Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Its like what other people have mentioned. Like a fake oracle, say soooo much random shit one of them will come true. But the fact there are only 5 posts makes me re think that idea. h/t Rich_Gas7886
Another UFO researcher found dead David Wilcox. Claims he would never harm himself back in 2022 byu/FeelsAmazingManGun inconspiracy In 2022 he felt the need to let people know he would never be suicidal. He was on to something important. 4 years later he dies by suicide… alongside of the 10 other scientists and researchers …
INSIDERS ARE RUNNING FOR THE EXIT: Look at this data. – Diamondback Energy: $1.13 BILLION sold – Peter Thiel dumped $289 million in Palantir – VRT former officer: $263 million sold – BW Group: $210 million in DHT – Silver Point Capital: $155 million in GPOR – IBP CEO + Chairman: $255 million combined – …
🚨 CRYPTO LIQUIDITY JUST HIT A LEVEL LAST SEEN DURING THE FTX COLLAPSE USDT supply has fallen over -$3B in 60 days — matching conditions near Bitcoin’s 2022 BOTTOM. When stablecoins supply shrink, it means investors are pulling capital out. But historically, these liquidity… pic.twitter.com/TD6f3fQR9G — Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) February 23, 2026 Commercials are extremely …
Nearly four months of choppy price action within this range on $QQQ. pic.twitter.com/BwtyvB89mz — Connor Bates (@ConnorJBates_) February 19, 2026 If this were a genuine crash, you wouldn’t see this methodical delivery.$QQQ You’d see price trade into 606–617 and then violently displace $30 lower with urgency, thin books, no bids, pockets collapsing. Instead, what we …
via confoundedinterest17 The gap between 2s and 10s Treasuies is now the widest it’s been since early 2022. According to the Atlanta Fed GDP Now report, the current real GDP growth rate is 3.7%. But the yield curve is a forward looking measure.
JUST IN: US home sales fell -8.4% in January, the largest monthly decline since Feb 2022. — Hedgeye (@Hedgeye) February 12, 2026 Realtors have sounded the alarm over a potential “new housing crisis” after home sales fell by over 8 percent in January, the biggest monthly drop since 2022. “Improving affordability should have brought more …
“Just spoke with a couple of MDs at a large institutional private equity fund They still believe that Claude is a fad and it will take decades before any real companies adopt them Currently only subscribed to a ChatGPT corporate account at work Mentioned multiple times that absolutely nothing has changed about their workflow since …
U.S. natural gas prices surged above $6 for the first time since late 2022 on Monday as a huge winter storm swept across the country, leaving hundreds of thousands without power and forcing mass flight cancellations. Natural gas futures for February delivery traded 17.7% higher, or 93 cents, to $6.21 per million British thermal units …
Trump is wrecking America like he bankrupted his 7 businesses. pic.twitter.com/qFDqGZ3hu5 — ADAM (@AdameMedia) January 26, 2026 US dollar index hits lowest since September while silver and gold surge. BREAKING: 🇺🇸 While the silver and gold skyrocket, the US Dollar Index extends losses to -1.5% this month, now at its lowest level since September 18th. …
A Bloomberg story making the rounds this week points out that the value of Russia’s monetary gold reserves has increased by $216 billion since February 2022, offsetting much of the roughly $300 billion in Russian reserves Western countries are trying to steal. RT takes a look inside the somewhat opaque world of Russia’s gold holdings. …
SOFR reflects the cost of overnight borrowing collateralized by Treasuries. When SOFR drops, it usually signals: Excess cash in the repo market Lower demand for overnight borrowing More Treasury collateral available Money‑market funds accepting lower yields ecb also already started QEhttps://t.co/xcMp97Zo8Z — Filip Spasevski (@FilipsMoneyX) January 13, 2026
Thank goodness we have vigilant, hyper-competent stewards of our financial system such as Sens. Maxine Waters and Elizabeth Warren to ensure no systemic risks are allowed to threaten the solvency of our banks. What’s going on in the Corporate Junk Bond Levered Funds? 👀 @DowdEdward pic.twitter.com/9XLSpJ5kf4 — Will O'Hara, CMT (@WillOHara131) October 20, 2025 “Bank …
Chinese Stock Market closes at highest level since January 2022 📈 pic.twitter.com/2stRIJEMmx — Barchart (@Barchart) October 1, 2025
🚨BREAKING New report: poverty and food insecurity in Canada jumps FORTY percent since 2023 …some Canadians are going FULL DAYS without eating. The solutions? All taxpayer funded! Communism is coming. pic.twitter.com/Vmqn2PhAJV — Tablesalt 🇨🇦🇺🇸 (@Tablesalt13) September 17, 2025 Canada Real Estate Insanity A Hamilton home purchased in 2021 just sold for a 52% loss. 2009 …
Promise made, promise broken. Food-at-home rose 0.6% from July to Aug—the biggest month-over-month increase since Aug '22. Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs rose 5.6%. Whatever growth Trump claims from his insane trade wars, it's us, everyday Americans, who are paying the price. pic.twitter.com/Q1XIJaFYxb — Ryan Crosswell (@Ryan_Crosswell) September 12, 2025
