Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Shiller PE Ratio hits 2nd highest level of all-time, only slightly behind the Dot Com Bubble 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/Se55FZmnbZ — Barchart (@Barchart) May 1, 2026 Classic capex binge That white combined line getting absolutely devoured by the shark while the red S&P keeps ripping higher is textbook divergence. 2026 looks spicy. TA eyes on this one …
AMD wins the chart bubble race- but with a pe ratio of 133 and the nect 16 years of sales priced in – Look out below = PUTS byu/Salt_Yak_3866 insmallstreetbets Directionally you can be right, but if you’re wrong on the timing you might as well be wrong on both.
Retail trading activity in single stocks has plummeted–Citi pic.twitter.com/c9DixpKuiX — Gunjan Banerji (@GunjanJS) March 23, 2026 "A big distribution pattern is carving out in the Junk Bonds vs. Treasuries ratio. A breakdown here would be the last thing stock market bulls want to see."@AlfCharts pic.twitter.com/DWoYrsc0ba — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) March 21, 2026 "The forward 12-month …
Dow Jones to Gold ratio is now at a level only seen 4 times in history:2026, 2008, 1973 & 1929 Every single time this has happened it's marked a fundamental change to the economic system: Banking Act of 1933Convertibility of the Dollar 1971Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 https://t.co/XQLCNKzbYu pic.twitter.com/OecvQCRg7R — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 25, 2026 …
Every warning light is flashing red and Wall Street is still pretending this is just a vibes problem. “The last lender” before the Fed – is it starting to approach critical levels?🛑 JPMorgan’s LCR in Q4 2025 stood at 115%… the lowest level since 2019. And this is after the bank reduced its repo book …
With bond yields spiking and crude pessimism at extremes, the market is quietly flashing a warning. SPX:TLT Buy/Sell Indicator: While not as reliable as other indicators, this chart is nonetheless flashing an SPX sell warning right now. The last time the $SPX: $TLT ratio tagged the upper channel resistance rail in April of last year, …
The setup is familiar. Complacency, leverage, and the belief that this time is different. It never is. The smart money is already bracing for volatility, false rallies, and brutal reversals. “The system is insolvent. No one knows what to do next except repeat the insanity until the next bubble blows. That’ll be the one — …
Total Put/Call Ratio fell to 0.70 on Friday, one of the lowest levels in the last 4 years 👀 pic.twitter.com/Wn7cFvbd9l — Barchart (@Barchart) December 9, 2025 Grok: The last notable low in the put/call ratio (similar to 0.70) was around May 2025. The S&P 500 rose 6.15% that month, followed by gains of ~5% in …
US leading economic indicators are still deteriorating: The ratio of US leading to coincident economic indicators is down to 0.85, the lowest level since 2008. This ratio has now declined for 4 consecutive years. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) tracks forward-looking data, including consumer expectations, manufacturing orders, weekly hours, and initial jobless claims. …
Wow, the put/call ratio is at its lowest level in five years! The last time it was this low was at the peak of the COVID-19 market bubble. pic.twitter.com/G4qKKTgag4 — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) September 20, 2025 Interesting. They’re betting trillions on this but hedging in case it all goes wrong. This isn’t bubble talk …
We Cannot Afford A Recession There has been ongoing debate as to whether the U.S. economy can weather some of the headwinds we’re currently facing. However, if the past two recessions are any indication, we simply cannot afford a recession—not fiscally, not politically, and certainly not mathematically. The core issue is that the debt-to-revenue ratio …
Germany’s Bundesbank is eyeing a shortcut for small and medium-sized banks. Basel capital rules could be scrapped in favor of a single leverage ratio. No risk-weighting. No buffers. Just raw exposure. https://finanz-szene.de/banking/bundesbank-erwaegt-verzicht-auf-basel-anforderungen-fuer-kleinbanken/ The leverage ratio was never meant to stand alone. It’s a backstop, not a blueprint. “Before a small commercial bank would breach a …
palantir millionaire in <8months byu/OkBeach2838 inwallstreetbets Palantir’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has surged past 600, landing around 617.5 based on the latest market data. That figure reflects the company’s current share price relative to its trailing twelve-month earnings per share. To put that in perspective, a P/E ratio above 30 is typically considered high. A …
This setup screams complacency. When everyone loads up on calls and forgets risk even exists, that’s when the rug gets pulled. S&P 500 $SPY Put/Call Ratio is at one of its lowest levels in the last 3 years 🚨Is it time to hedge? pic.twitter.com/aL0tqo3KTC — Barchart (@Barchart) June 12, 2025 BREAKING 🚨: U.S. Dollar$DXY could …
