ratio

The Euphoriameter hit a record 1.1 points. An all-time high 43% of investors doubting a stock market crash. The Schiller P/E ratio has hit 23-year highs. Enjoy the euphoric exit pump!

An all-time high 43% of investors think there is a less than 10% chance of a stock market crash occurring in the next 6 months 🚨 pic.twitter.com/c46U09cdsC — Barchart (@Barchart) December 6, 2024 This is wild: The Euphoriameter, an indicator measuring investor sentiment, hit a record 1.1 points, according to Topdown Charts. This metric uses …

READ MORE

This market is so decadent & depraved even tragedies are bullish. Costco’s price-to-earnings ratio currently stands at 60. Liquidity is deteriorating.

https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1864324436553290006 Costco's price-to-earnings ratio currently stands at 60. Let that marinate. — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 4, 2024 The headlines say the market is surging due to CRM (Salesforce) earnings. Which is now a Dow stock:https://t.co/aS0saFoPxb The Cloud Computing sector is going late stage parabolic. The most since Biden was elected. But, way ahead …

READ MORE

Oh, look mummy! Bubbles! The ratio of insider selling to buying has just hit a new 20+ year high

Oh, look mummy! Bubbles!🫧📌 pic.twitter.com/sMe3tN9RTk — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 29, 2024 INSIDERS AND INSTITUTIONS KNOW A CRASH IS IMMINENT VERY SOON… 🚨 BREAKING NEWS 🚨 THE RATIO OF INSIDER SELLING TO BUYING HAS JUST HIT A NEW 20+ YEAR HIGH WHILE STOCKS ARE AT ALL TIMEHIGHS THE INSIDERS AND INSTITUTIONS ARE SELLING WHILE …

READ MORE

Copper/gold ratio collapse signals economic implosion. High Yield Spread tightens to levels last seen in early 2007’s pre-crisis era.

#recession … #StockMarket Bubble edition https://t.co/vl8Sc7lSwq — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 #recession … #GFC2 US edition https://t.co/5LZ6pkEmk0 — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 There is also a divergence between the SP500 and the HY Bond A-D Line. Read more about this topic from 2022 at https://t.co/x35ebJJ6Od. https://t.co/qmvpv2h4eH pic.twitter.com/EOTvWebFAU — Tom McClellan (@McClellanOsc) …

READ MORE

The Insider Transaction Ratio (sales-to-buys) is back in bearish territory… The 10 year yield is ripping again

The Insider Transaction Ratio (sales-to-buys) is back in bearish territory. via @hmeisler pic.twitter.com/kcAv13VryR — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) November 12, 2024 Good Morning 🙃 pic.twitter.com/TD7ZOUTVtR — Amy Nixon (@texasrunnerDFW) November 12, 2024 The 10 year yield is ripping again. About to hit 4.40%. New highs. Wen 8% mortgage rates? 💀 pic.twitter.com/nnsKVEXlhv — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November …

READ MORE

Apple guides for low growth, yet the stock’s priced at a ridiculous 35x P/E ratio.

$AAPL GUIDES LOW SINGLE GROWTH FOR Q4 BUT THE STOCK IS PRICED 35X P/E pic.twitter.com/l3Xnnh0Etj — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) October 31, 2024 During the years of its epic business growth post GFC, $AAPL traded below 20x Today $AAPL is a “value” company with zero growth, zero innovation and channel stuffing its vendors with obsolete …

READ MORE

Put/Call ratio & open interest for September 20 is a little concerning

🚨 Put/Call ratio & open interest for September 20 is a little concerning Russell 2000 $IWM https://t.co/buJtj5dl0Y pic.twitter.com/nYYGEFR4hV — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) August 25, 2024 👆 https://t.co/Q2l9ujkH9C — Gratke Wealth, LLC (@GratkeWealth) August 25, 2024 US #consumers 📉 👀https://t.co/5m70bcS1WE pic.twitter.com/uOIeZFs6MD — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) August 22, 2024 USA #consumer 📉 👀https://t.co/pwFKFvxhNa — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) August …

READ MORE

Gold hits record highs; gold-to-Nasdaq ratio nears a historic breakout, signaling potential market shifts.

