signals

The 10-Year UST signals rising investor demand for higher yields amid reckless U.S. deficit spending and inflation. The US sovereign debt crisis is getting worse, faster

The trajectory. pic.twitter.com/7x59bmBk5k — Tuomas Malinen (@mtmalinen) October 23, 2024 Why in the hell are we cutting interest rates? Honestly it’s complete insanity. The bond market hates the idea as you can see by the rising 10 year yield. Inflation is still a major problem and is not under control. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) October …

READ MORE

A silver breakout signals something big and troubling is on the horizon.

When you get silver breaking out, you know that a major event is around the corner . Something big is brewing ,real big. This, not good.This, very bad. pic.twitter.com/pxRYjJYDku — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 20, 2024 Is the Silver bull run just beginning? pic.twitter.com/x5cP7ACalC — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) October 21, 2024 Silver could surpass …

READ MORE

This Was the Final Straw to the Global Economy! Weak Auto Production Signals Recession

This may end up being the final straw for what’s left of the global economy. With more highly negative signals from copper, gold, oil and swaps, even bond spreads here, we’re getting more impressions that the part rolling recession is now rolling right on into the full thing. If this one goes, that’s usually it. …

READ MORE

Yield curve steepening historically signals recessions, yet markets often rise until the final moment. We’re in the “hot zone” for a recession

2/ The yield curve just steepened by 1%, coming out of an inversion The last time we saw this was in 2020 during the COVID-19 recession pic.twitter.com/L2gzkGSCI8 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 8, 2024 4/ So, where's the recession now? GDP growth in the US is still at a healthy 2% The job market remains …

READ MORE

Recession Signals Are FLASHING Red, It’s Much Worse Than You Think

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x415sUMvNjk The US economy has been struggling for some time, and the situation has worsened with the onset of a recession. The recession is here, and it’s not looking pretty. Despite the optimism and reassurances from various sources, the reality is that the recession is expected to have a severe impact. Today, we will examine …

READ MORE

China’s rising youth unemployment signals the nation’s economic woes are far from over

A harbinger of China’s economic decline is back. The rate of urban youth unemployment has been a commonly-cited gauge of the country’s financial stability. Last year — amid a stagnating economy and slackening labor market — it reached record highs. In June 2023, the percentage of jobless 16- to 24-year-olds hit a peak of 21.3%. …

READ MORE

Market Pricing Signals A 100% Probability Of US Recession

🚨MARKET PRICING SIGNALS A 100% PROBABILITY OF US RECESSION🚨 The market is currently pricing in over 2.00% Fed rate cuts within 12 months, the most since the Financial Crisis. This implies a 100% probability of a recession in the next 12 months, according to Goldman Sachs. pic.twitter.com/AHZtUBrZ3Z — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 22, 2024 …

READ MORE

US NFIB Business Optimism Index at 91.2, signals deep recession concerns; FedEx CEO highlights economic weakness.

FedEx CEO says “The magnitude of the Fed rate cuts . . . signals the weakness of the current environment,” as priority shipments between businesses, a bell-weather of the economy, dropped FedEx reported a steep quarterly profit drop and lowered its full-year revenue forecast on Thursday after its customers continued to trade down from speedy, …

READ MORE

US Dollar, oil, and bond yields crashing simultaneously signals a rare, powerful signal

2/ Aug 2000 to April 2001: Market dropped by about 25% and yields were falling Creating a "stocks-down-yields-down" environment This is typical during economic recessions pic.twitter.com/0Do52BsCXC — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) September 16, 2024 4/ Fast forward to 2008: Initial downturn in stocks coincided with declining bond yields Again, the same recessionary behavior led straight to …

READ MORE

China’s bond rally signals economic weakness, with yields dropping to record lows. Unworkable housing rescue math is prolonging crisis

Money is pouring into Chinese government bonds. The buying has bid up prices and forced yields down to near record lows. The move has upset the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC), which has expressed considerable concern over what will happen to China’s financial stability when the rally reverses and people, especially banks, suffer losses. Behind …

READ MORE

Powell at Jackson Hole signals rate cuts. Unemployment begins to move sharply the wrong way

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Falls US Treasury yields fell by up to 5 basis points to 3.807% as investors anticipated larger Fed rate cuts this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled readiness to cut inte… More here: https://t.co/AdIot28g1y pic.twitter.com/rGam65VO7z — TRADING ECONOMICS (@tEconomics) August 23, 2024 Powell: "the time has come" for the central bank …

READ MORE

Insiders Send Up Important Smoke Signals

by jessefelder The combination of extreme valuations and rising dispersion is a classic sign of a stock market top. Corporate insiders are certainly behaving in a manner consistent with that appraisal. Perhaps they understand better than most that analyst estimates are just far too optimistic and will soon be revised down to match falling consumer …

READ MORE

JPMorgan’s $3.1 billion credit loss provision signals economic trouble, 62% increase from Q1.

https://twitter.com/1CoastalJournal/status/1811757149430640912 https://twitter.com/17296Jay18416/status/1811729236350111902 📈 Earnings Alert $JPM – JPMorgan 2Q Provision for Credit Losses Misses Estimates:∙ Provision for credit losses $3.05b, est $2.83b ∙ Adj revenue $50.99b ∙ Return on equity 23%, est 17.4%https://t.co/ZPPGNUWwcQ pic.twitter.com/vL1LqMwA2c — Smartkarma (@smartkarma) July 12, 2024 We are now to believe that an imploding economy will be good for banks and …

READ MORE

Housing inventory up 40% yoy. Signals in construction activity are mirroring the period leading up to the 2008 crash.

