Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Paul Tudor Jones (PTJ) didn’t just say “buy”; he gave a specific timeline and a warning that adds massive value to your “Sell Signal” thesis. Paul Tudor Jones was on CNBC this morning telling everyone to buy AI and Tech hand-over-fist… That's the sell signal. Retail is buying while the big boys are unloading. https://t.co/RIbhKXr4gs …
free refills were the last thing in america you could take without asking permission. pic.twitter.com/ruUrzGtb7d — SLEPE (@SlepeOnBase) May 4, 2026
by Michael You have probably noticed that gasoline is starting to become extremely expensive. That is really bad news for all of us, because our entire way of life depends on cheap energy. We can’t make stuff without energy. We can’t move stuff without energy. That is why the cost of energy directly affects the cost …
American consumers have NEVER been this pessimistic about the economy: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 49.8 in April, the lowest reading EVER in over 70 years of polling, with declines occurring across all income levels, ages, and political affiliations. This comes as gasoline prices posted the largest monthly jump in pump …
Semiconductor ETF flows just hit a record. March: record OUTFLOWS. Panic selling. April 15th: record INFLOWS. Biggest in 7 years. The same investors who sold in panic are now buying back at higher prices. This is the most expensive pattern in investing. Sell the low. Buy the high. Repeat. And here is the contrarian warning. …
The most important cycle nobody talks about. The Global Liquidity Cycle has followed a near-perfect 65-month wave since 1965. Every peak → markets top → risk assets fall Every trough → markets bottom → everything rallies The chart just flashed a signal. Global liquidity has topped. The 65-month wave says what comes next. It has …
via Claudio Grass The recent “calm” in the gold market has left many observers, and especially the precious metal’s critics, questioning whether the “safe-haven” thesis still stands or whether its time has passed. In the shadow of the ongoing Middle East conflict and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the yellow metal failed to deliver the immediate, parabolic spike that many …
The Queen's brutal question about Trump to the Obamas… and the silent signal she sent on the day Donald arrived in the UK https://t.co/yz7wA5P3ft — Daily Mail US (@Daily_MailUS) March 30, 2026 Queen Elizabeth didn’t get it. In the forthcoming book, The Queen and Her Presidents: The Hidden Hand That Shaped History, by Susan Page, …
As shown below, the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) currently warns of a potential recession or at least a significant economic slowdown. I haven’t published the WRS for some time and “Walmart Worries” just keep multiplying. For the details see my latest @ https://t.co/cmZvbGqspf pic.twitter.com/GU4EJg2Hx6 — Jim Paulsen (@jimwpaulsen) March 30, 2026 Walmart recession signal on …
10-year Treasury yields hit 4.4% for the first time since July 2025. But war, exploding debt and soaring inflation will drive yields much higher. Without big rate cuts and massive QE (a mistake), stocks and real estate will crash, resulting in a financial crisis worse than 2008. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) March 20, 2026 🚨 …
WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY UNUSUAL IS HAPPENING!! Insiders are buying COMEX Gold options at $15,000 – $20,000 for December 2026. Gold is around $4,700 right now. This means THEY EXPECT THE GOLD PRICE TO TRIPLE. And if you think that’s just gambling YOU’RE COMPLETELY WRONG. Let me explain this in simple words. This position did NOT …
Trump: The US is leaving certain things in Iran that we could take out. — FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) March 11, 2026 He’s saying that the U.S. military has held back from destroying certain Iranian infrastructure such as electricity production or other high‑impact civilian targets even though those targets could be destroyed if needed. He frames this …
"Record put demand — must be close to a bottom." I keep reading this. And historically, yeah, elevated put buying often coincides with bottoms. But look closer. Put skew is at extremes right now. Spot has been recently down just 1%. If people were bearish on direction you'd… — Imran Lakha | Options Insight (@options_insight) …
RECORD 401(k) WITHDRAWALS SIGNAL FINANCIAL STRAIN A record share of Americans are tapping retirement savings as financial pressure rises. In 2025, 6% of workers with plans run by Vanguard Group made hardship withdrawals—up from 4.8% in 2024 and about 2% pre-pandemic. The main… — First Squawk (@FirstSquawk) March 4, 2026 COLUMBUS, Wis., March 04, 2026 …
via Phoenix Capital Research The spread between tech stocks and the rest of the market has reached historic levels. For weeks now, the MAG-7/ Big Tech have been correcting while the broader market index (the S&P 500) has rallied due to defensive sectors (Industrials, Consumer Staples, Energy) igniting. In this context, the #1 question concerning …
