Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
That's it folks. The S&P 500 has just triggered a death cross for the first time following a CAPE ratio that exceeded two standard deviations above its long-term exponential trend. The other 3 times this happened: – Nov/1929– Oct/2000– Mar/2022 Place your bets. pic.twitter.com/hoUdiAcOIx — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 17, 2025 The market is following …
It's all about Japan now. pic.twitter.com/k6qEvqWrY7 — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 17, 2025 Japan's Ministry of Finance admits they sold foreign bonds during the market turmoil last week https://t.co/oaPYAF8vEX — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) April 17, 2025 Japan's Bond Market is Flashing a Serious Warning Japan's government bond yields dropped sharply today, marking another critical signal that …
OOPS! Investors haven’t been this bearish in 30yrs, BofA poll shows. 82% of fund managers expect the global economy to weaken, and a record number intend to reduce exposure to US equities. BUT “peak fear” is not yet reflected in cash allocations, which currently stands at 4.8% of… pic.twitter.com/k8xzjB6z4K — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) April 15, …
Inflation at 5% and Waller's saying “we’ll wait it out.” My man’s treating CPI like a bad Wi-Fi signal. — Bossco (@BosscoQuant) April 14, 2025
JPY moves are a strong sign Margin Calls keep hitting levered traders, collateral is being seized, but this time around clearly not dumped in the open market (maybe not dumped at all). The more banks and brokers are stuffed with illiquid assets the closer we get to a BTFP2.0 https://t.co/iGDIJBFNeA pic.twitter.com/p4c4JzZuef — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) …
2/ The US stock market is in full panic mode In our last YouTube video, we said there was still plenty of short-term downside risk Which is why we removed most of our exposure to US stocks during the recent bounce pic.twitter.com/xtKKEFKVuU — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 7, 2025 4/ This isn’t doom and gloom, …
President Trump has tapped Elon Musk and his team at the Department of Government Efficiency to investigate Signal Gate, a national security nightmare where a journalist was mistakenly added to a classified Signal chat. This wasn’t just any chat—it involved high-ranking officials discussing military operations in Yemen, including details on weapons and deployment timelines. The …
As we discussed in this past weekend's #BullBearReport, the #market is likely at a near-term low given the deeper oversold conditions. https://t.co/4YMHjPb1Lw@thedailyshot pic.twitter.com/hoO5XBzZWm — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) March 24, 2025 Just a quick reminder not to get too #bearish on the #market until it #confirms that a #correction is more than just a correction. pic.twitter.com/TTApX8T8E5 …
Corporate profits as a share of national income have increased to 15.7%, an all-time high. Compensation of employees as a share of national income is 62.1%, near an all-time low. Why has a larger share of national income accrued to corporate profits? pic.twitter.com/BdUhxNne6H — Eric Basmajian (@EPBResearch) March 13, 2025 Corporate profits reaching a record …
Retail traders are making the worst mistake this year, selling into a market bottom as investors capitulate under tariff war fears. In this video I go through detailed step by step stock market technical analysis for beginners. Includes S&P 500 ( SPY ) Dow Jones ( DIA ) NASDAQ ( QQQ ) stock market bottom …
Stock market, indices, and magnificent 7 signal double top trading signal
The madness of the market never ceases to amaze. Seven billion dollars flooding into tech funds in a single week? That’s not smart investing—it’s sheer desperation, a frenzied herd chasing gains long after the easy money has been made. We’ve seen this story before: euphoric buying, absurd valuations, and everyone convincing themselves that this time …
$SPY Sell signal persist 🚨 Volatility is a sign of indigestion, and a big release is needed to flush out the bad gas! pic.twitter.com/ZACIlDPvf6 — optionGeek (@StockShark16) February 4, 2025 $QQQ Strong sell by Quant indicators. Momentum is turned negative. Average daily range become 7 pts. Volatility going to creep very soon.https://t.co/YOIHjCQyWy pic.twitter.com/nEVrrWGMkt — optionGeek …
The common prediction that the Federal Reserve will cut rates as a response to an economic downturn due to high interest rates misses a significant global economic factor: the widespread collapse of major currencies, driven by governments’ heavy spending to fend off recessions. This scenario complicates the traditional narrative of monetary policy response. Around the …
Massive shorts on SLV, high number of stand for delivery, all pointing to a potential break down of Silver market. This Ed Steer interview gives good insights to the developing problem 🔴 Did the SILVER Market Just Break? (who REALLY controls the price?) https://t.co/SvsNNVqgJp… — David Lee (@DavidLe76335983) December 28, 2024 UPDATE: $SILVER FUTURES So …