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.1% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 32.1% from the February seasonal bottom, and at the highest level since July 2020. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of July 5th, inventory was at 653 thousand (7-day average), compared to 646 thousand the prior week. Inventory is still far …

READ MORE

The recent drop in this economic indicator signals 2024 recession, mirroring past sharp downturns.

This economic indicator just saw a big move down At this rate, the recession threshold will be hit in 2024 The last 3 times it was hit ended in sharp economic downturns Leading to significant stock market declines pic.twitter.com/3h673lqYys — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 7, 2024 RECESSION IN THE US USUALLY COMES WITHIN 18 MONTHS …

READ MORE

Nike’s 17% plunge today signals worsening consumer spending and shrinking sales projections.

BREAKING: Nike stock, $NKE, is now down over 17% today after projecting a 10% decline in revenue for the current quarter. Nike now expects 2025 sales to fall mid-single digits, compared to estimates of a 0.9% increase. It also saw traffic in China decline across all channels… pic.twitter.com/k3ALg2s9a0 — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) June 28, …

READ MORE

Warning signals are flashing that could send the S&P 500 $SPX plunging 70% warns Hedge Fund Manager John Hussman

Warning signals are flashing that could send the S&P 500 $SPX plunging 70% warns Hedge Fund Manager John Hussman pic.twitter.com/8BtpNUnxmH — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) June 25, 2024 Blowoff Top Summer Confirmed ✅ pic.twitter.com/pMpTVmZRpK — Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) June 24, 2024 Megacap growth and tech call buying volume is at its highest level on record. …

READ MORE

Supreme Court Signals July End to Term as Trump Ruling Looms

(Bloomberg) — The US Supreme Court signaled it will take the unusual step of extending its term into July as it finishes work on about a dozen cases, including Donald Trump’s bid for immunity from prosecution for attempting to overturn his 2020 election loss. The court, which had already scheduled Wednesday as an opinion day …

READ MORE

Nvidia’s call volume hit a record 10 million on Friday, signaling PEAK AI. Core Systems nearing major sell signals, extremely overbought

Going into this past week, the highest Nvidia daily call volume was 5 million set in March of this year. This past week, it surpassed that record four times. The highest call volume on record was Friday, almost 10 million. I think we're seeing PEAK AI. pic.twitter.com/Uy36eqjJ5N — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 16, 2024 https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1802658401056367089 Core …

READ MORE

Unprecedented poor breadth in rally signals impending disaster; none ended well historically.

At no point in history has breadth ever been this bad during a rally let alone a blow off of 1300 $SPX points NONE ENDED WELL and THIS WILL BE A DISASTER pic.twitter.com/Iwwhi8f5z2 — @mcm_ct_usa (@mcm_ct_usa) June 11, 2024 This is a once-in-a-lifetime market environment. Proceed with caution! — Kailash Concepts (@KailashConcepts) June 11, 2024

Stocks’ lowered guidance signals economic slowdown. Violent reactions to bad forecasts.

Observation: Stocks are making their numbers but lowering guidance. These companies are warning you the economy is slowing down. Stocks are priced for perfection which is why the reactions to bad guidance are so violent. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 30, 2024 Stocks are meeting their current numbers but issuing lower guidance, signaling a slowdown …

READ MORE

Saudi Arabia’s $100 Billion AI and Semiconductor Fund Signals Willingness to Divest from China at US Request

With substantial financial backing from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, totaling a staggering $100 billion, Alat is positioned as a key player in the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductor technology. Midha’s assurance that Alat would swiftly disengage from its partnerships in Beijing if they were deemed detrimental to US interests reflects …

READ MORE

Bank of America signals summer surge amidst favorable indicators.

Recent market trends, including declining oil prices and rolling Treasury yields, suggest a potential surge in the S&P 500, as observed historically. Bank of America specifically highlights the benign High Yield OAS (Option-Adjusted Spread) as a supporting factor for a summer rally. Furthermore, indications such as the VIX (Volatility Index) being rebuffed at its downtrend …

READ MORE

Warren Buffet’s $188 billion cash hoard signals impending crisis.

Frustration mounts in the investment sphere as soaring prices and minimal pullbacks perplex investors, prompting Warren Buffet to hoard $188 billion in cash due to lack of viable investment options. The market’s relentless climb, exemplified by Nvidia’s staggering $400 billion surge in just 11 days, leaves investors eagerly awaiting a substantial downturn. Buying stocks at …

READ MORE

Gold/TLT ratio reflects US government spending; rising debt signals bullish outlook for Gold amidst inflation fears.

The intricate dance between economic indicators unveils a sobering reality: as US government debt skyrockets, Gold emerges as a beacon of stability, outperforming Bonds in a landscape of uncertainty. With national gasoline prices surging past $3.70 per gallon amid persistent inflationary pressures, concerns deepen over the prospect of breaching the $4.00 mark for the first …

READ MORE

Uh-oh! It looks like you're using an ad blocker.

Our website relies on ads and the generous support of readers like you to keep delivering free, high-quality content. Right now, we are facing serious funding challenges and we need your help more than ever. Disable your ad blocker and this message will vanish. You can also sign up for a membership to enjoy an ad-free experience while supporting our work: https://citizenwatchreport.com/plans/subscriptions/ Your support helps us stay independent, continue our work, and keep content free for everyone. We truly appreciate your understanding and thank you for standing with us.