That's it folks.
The S&P 500 has just triggered a death cross for the first time following a CAPE ratio that exceeded two standard deviations above its long-term exponential trend.
The other 3 times this happened:
– Nov/1929
– Oct/2000
– Mar/2022Place your bets. pic.twitter.com/hoUdiAcOIx
— Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 17, 2025
The market is following the same pattern as the last crash – that occurred after the unveiling of reciprocal tariffs, except this crash will be far larger. pic.twitter.com/SKCRTAQHpJ
— Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 17, 2025
Gold to SPX 52-week % rate of change just reached extreme levels.
Unfortunately, given the current macro environment, I believe a recession may be difficult to avoid.
That said, the downward pressure for equities still appears to be in its early stages. pic.twitter.com/Dqgzanow2f
— Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 17, 2025
US Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook for April is -26.4 est 2.2
💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀💀
— TT3 (@TradingThomas3) April 17, 2025
🚨Will this CRASH the US economy?
US financial conditions are the TIGHTEST since the 2020 CRISIS.
The availability of credit and cost of financing is even WORSE than during the 2022 Fed rate hiking cycle.
How can the economy grow if it is so difficult for businesses to borrow? pic.twitter.com/aclw7j3JLh
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) April 18, 2025