Gold prices closed at record levels today, but what’s even more significant: The gold-to-Nasdaq ratio is currently on the brink of breaking out from a historical resistance. Here is a reminder that this ratio surged 13x from the peak of the tech bubble in 2000 to 2011.… pic.twitter.com/UUVG14HImK — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) August 12, …

READ MORE

The S&P 500’s price to peak earnings ratio has soared to 25.9, the highest since 2000…. Nasdaq: Large Engulfing candle, followed by a falling window.

The S&P 500's price to peak earnings ratio has moved up to 25.9, its highest level since 2000 and 50% above the historical median. $SPXhttps://t.co/l5IYmkf6Ih pic.twitter.com/DFI74St163 — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) July 17, 2024 Nasdaq Large Engulfing candle, followed by a falling window 2 major warnings🚨 Engulfing is a bearish trend reversal candle. Falling window is …

READ MORE

Speculative positioning in US equity index futures is at all-time highs. Total Put/Call Ratio drops to the lowest level since August 2015

Speculative positioning in US equity index futures is at all-time highs 🚨 https://t.co/TanGdixabv pic.twitter.com/VUXve06IL3 — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) July 8, 2024 Asset Managers’ exposure to US equity futures hits a record high. https://twitter.com/Barchart/status/1810467469879857513 Concentration concern: the 3-month correlation between the S&P 500 and the # of stocks advancing has fallen below the dot-com bubble …

READ MORE

S&P 500 forward P/E ratio near Tech Bubble peak despite higher cost of capital; Insiders relentless selling

Gravity is unrelenting and inevitably prevails. The forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is now nearly as high as it was at the peak of the Tech Bubble. It's understandable that during periods of euphoria, less experienced investors might claim that valuations are irrelevant. I… pic.twitter.com/wxuM2GcZ5T — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) June 20, 2024 …

READ MORE

It’s all Tech… Hopes and dreams ratio, but never forget, this time it’s different

Hopes and dreams ratio, but never forget, this time it’s different pic.twitter.com/6J7Qz1q9Wf — Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) June 18, 2024 It's all Tech pic.twitter.com/ZbQdqKhDqd — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) June 18, 2024 History Indicates the Nasdaq Will Struggle to Sustain its Outperformance pic.twitter.com/5uXx7ALooZ — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) June 18, 2024 Semiconductors A.I sector A …

READ MORE

National debt reaches $34.5 trillion, with a $2 trillion annual deficit and a 122% debt to GDP ratio under Biden… What a time for metals

NATIONAL DEBT: $34.5 Trillion Yellen: •Need to address the $2 trillion a year deficit •Debt to GDP ratio the highest ever at 122% under Biden •Interest rates are highest in 20 years •Rates still low relative to the previous decades interest on the debt remains manageable ⚠️NATIONAL DEBT: $34.5 Trillion Yellen:•Need to address the $2 …

READ MORE

GameStop Halt #15 – on the uptick. The P/E ratio has spiked to a WHOPPING 1,210x. Now BLACKBERRY is a rallying meme stock.

GameStop Halt #15 – on the uptick — M.B. (@741trey) May 14, 2024 Now BLACKBERRY is a rallying meme stock. BLACKBERRY. — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) May 14, 2024 Realized volatility has collapsed back to where it was at the all time high at the end of March: pic.twitter.com/XYx9SgMvTa — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) May 14, 2024 …

READ MORE

The entire banking industry, teetering on the precipice, with a leverage ratio soaring to near-record highs

Here is the list of the top leveraged banks. pic.twitter.com/tDrNb3kzIw — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) May 12, 2024 Who didn’t see this coming? This is just getting started unfortunately. Almost $1 trillion of debt is rolling over in 2024 and needs to be refinanced at higher rates. Good luck with that. pic.twitter.com/my3e7stE1J — QE Infinity …

READ MORE

Gold/TLT ratio reflects US government spending; rising debt signals bullish outlook for Gold amidst inflation fears.

