signals
Gold hitting new highs historically signals major economic warnings. For example, in 2007, it preceded the financial crisis.
2/ On 1st Oct 2007, Gold broke out to ATH for the 1st time in 1.5 years Thereon, the US unemployment rate began rising rapidly and economy growth slowed down Which ended in the 2008 Financial Crisis pic.twitter.com/Ws5AjjTaz3 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 10, 2024 4/ Today, Gold is once again breaking to new ATH …
Tim Cook’s massive sell-off of Apple shares, alongside a broader insider exodus.
Insiders have been dumping shares heavily over the last 60 days pic.twitter.com/KrT0SyQgQm — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 3, 2024 As the storm clouds gather on the horizon, a chilling revelation strikes fear into the hearts of investors: insiders are fleeing the market en masse, signaling a looming crisis. Over the past 60 days, insiders …
Corporate bond market exceeds $10T; primary dealer inventory at $33B signals illiquidity. Rising defaults echo 2008.
Corporate bonds outstanding >$10T. Primary dealer inventory $33B -not a liquid market. When credit markets quiet & calm, it gives impression liquidity's fine, but if many want to sell, liquidity disappears. Even in quiet markets, finding a bond can take several days @apolloglobal pic.twitter.com/6tx1U6jNH6 — Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) March 24, 2024 Up and to …
Russia and China’s collaboration on a lunar nuclear reactor signals the dawn of a new space race.
Russia and China announce plan to build shared nuclear reactor on the moon by 2035, ‘without humans.’ Russia’s space agency Roscosmos has announced plans to work with China to build an automated nuclear reactor on the moon by 2035. The proposed reactor will help power a proposed lunar base that the two countries will jointly …
Economic Signals Flashing Warning Signs: From Delinquencies to Job Cuts
Table is from December's report. Check out this supplementary table & the Reasons for Default – notice the uptick in both unemployment and NO Contact Those "no contact" are a combo of people who feel embarrassed and investors…these days less people are embarrassed pic.twitter.com/J7Sk7oqYuT — Melody Wright (@m3_melody) March 11, 2024 The economic landscape is …
Netanyahu signals intention to enter Rafah, continue military operations, and oppose Palestinian statehood…
BREAKING: ⚡ 🇮🇱Netanyahu to Politico: We will enter Rafah, and the red line for us is not to repeat the October 7 attack We are about to end the last part of the war, and the fighting will not take more than two months and perhaps 6 or 4 weeks I do not see any …
Borrowing decline signals economic strain, echoing through construction and job sectors.
The intricate dance of economic indicators has unveiled a story of shifting tides in residential construction spending, mortgages, and job cuts. Let’s delve into the latest data and decipher the narrative. As the residential construction spending spotlight dims, a critical player takes center stage: borrowing. A decline in borrowing echoes across the economic stage, leading …
Bitcoin’s 90% correlation with Nvidia signals a $4 trillion financial risk, fueled by rampant artificial intelligence.
The fusion of the stock market with the crypto market is now complete. Bitcoin is 90% correlated with Nvidia. It's a $4 trillion financial weapon of mass destruction. Sponsored by artificial intelligence. Which is now rampant. And also in computers. pic.twitter.com/X3bjYwkzVI — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) February 28, 2024 Bulls, these central bank rigged markets will always …
German Bank’s Warning Signals Greatest Real Estate Crisis Since Financial Crisis
In a chilling turn of events, Germany’s Deutsche Pfandbriefbank AG has sounded the alarm, declaring the current state of affairs as the “greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis.” The contagion that started in the troubled US commercial property market is now making waves in Europe, prompting concerns about broader financial repercussions. This week, …
Fed Chair on 60 Minutes signals a slower rate cut, leading to potential stock market pressure on bank stocks.
(Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will appear on CBS News’s 60 Minutes this Sunday and will discuss inflation risks, expected rate cuts and the banking system, among other topics, the network said. CBS announced his appearance on the social media platform X on Thursday, the same day that the interview was conducted. Powell …
China Surpasses India as Top Consumer of Gold Jewelry: Rising Demand Amidst Economic Uncertainties Signals Shift in Investment Preferences
China has overtaken India as the world’s number 1 consumer of gold jewellery. China understands the era of gold very well. — Gold Telegraph ⚡ (@GoldTelegraph_) February 3, 2024 China’s gold rush: world-leading jewellery surge shows how other investments have lost their shine China has overtaken India as the world’s No 1 consumer of gold …
FAA’s Controversial Practices: Secret Code Words and Unusual Signals Allegedly Used for Employment Advantages
Recent revelations suggest unconventional practices within the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), where students associated with the Black Caucus of Federal Aviation Employees were allegedly given secret code words for their resumes. This practice aimed to fast-track their applications to the front of the line. Even more astonishing is the claim that individuals could be prioritized …
Weak Job Growth Signals Concern: US Companies Add Fewer Jobs Than Expected in January, ADP Report Reveals
Good Morning Everyone! US companies added fewer jobs than forecast in January, according to the ADP jobs report. Private payrolls increased 107,000 in January from a downwardly revised 158,000 (was 164,000) gain in December. Nominal wage also growth continued to slow. This… pic.twitter.com/lDOZGumoP1 — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) January 31, 2024 Jan ADP job report …
Service Sector Stumbles: DAL Fed Signals Trouble as Retail Takes a Dive…
The Dallas Federal Reserve’s somber report reveals a slight contraction in the service sector in January. Retail, in particular, nosedives with the fastest sales drop since April ’20, casting a shadow on the overall health of the economy. The modest employment gains in non-retail services provide only marginal relief, painting a worrisome picture for the …
Ford Indicators Flash Serious Recession Signals as Probability of Contraction Rises
The probability of an outright contraction keeps getting higher and higher with each successive release. Ford projecting a *30%* decrease in commercial chassis orders: What this means: If you're ordering fewer chassis, you're likely producing fewer vehicles. But 30% is a big number. Image below is a layoff notice (WARN) filed by one of Ford's …
Economic Crossroads: M2 Money Supply Contracts… Signals of Deflation Risks Amidst Inflation Patterns…
Recent indicators suggest a potential shift as M2 money supply contracts sharply. While inflation has been the norm in recent years, notable declines in asset prices, such as a 25% drop in used car prices and a 50% decrease in egg prices in 2023, raise questions about deflation risks. Examining historical patterns, instances of deflation …
Federal Reserve Caught in a Conundrum as Economic Indicators Send Mixed Signals
The Federal Reserve finds itself in a bind, hesitant to acknowledge potential rate cuts in March due to concerns about the draining of reverse repo and the looming reserve constraint for small banks. The housing market, a reliable barometer of economic trends, is signaling a foreboding outlook for unemployment in 2024. Current market indicators, from …
Mounting concerns over rapid high-yield bond sell-off, RRP depletion, labor market slowdown, and Euro zone recession signals.