I honestly can’t believe how clueless the market is. We’re on the edge of a full-blown depression and it’s still acting like it’s 1999. Inflation is gone, the next 12 months will be nothing but deflation. We've been in a recession since 2024, they've just been hiding it. Credit card delinquencies are already as high …
This isn’t a question of ‘paper hands.’ The O/N RRP is now fully drained – something we haven’t seen since it surged in 2021. Thus, unless the Fed abruptly abandons QT & reverts to QE, US liquidity is going to contract for the 1st time since 2022. And the last time that happened, @Bitcoin collapsed …
The Fed’s reacting to lagging labor data while ignoring leading inflation signals. Policy misfire incoming. JUST IN 🚨: The odds of a September rate cut have soared to over 94% pic.twitter.com/E8copNJVuO — Barchart (@Barchart) August 12, 2025 Overall US CPI moved up to 2.7% in July, the highest level since February. US Core CPI (excluding …
Treasury volatility just hit rock bottom, the lowest since January 2022. The MOVE Index cratered. Fear? Gone. Hedging? Forget it. Market signals? Silent. Only a quiet calm that should scare you. “Volatility in the Treasuries market has dropped recently, with the ICE BofA MOVE Index falling to its lowest level since January 2022.” https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-treasuries-volatility-gauge-falls-092845181.html Rates …
UPS just finished the full Covid rollercoaster. From pandemic lows to stimulus highs and then right back down. The stock has plunged 52% from its 2022 peak. It now trades at all-time lows compared to FedEx. The dividend is nearly 8 percent. That is not a bargain. It is a flashing red warning. UPS cut …
Russia’s largest airline went dark on July 28. Aeroflot’s internal systems were breached, locked, and shredded. The attackers say they had access for nearly a year. They moved through flight records, employee logs, internal comms. The group calls itself Silent Crow. Pro-Ukraine. Tied to Belarusian hackers. The Russian Prosecutor General’s Office confirmed the intrusion. No …
Canada just sent a $2 billion invoice to American tech firms. No warning. No negotiation. Just a retroactive tax bill going back to January 2022. The 3% Digital Services Tax is now live. Google, Meta, Amazon, Uber, and others are on the hook. The first payment is due June 30, 2025. The tax applies to …
by confoundedinterest17 New home sales are going down. New home sales plunged in May, the biggest MoM drop since June 2022. The median sales price increased 3% from a year ago to $426,600 last month, marking the first year-over-year price gain in 2025. The plunge in new home sales came as mortgage rates ticked back higher. …
The U.S. economy has officially entered a downturn, with the latest Q1 2025 GDP estimate confirming a 0.2 percent contraction. While this revision is slightly better than the initial 0.3 percent decline, it still marks the first economic shrinkage since 2022. This signals growing instability, with businesses and investors bracing for further turbulence. The primary …
It's very likely that the S&P 500 has just reached a short-term TOP. The Put/Call ratio is very contracted, and yesterday's market breadth was very poor. pic.twitter.com/B9ednkA6JU — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) May 15, 2025 ALERT: Bitcoin has just triggered the EXACT signal that preceded the 2014, 2018, and 2022 bear markets Is history about to …
Now things start getting interesting. Nasdaq is starting the week off exactly like April 2022. https://t.co/izVTSoaVTJ pic.twitter.com/R8iRpv7exu — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) May 5, 2025 Another good reason to expect a pullback after the recent run, is that #market #breadth is approaching 90% which is where previous bull runs ended. pic.twitter.com/CvGqz8ZgdR — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) May 5, …
$MSFT – In Q1 2022, despite a 1% contraction in GDP, Microsoft posted its strongest earnings growth ever for the quarter and even issued an upbeat outlook for the following quarters. Yet, it failed to deliver in the subsequent reports. Fast forward to Q1 2025 — GDP has… pic.twitter.com/2onn11dh98 — optionGeek (@StockShark16) May 1, 2025 …
In REAL terms, we’re very close to the full downturn of 2022 byu/cxr_cxr2 inwallstreetbets Considering the euro/dollar exchange rate, the Nasdaq 100 has lost 27.5% from its February highs. Throughout the entire 2022 bearish phase, even accounting for the euro/dollar exchange rate, the decline was 30%. This doesn’t necessarily mean we’re close to the lows, but …
by confoundedinterest17 The good news? The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve is normalizing to January 2022 levels. One the mortgage side, adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) share is the highest since the financial crisis (2008). As Trump continues to stand up for Americans and China (and Democrats) continues to fight, the S&P 500 index lags MSCI …