Fall Short

The financial landscape is in tumult as repo rates soar, with banks heavily borrowing to address liquidity concerns and a looming specter of potential economic deflation. Adding to the complexity, Chinese banks have entered the scene, issuing an extraordinary volume of short-term debt at penalty rates, coinciding with unusual activities …

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Alarming Economic Signals: Record-Low Demand for Oil-Based Lubricants, Labor Market Fears, and Depleted Savings

The dwindling demand for oil-based lubricants, reaching its lowest point in over four decades, is a stark indicator of the challenges facing the manufacturing sector in the United States. This decline in demand is far from indicative of a ‘soft landing,’ and while circumstances may differ this time, historical data …

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