The US high-yield bond market is currently facing its swiftest sell-off since March, triggering concerns reminiscent of worries about a banking-market collapse. Spreads in this market have widened by almost half a percentage point since December 28, marking the fastest pace of widening since March 16. This sudden development has raised eyebrows, signaling potential turbulence …
Japan’s economic dichotomy: Weak yen fuels equity rally, but strengthening yen signals uncertainty ahead.
The intricate dance of Japan’s economic landscape unfolds as the weak yen propels a robust equity rally, fueled by foreign demand in 2023. However, a notable twist in the narrative emerges as asset managers, for the first time since May, express bullish sentiments towards the Japanese yen. This intriguing shift raises questions about a potential …
Signals of the Beginning of a Distressed Cycle
In a surprising development, CITIGROUP has decided to exit the distressed-debt trading business, sending shockwaves through financial markets. This move is not just a business decision; it’s a signal that the economy might be entering a distressed cycle. Several indicators point to an economic downturn on the horizon. Employment growth has slowed, and the 30-Year …
2024 signals a pivotal year for precious metals, with gold and silver poised for significant moves.
With gold setting the stage for a significant move, 2024 is likely to be the year for precious metals. Investors remain gun-shy about deploying capital into the mining industry, which is poised to be one of the best segments of the market in the coming year. Silver,… pic.twitter.com/JZaRMU1pLl — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) December 19, 2023 …
The Fed’s Panicked U-Turn – signals that trouble is coming.
via DAVID JENSEN: On December 13, 2023 the Fed U-turned from a staunch inflation fighting policy stance two weeks prior to signaling that it was preparing for rate cuts. This raised the question of what could have changed in two weeks to cause such a reversal. If we look at key metrics such as M2 …
Unexpected departure of NHTSA’s Ann Carlson raises questions on EV regulations and signals shifting administrative priorities.
Ann Carlson’s unexpected departure as acting administrator for NHTSA raises questions about the continuity of EV regulations. While the DOT cites the Vacancies Reform Act as the reason, her role in shaping regulations to promote electric vehicle usage makes this move significant. The memo emphasizes her leadership achievements, including advancements in vehicle safety standards and …
Brexit for everyone: Dutch Parliament’s historic move signals a shift away from EU asylum and migration policies.
Geert Wilders has begun the process of halting the fake refugee invasion into the Netherlands. Next step, mass deportations. https://t.co/ihwU64OWzZ — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) December 15, 2023
SOFR surge signals funding pressure; less cash, dealer inventories, and repo demand risk Fed reassessment and early QT end.
by Chris Black Last Friday the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), a repo rate serving as the Fed’s new target reference rate , jumped 6 basis points (6 bps, 0.06) to above the Fed’s target range. SOFR measures (https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/reference-rates/sofr) the median cost of Treasury repo borrowing. The jump not only caught most people off guard, …
Yen in Freefall, Yet Japanese Producer Price Index Signals Stubborn Deflation
Despite a decline in the value of the Japanese yen, the Producer Price Index (PPI) in Japan continues to indicate a deflationary trend. In other words, the prices that producers receive for their goods and services are still experiencing a decrease, despite the currency’s depreciation. This scenario can have implications for the overall economic conditions …
Repo Rates Soar: Chinese Banks Navigate Unprecedented Debt Issuance Amidst PBOC’s Conflicting Signals; Smaller Banks in Distress as Mainstream Narratives Fall Short
The financial landscape is in tumult as repo rates soar, with banks heavily borrowing to address liquidity concerns and a looming specter of potential economic deflation. Adding to the complexity, Chinese banks have entered the scene, issuing an extraordinary volume of short-term debt at penalty rates, coinciding with unusual activities by the Chinese Communist Party …
Goldman Sachs Signals 98% Historical Risk of Default as Countries Reach 130% Debt-to-GDP Rati
In the last 120 years, when a country’s debt got really high, 98% of them ended up not being able to pay it back. Ken Griffin says the government can avoid this by printing more money, but it would mess up the economy really bad. A simple solution could be for Congress to spend less, …