At this point the Canadian media and Government institutions are rapidly replacing the descendants of those who built this Country and transforming Canada into a post-National economic zone. They are spending countless billions to accomplish this and to propagandize their… pic.twitter.com/lwm2oDTf3w — Rage Against the Regime (@JamesPTutt) February 14, 2026
$SPX Alt | One more push. Marginal new high to 7025 to complete the structure — then it's over.$NDX already confirmed its top. $SPX and $DJI are next. Invalidation: 6760 pic.twitter.com/ye7AfySPNj — TRIGGER TRADES (@TriggerTrades) February 8, 2026 Expect more volatility in Equities next week! Nasdaq could likely move down to Daily 200SMA. And the …
EXCLUSIVE: Inside the shadow network tracking federal agents. 🧵 A Fox News Digital investigation has uncovered a nationwide web of more than 200 anti-ICE organizations using military-grade intelligence tactics to track law enforcement. From encrypted Signal chats to… pic.twitter.com/exi2HSngFn — Fox News (@FoxNews) February 5, 2026 A Fox News Digital investigation has uncovered that these …
💥BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Democrats plan to impeach and remove both Trump and Vance if they win the 2026 midterms. According to Polymarket, Democrats currently have an 81% chance to win the midterms. pic.twitter.com/hhQEgmUJNW — Crypto Rover (@cryptorover) January 31, 2026 Multiple reports confirm that some Democratic leaders have publicly expressed intentions to pursue impeachment against Trump …
James O’Keefe @JamesOKeefeIII URGENT UPDATE: I’ve never experienced anything quite like today in my life. I’ve interacted with the Cartel and have witnessed some crazy things in the desert in ‘24. But what strikes me is how organized these agitators in Minneapolis are. They have spotters everywhere in the city and suburbs, on street corners, …
via Mike Maharrey Consumer borrowing cratered further in November, likely reflecting growing consumer stress, as price inflation persists and credit cards become maxed out. That’s bad news for a U.S. economy that depends on consumers buying stuff. Persistent price inflation forced Americans to blow through their savings and then turn to credit cards to make …
It's plausible deniability through pretend stupidity. There's no way someone that smart about money didn't know that the covid bank bailout was going to cause rampant inflation. pic.twitter.com/ObOqknbTns — Ilgephelfis 🐸🤡👽🎻🎶 (@ilgephelfis) January 12, 2026 That Powell is forced to defend himself and the Fed from Trumpian intervention in this way is why foreign institutions …
This isn’t “fear mongering” but as traders we all use signals to gauge what the market is doing & this is a huge 🚧 signal. This is a bellwether stock. I just bought some $690 $SPY puts for late January as a hedge. Proceed at your own risk. If $SPY moves to $700 I’ll add …
The setup is familiar. Complacency, leverage, and the belief that this time is different. It never is. The smart money is already bracing for volatility, false rallies, and brutal reversals. “The system is insolvent. No one knows what to do next except repeat the insanity until the next bubble blows. That’ll be the one — …
This isn’t some random commodities pop. This is what happens when governments fund deficits with short-term paper and quietly drain liquidity from the system. Money tightens, stress shows up first in hard assets, and suddenly everyone remembers what real collateral looks like. The market is front-running central banks because it knows the squeeze always breaks …
There’s nowhere else to park cash with bonds broken, crypto unstable, Japan hiking, and China already heated. Metals aren’t just a trade, they’re the last real safe harbor left before the next wave hits. BofA's contrarian sell signal got triggered Since 2002, 16 sell signals have been followed by a median 2.7% decline in global …
by Michael 2025 has been a smashing year for those that invested in precious metals. The price of copper is up about 30 percent since the start of the year, and the price of silver has risen 128 percent during that same time period. I have been saying “we have never seen anything like this before” a …
This is how trouble sneaks in, quietly and all at once. When every major bond market starts pushing yields higher together, it means money is getting expensive everywhere, not just somewhere. Stocks can ignore that for a while, but balance sheets cannot. By the time equities notice, the damage is already baked in. A HUGE …
THE RECKONING Wall Street’s oldest warning system just triggered. The Shiller PE ratio crossed 40.16 this week. In 154 years of recorded market history, this threshold has been breached only three times. The first was December 1999. The second was November 2021. The third is now. What followed the first: a 49% collapse. What followed …