The intricate dance between economic indicators unveils a sobering reality: as US government debt skyrockets, Gold emerges as a beacon of stability, outperforming Bonds in a landscape of uncertainty. With national gasoline prices surging past $3.70 per gallon amid persistent inflationary pressures, concerns deepen over the prospect of breaching the $4.00 mark for the first …

READ MORE

Equity vol declining rapidly relative to rate vol as measured here by the ratio of respective 1M 50D vol.

by betsharks0 The volatility (vol) of equities (stocks) is decreasing quickly compared to the volatility of interest rates. It’s measured by the ratio of the respective 1-month (1M) and 50-day (50D) volatility. This suggests that the relative volatility between stocks (equities) and interest rates is shifting. If equity volatility is declining rapidly compared to rate …

READ MORE

Leverage-to-Tits Ratio 420.69

• Leverage-to-Tits Ratio 420.69 https://t.co/3PSiniYTxZ pic.twitter.com/ElIDRz04e3 — M.B. (@741trey) April 12, 2024 From Citi $C earnings digest "Credit cards drove growth in US personal banking, boosted by more spending, as well as larger interest-generating balances on cards from partnerships, such as with Home Depot Inc."@NeelyTamminga — Paul Cerro (@paulcerro) April 12, 2024

The biggest misconception with regard to gold – High stock-to-flow ratio is the most important characteristic of gold

By Ronni Stoeferle In recent weeks, gold has reached new all-time highs in many currencies, including the US dollar, the euro and the Swiss franc. We want to take the euphoric mood among gold investors as an opportunity to focus on a fundamental topic. From our point of view, the gold sector is riddled with …

READ MORE

Chinese banks face rising property bad loans: Bank of Communications’ ratio surged to 4.99%, Industrial & Commercial Bank saw a 9.6% increase.

“#China: Bank of Communications reported that its property bad loan ratio jumped to 4.99% at the end of last year from 2.8% a year earlier. Industrial & Commercial Bank of China saw its bad loans from residential mortgages rise 9.6% to 27.8 billion yuan. We know that the property sector (as outlined in a 2021 …

READ MORE

Debt-service ratio drops, risks rise. Morgan Stanley warns of stock market rally ending; options markets remain optimistic, potentially overlooking risks.

The debt-service coverage ratio, a measure of financial health, has dropped significantly over the past year, indicating increased risk among leveraged loan companies. Morgan Stanley’s Chief Investment Officer warns that if corporate profits disappoint, the stock market rally could end. Options markets show extreme optimism, suggesting investors may be overlooking potential risks. Something about swimming …

READ MORE

NVIDIA experiences record P/S ratio at 35x, indicating overbought conditions and potential reversal.

Ok, that's the week. Bulls, we'll see you next week. Bears, you should not have capitulated. pic.twitter.com/TFNG6fGZ3m — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 8, 2024 Key reversal of fortune. Highest down day volume since the 2022 bear market. pic.twitter.com/BZsVrtT7j3 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 9, 2024 The third bull trap. pic.twitter.com/G5n7daMKLy — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 8, 2024   …

READ MORE

Baby, It’s Cold Outside! Electricity Prices UP 24.25% Under Bidenomics (NASDAQ To Commodity Ratio Near Dot.com Bubble High)

by confoundedinterest17 Baby, it’s cold outside! Of course, government still wants to ban natural gas and coal. The average price of electricity has risen a whopping 24.25% under Biden and Bidenomics. Brrr!! No wonder Biden only wants to talk about unlimited abortion and NOT the immigration (Fentanyl, child trafficing, crime, etc) fiasco at the border and …

READ MORE

he S&P 7, comprising the seven largest stocks in the S&P 500, are shouldering the entire market, marked by a staggering P/E ratio of 46x, over double that of the S&P 493.

Shorting large cap tech stocks has been a losing trade for over a decade. It's unlikely that changes without a shift in market sentiment. It may really be that a few stocks driving the market is the new normal. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October …

READ MORE

Uh-oh! It looks like you're using an ad blocker.

Our website relies on ads and the generous support of readers like you to keep delivering free, high-quality content. Right now, we are facing serious funding challenges and we need your help more than ever. Disable your ad blocker and this message will vanish. You can also sign up for a membership to enjoy an ad-free experience while supporting our work: https://citizenwatchreport.com/plans/subscriptions/ Your support helps us stay independent, continue our work, and keep content free for everyone. We truly appreciate your understanding and thank you for standing with us.