2/ The US stock market is in full panic mode
In our last YouTube video, we said there was still plenty of short-term downside risk
Which is why we removed most of our exposure to US stocks during the recent bounce pic.twitter.com/xtKKEFKVuU
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 7, 2025
4/ This isn’t doom and gloom, it’s a real signal that just triggered
And we’re factoring this into our analysis
We’re going to walk you through the key nuances you need to consider
And how we’re approaching this signal with our clients at Bravos Research
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 7, 2025
6/ Before I show you exactly what this signal is, we first have to understand the nature of this stock market decline
For that, let’s add in Treasury bond yields
This matters because bond yields reveal what the market is worried about
So whether that’s inflation or slowing… pic.twitter.com/6msJ6dKnXl
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 7, 2025
8/ The current sell-off looks much more like what we saw in 2020
When bond yields also fell as investors priced in weaker economic growth during the pandemic
This distinction matters because growth-driven sell-offs tend to be much more violent pic.twitter.com/dM1e1Tmu5u
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 7, 2025
10/ This is the index that measures S&P 500 volatility (VIX)
And in every one of those growth-related declines, the VIX spiked above 35 pic.twitter.com/aSbRz0RSLK
— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) April 7, 2025