Look at that, he finally got back to where he was with felony book keeping back in 2000. Only took him 24 years for his next cook-the-book scam and it wasn’t even his idea. MSTR owns 40B in buttcoin (that they can never sell) Less 10B in convertible notes due before 2030… Equals 30B equity …
This is interesting: The Walmart Recession Signal has jumped to the highest level since the 2020 pandemic. This is a recession indicator measured by Walmart’s stock price, $WMT, divided by the S&P Global Luxury Index of luxury goods stocks. The gauge has almost doubled this year, as $WMT has risen 83%, while the S&P Global …
‼️SELL SIGNAL FOR STOCKS TRIGGERED‼️ Cash levels* in global investors portfolios fell to 3.9%, triggering a “sell signal”, according to BofA. This is one of the lowest readings in history. It suggests lower returns ahead. *Survey of 171 fund managers with $450 billion assets. pic.twitter.com/4QUA3XbZrG — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December 19, 2024 Bulls are …
The December Philly Fed Manufacturing survey was another disaster, collapsing from -5.5 to -16.4, versus an expected rise to +2.8. This is the weakest level of the year. More problematic, prices paid jumped while prices received fell. All signs point to #stagflation. Sorry, Fed. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) December 19, 2024 The markets still don't …
meanwhile stock market 😂 pic.twitter.com/42t88hpxDv — Punet (@pm_2781) December 10, 2024 Historically, extreme retail investor bullishness has often been associated with market tops or speculative bubbles. For example: Dot-com Bubble (Late 1990s): During the late 1990s, retail investors poured into tech stocks, driving valuations to unsustainable levels. The Nasdaq peaked in March 2000 before a …
Current #eurozone spread blow-out should not be read through lens of 2012 #eurocrisis. Unlike in 2012, swap spreads of all sovereign bonds (incl. germany) are moving in same direction = rising basis for #eurozone as a whole. This pattern is closer to #GFC style liquidity crisis.… pic.twitter.com/OBsziN45gx — 🏳️🌈 Patrick Krizan 🇺🇦 (@PatrickKrizan) December 3, …
Pay attention It most always begins with bellwethers. Both depicting ominous formationsBoth depicting declining money flow. pic.twitter.com/g7u5GABtNR — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 17, 2024 https://twitter.com/SteveEitreim/status/1857794064726331749 💥 BREAKING MicroStrategy just bought another 51,780 #Bitcoin for $4.6 billion. MicroStrategy now owns 331,200 #Bitcoin worth $30 BILLION pic.twitter.com/P4ywozuN6U — Radar 𝘸 Archie🚨 (@RadarHits) November 18, 2024 This …
I didn’t mention the tariffs too. Ran out of characters lol — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 14, 2024 This rises until the stock market breaks. and break it shall https://t.co/jrqI19fdH2 — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) November 13, 2024 Extreme worrisome. pic.twitter.com/aLmz6cf56M — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 13, 2024 US debt ‘set to explode’ under Trump …
Europe lets go first. As predicted. Who's paying attention? https://t.co/SVN9RwU1Y6 pic.twitter.com/kuuOMnx2Ov — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 12, 2024 BREAKING 🚨: Europe European Stocks plunging through their 200D moving average pic.twitter.com/C2IQW8EGkW — Barchart (@Barchart) November 13, 2024
Yield erosion accelerates. Dow jones breaches 3 months trend line Nasdaq Double top . Semiconductors Down 13% from A/T high. Gold forewarning. Cattle misdirected with hope and bullish narrative. DXY up 5% from low. The $VIX forewarning. God bless and Godspeed. Yield erosion accelerates.Dow jones breaches 3 months trend lineNasdaq Double top .Semiconductors Down 13% …
Joan Jett endorses Kamala Harris for President in new video Legendary Rock & Roll Hall of Famers Joan Jett & The Blackhearts have released a new music video for their hard-hitting single “If You’re Blue.” The video’s sentiment serves as a strong endorsement of Kamala Harris and Tim Walz in the 2024 presidential election. Originally …
by Mike Shedlock The McKelvey-PMES recession indicator dipped a bit in September but the signal still implies recession. 100 percent of the time, with no false positives or negatives, under current conditions, the economy has been in recession. The odds are not 100 percent because the NBER sets recession dates, not these charts. What is …
ALL rate cut cycles that began with a 50 bps rate cut came during a crisis: 1. 2001, during the Dot-com bubble 2. 2007, during the Financial Crisis The Fed has sided with 25 basis point rate cuts at the start of every rate cut cycle, UNLESS the economy was in a major crisis. pic.twitter.com/NVVeNkDWXN …
2/ Aug 2000 to April 2001: Market dropped by about 25% and yields were falling Creating a "stocks-down-yields-down" environment This is typical during economic recessions pic.twitter.com/0Do52BsCXC — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) September 16, 2024 4/ Fast forward to 2008: Initial downturn in stocks coincided with declining bond yields Again, the same recessionary behavior led straight to …