The gold-to-silver ratio is now breaking down as silver accelerates and begins to catch up with gold. Just a month ago, investors were telling me this time was different — that the ratio wouldn’t revert and we were witnessing a structural shift. But notice the trend.… pic.twitter.com/r4JE7gAoPt — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) June 9, 2025
Equity Put/Call Ratio fell last week to one of the lowest levels in the last 4 years 🚨 Bulls are back 🐂🐂 pic.twitter.com/4BPf6UE3Ft — Barchart (@Barchart) May 17, 2025
Household debt service ratio vs. disposable personal income growth byu/MonetaryCommentary inEconomyCharts Rising household debt service and fading disposable income growth are quietly throttling the U.S. expansion from the inside out. As households allocate more of their income toward debt obligations, they leave less room for discretionary spending. This is about a macro feedback loop where …
BTC/M2 is exhibiting a pattern similar to 2021, indicating the possibility of a rally through August, followed by a significant top. pic.twitter.com/t23WXeJmTv — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) May 2, 2025 S&P 500 may not have bottomed warns Goldman Sachs 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/O2ETYoGk5Z — Barchart (@Barchart) May 2, 2025
by MonetaryCommentary This particular offshore dollar liquidity gauge, calculated as the ratio of total liabilities of foreign-related institutions in the U.S. to U.S. deposits at foreign banks, remains mired in a secular upswing, suggesting that foreign banks are still boosting their dollar liabilities in U.S. markets at a faster pace than U.S. residents are placing dollars …
That's it folks. The S&P 500 has just triggered a death cross for the first time following a CAPE ratio that exceeded two standard deviations above its long-term exponential trend. The other 3 times this happened: – Nov/1929– Oct/2000– Mar/2022 Place your bets. pic.twitter.com/hoUdiAcOIx — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 17, 2025 The market is following …
The market we have now is a bearish phase within a secular uptrend. A sustained uptrend typically doesn’t return until the event that triggered the downturn becomes irrelevant. However, if that event is about to be resolved, the market can skyrocket, breaking above the 200-day… — optionGeek (@StockShark16) April 15, 2025 $SPY options open interest …
This is a fascinating chart for anyone looking at the gold-to-silver ratio in a historical context. Over the past 125 years, the ratio has only spent brief moments above the 100 level — extremes like this tend not to persist for long. If history is any guide, this doesn’t look… pic.twitter.com/BFjWJz4L2W — Otavio (Tavi) Costa …
Bulls keep agreeing that everyone is bearish so it's contrarian to be bullish. In what can only be described as the biggest circle jerk in market history. Here is the put/call ratio since the Liberation Day shock which occurred on April 2nd. Which was followed by the China shock… pic.twitter.com/ZsFJjjEf4a — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 13, …
A lot of talk about inflation driving gold higher, but the copper / gold ratio which is a proxy for global growth, is signaling deflationary depression. pic.twitter.com/u2hpZvZ1of — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 11, 2025 People still have no idea the decoupling is happening. Ships are no longer sending goods from China to US or US to …
by Mike Maharrey Stocks have taken a beating over the last several days. The conventional wisdom is that the sell-off is due to worries about the impact of the Trump tariffs. The aggressive tariff regime certainly triggered the sudden and sharp downturn in the stock market, but is something deeper going on? I think there …
The gold-to-oil ratio just hit its highest level—something that would have sounded like pure fantasy just a few years ago. Mining companies are the ones raking it in right now, and they’re in the driver’s seat as gold prices climb. Gold has surged almost $1,000 an ounce over the last year, while production costs barely …
by Mike Maharrey The gold-silver ratio has surged to over 90-1. This indicates that silver is extremely underpriced from a historical perspective. In other words, silver is on sale. The last time we saw a gold-silver ratio over 90-1 was in the early days of the pandemic lockdowns. In the modern era, the gold-silver ratio has averaged …
by confoundedinterest17 Apparently, the late Hawaiian crooner Don Ho foresaw Biden’s irresponsible spending spree. That is, BIG BUBBLES. Let’s start with the Buffett Indicator (Warren, not Jimmy!). It indicates that the stock market is STRONGLY OVERVALUED. The S&P 500 Mean Reversion Model also shows the stock market to be STRONGLY OVERVALUED. How about the Shiller P/E Ratio? Also …
Employment-to-population ratio falling like it does before every recession. Full-time ratio down almost one percentage point from its April 2023 peak. pic.twitter.com/Znb2EHzgwf — Peter Berezin (@PeterBerezinBCA) December 6, 2024
