A hub for independent voices and signals
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x415sUMvNjk The US economy has been struggling for some time, and the situation has worsened with the onset of a recession. The recession is here, and it’s not looking pretty. Despite the optimism and reassurances from various sources, the reality …
A harbinger of China’s economic decline is back. The rate of urban youth unemployment has been a commonly-cited gauge of the country’s financial stability. Last year — amid a stagnating economy and slackening labor market — it reached record highs. …
🚨MARKET PRICING SIGNALS A 100% PROBABILITY OF US RECESSION🚨 The market is currently pricing in over 2.00% Fed rate cuts within 12 months, the most since the Financial Crisis. This implies a 100% probability of a recession in the next …
FedEx CEO says “The magnitude of the Fed rate cuts . . . signals the weakness of the current environment,” as priority shipments between businesses, a bell-weather of the economy, dropped FedEx reported a steep quarterly profit drop and lowered …
2/ Aug 2000 to April 2001: Market dropped by about 25% and yields were falling Creating a "stocks-down-yields-down" environment This is typical during economic recessions pic.twitter.com/0Do52BsCXC — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) September 16, 2024 4/ Fast forward to 2008: Initial downturn …
Money is pouring into Chinese government bonds. The buying has bid up prices and forced yields down to near record lows. The move has upset the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC), which has expressed considerable concern over what will happen …
The Chinese yuan has recouped much of its losses against the dollar in August, sitting around 7.09 yuan to the dollar, after steadily weakening for much of the year. The gains have been aided by Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s calls …
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Falls US Treasury yields fell by up to 5 basis points to 3.807% as investors anticipated larger Fed rate cuts this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled readiness to cut inte… More here: https://t.co/AdIot28g1y pic.twitter.com/rGam65VO7z — …
by jessefelder The combination of extreme valuations and rising dispersion is a classic sign of a stock market top. Corporate insiders are certainly behaving in a manner consistent with that appraisal. Perhaps they understand better than most that analyst estimates …
https://twitter.com/1CoastalJournal/status/1811757149430640912 https://twitter.com/17296Jay18416/status/1811729236350111902 📈 Earnings Alert $JPM – JPMorgan 2Q Provision for Credit Losses Misses Estimates:∙ Provision for credit losses $3.05b, est $2.83b ∙ Adj revenue $50.99b ∙ Return on equity 23%, est 17.4%https://t.co/ZPPGNUWwcQ pic.twitter.com/vL1LqMwA2c — Smartkarma (@smartkarma) July 12, 2024 …
Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.1% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 32.1% from the February seasonal bottom, and at the highest level since July 2020. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of July 5th, inventory was at …
This economic indicator just saw a big move down At this rate, the recession threshold will be hit in 2024 The last 3 times it was hit ended in sharp economic downturns Leading to significant stock market declines pic.twitter.com/3h673lqYys — …
BREAKING: Nike stock, $NKE, is now down over 17% today after projecting a 10% decline in revenue for the current quarter. Nike now expects 2025 sales to fall mid-single digits, compared to estimates of a 0.9% increase. It also saw …
Warning signals are flashing that could send the S&P 500 $SPX plunging 70% warns Hedge Fund Manager John Hussman pic.twitter.com/8BtpNUnxmH — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) June 25, 2024 Blowoff Top Summer Confirmed ✅ pic.twitter.com/pMpTVmZRpK — Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) June 24, …
(Bloomberg) — The US Supreme Court signaled it will take the unusual step of extending its term into July as it finishes work on about a dozen cases, including Donald Trump’s bid for immunity from prosecution for attempting to overturn …
Going into this past week, the highest Nvidia daily call volume was 5 million set in March of this year. This past week, it surpassed that record four times. The highest call volume on record was Friday, almost 10 million. …
At no point in history has breadth ever been this bad during a rally let alone a blow off of 1300 $SPX points NONE ENDED WELL and THIS WILL BE A DISASTER pic.twitter.com/Iwwhi8f5z2 — @mcm_ct_usa (@mcm_ct_usa) June 11, 2024 This …
Observation: Stocks are making their numbers but lowering guidance. These companies are warning you the economy is slowing down. Stocks are priced for perfection which is why the reactions to bad guidance are so violent. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May …
With substantial financial backing from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, totaling a staggering $100 billion, Alat is positioned as a key player in the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductor technology. Midha’s assurance that Alat would swiftly …
Recent market trends, including declining oil prices and rolling Treasury yields, suggest a potential surge in the S&P 500, as observed historically. Bank of America specifically highlights the benign High Yield OAS (Option-Adjusted Spread) as a supporting factor for a …
Frustration mounts in the investment sphere as soaring prices and minimal pullbacks perplex investors, prompting Warren Buffet to hoard $188 billion in cash due to lack of viable investment options. The market’s relentless climb, exemplified by Nvidia’s staggering $400 billion …
The intricate dance between economic indicators unveils a sobering reality: as US government debt skyrockets, Gold emerges as a beacon of stability, outperforming Bonds in a landscape of uncertainty. With national gasoline prices surging past $3.70 per gallon amid persistent …
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd10y?countrycode=bx&mod=home-page
Investors are on high alert as a critical chart indicates the possibility of a significant downturn on the S&P 500, with historical precedent suggesting a 50% decline if certain thresholds are breached. If this chart falls below the small green …
2/ On 1st Oct 2007, Gold broke out to ATH for the 1st time in 1.5 years Thereon, the US unemployment rate began rising rapidly and economy growth slowed down Which ended in the 2008 Financial Crisis pic.twitter.com/Ws5AjjTaz3 — Bravos …
Insiders have been dumping shares heavily over the last 60 days pic.twitter.com/KrT0SyQgQm — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 3, 2024 As the storm clouds gather on the horizon, a chilling revelation strikes fear into the hearts of investors: insiders are …
Corporate bonds outstanding >$10T. Primary dealer inventory $33B -not a liquid market. When credit markets quiet & calm, it gives impression liquidity's fine, but if many want to sell, liquidity disappears. Even in quiet markets, finding a bond can take …
Russia and China announce plan to build shared nuclear reactor on the moon by 2035, ‘without humans.’ Russia’s space agency Roscosmos has announced plans to work with China to build an automated nuclear reactor on the moon by 2035. The …
Table is from December's report. Check out this supplementary table & the Reasons for Default – notice the uptick in both unemployment and NO Contact Those "no contact" are a combo of people who feel embarrassed and investors…these days less …
