Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
pic.twitter.com/XDoRWrR7P0 — Stano (@StanoA313) April 23, 2026 For like 10-15 minutes the market freaked out, S&P dropped almost 1%, then everyone realized it was fake and bought the dip hard. Most of the losses got wiped out fast. Classic move lately. One random Iran or Hormuz rumor pops up, everyone sells first and asks questions …
President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs have been deemed illegal by the U.S. supreme court, but that doesn’t mean he’s changing his view on the policy tool — far from it. “The TRADE DEFICIT was down 55%, the biggest drop in history,” Trump declared in a recent post on Truth Social (1). “THANK YOU MR. TARIFF!” …
$SPX has been going nowhere for months. That's about to change. Price is tracing out a bearish B-Wave triangle. If not already complete, one more bounce into the Daily FVG at 6,883–6,915 and the triangle terminates. What follows is a sharp C-Wave decline to SPX 6,720-6500.… pic.twitter.com/4AEmMSJl7s — TRIGGER TRADES (@TriggerTrades) February 28, 2026 What …
Chipotle stock falls -11% after reporting another sharp drop in restaurant traffic byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts Chipotle confirmed that fewer people are visiting its restaurants — a trend that has now lasted an entire year. Traffic dropped again in Q4. Same‑store sales declined 2.5% in the quarter. Full‑year 2025 same‑store sales fell 1.7%, the first annual decline …
Yikes. ADP employment report shows -32,000 jobs lost in November. Most industries were doing layoffs. The only ones still are hiring are hospitality and healthcare. But look at employment by firm size. There's a K-shaped economy among firms, too. Larger companies are still… pic.twitter.com/CsMQ4UAAyZ — Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) December 3, 2025 On US macroeconomic data: …
via notayesmanseconomics This morning has brought some better news for the UK on the inflation front. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 3.6% in the 12 months to October 2025, down from 3.8% in September. So an improvement although a nuanced one if one moves onto the monthly figure. On a monthly basis, CPI …
Trump: "We may having some conversations with Maduro, and we'll see how that turns out. They would like to talk." pic.twitter.com/MlobWZuK8T — Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 16, 2025 In today’s issue: ▪ President reverses ahead of Epstein vote ▪ Trump-MTG spat intensifies ▪ FAA ends all flight reductions ▪ Measles spread threatens US status President …
by Michael Pundits have been talking a lot about America’s “K-shaped economy” lately, but most average people on the street have no idea what that means. Basically, it means that the wealthy are getting even wealthier while almost everyone else is getting monkey-hammered. Yesterday, I detailed 11 signs that economic conditions in the U.S. are the worst …
Emerging market stocks, long fueled by global trade, are now showing cracks as export momentum fades. Investors may be walking into the late stages of a rally built on weakening foundations. If trade continues to contract, the ripple effects could hit supply chains and markets worldwide with surprising speed. Global exports are heading into contraction. …
Rate cuts: like putting a band-aid on a sinking ship. For those begging for rate cuts, look back at 2001 and 2008. The Fed started cutting right before unemployment spiked. The pivot wasn’t a win, it was the signal that the real damage was about to hit. If the economy was healthy and booming, there …
Four weeks of sideways trading ahead. History shows crash soon follows. Are we heading for a crash? Let's compare the NASDAQ in 2008 and 2025. The current topping process mirrors 2008, with new highs after a sharp correction. In late 2007, the market churned for 4-5 weeks before collapsing. We will likely see weeks of …
Traders dump greenback ahead of Fed moves Dollar Heads for Sharp Weekly Decline The dollar index hovered around 97.5 on Friday but remained on track for a steep weekly loss as traders weighed evolving trade developments and looked ahead to next week’s Fede… More here: https://t.co/A99AbiWHBz pic.twitter.com/4pczqmceSS — TRADING ECONOMICS (@tEconomics) July 25, 2025
Market runs on manufactured momentum and ticking clock… $VIX puts are being bought just before $SPY ramps like what's shown below to suppress vol further and cause an automatic rise in equity prices. This also happened yesterday and Monday. They didn't need to do this last week as the momentum trade was on its own. …
The hype around the BBB budget bill has been building for weeks with traders and investors bracing for a sell the news reaction next week. The key question remains how deep the drop could be whether it will be a mild 1% pullback or a harsher 10% decline. The market rallied roughly 22% over the …
U.S. Dollar Index $DXY is about to form a Death Cross ☠️ on the weekly chart (50 week moving average crossing below the 200 week) 🚨 A huge upside reversal took place each of the last 2 times this happened (March 2018 and Jan 2021) 📈📈 pic.twitter.com/ALLwNxT70w — Barchart (@Barchart) July 2, 2025 What happens …
First, confusion swirled around whether current tariffs were paused or still active. Now, the court ruling adds another layer — was it a halt, a pause, or a reinstatement? Despite all this chaos, $SPY holding near 590 is nothing short of remarkable.how long can it last? — optionGeek (@StockShark16) May 30, 2025 JPM has a …
Peter Doocy: "Once you hear this [Hur] audio, it makes everybody that was saying, 'well, Joe Biden is okay in private' look really, really bad." We're looking at you, Elizabeth Warren, Chuck Schumer, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, Karine Jean-Pierre, Chris Murphy, Ro Khanna, JB… pic.twitter.com/UKg6Rjt0ew — Julia 🇺🇸 (@Jules31415) May 17, 2025 “I’m offended by …
“Deutsche Bank’s forecast points to a sharp deterioration in S&P 500 earnings growth, with Q2 expected to turn negative and a deeper contraction anticipated later in 2025 if tariffs persist, marking a stark divergence from the more optimistic bottom-up consensus.” – @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/zRShvKWuSp — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) May 8, 2025 “.. We’re seeing pushback …
BTC/M2 is exhibiting a pattern similar to 2021, indicating the possibility of a rally through August, followed by a significant top. pic.twitter.com/t23WXeJmTv — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) May 2, 2025 S&P 500 may not have bottomed warns Goldman Sachs 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/O2ETYoGk5Z — Barchart (@Barchart) May 2, 2025
Reported #cognitive challenges among US 18-yo since 1990. What happened around 2010 that caused the sharp rise in reports? 🤔#SocialMedia pic.twitter.com/P7rndLi6oT — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) April 21, 2025
Retail dip buyers may vanish when reality finally lands. Given how overpriced the U.S. stock market is, and the severity of the coming recession and earnings decline, it still has a long way to fall. In fact, despite the decline, given the negative impact of tariffs, the market is more overpriced now than it was …
BREAKING: US financial conditions are now their tightest since the 2020 pandemic, per ZeroHedge. Financial conditions are even tighter than during one of the most rapid Fed hike cycles of all time, in 2022. Conditions have tightened rapidly as stocks have pulled back, while… pic.twitter.com/d53KqrwU4D — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 14, 2025 Is this …
Bank of America recommends to sell the rip 🍀 — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) April 11, 2025 BLACKROCK CEO LARRY FINK SAYS WE ARE GOING TO HAVE MUCH GREATER EMBEDDED INFLATION IN THIS COUNTRY – CNBC — First Squawk (@FirstSquawk) April 11, 2025 Inflation expectations remain well anchored… lol pic.twitter.com/P5obSDFctd — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) April 11, …
🚨BREAKING: Short-Term Yield 📈: Financial Stress? A sharp 📈 in 3& 6-month yields signal financial strains, similar to the 2019 repo crisis causes: •Liquidity Strains: Banks/hedge funds may face overnight funding pressures •Hedge Fund Stress: Losses or margin calls driving pic.twitter.com/HvkMtQ7zzE — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) April 1, 2025 Why are the 3 and 6 …
Bitcoin is about to make a big move. And according to china liquidity injection, is to the downside. pic.twitter.com/lO5XrNFgR2 — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) March 27, 2025 Bitcoin Mauling season on approach. pic.twitter.com/v1IkbAhCTz — The Great Martis (@great_martis) March 26, 2025 Trying to pump bitcoin with rumours 😂😂 The cult is relentless. https://t.co/kAveiDRf5R — The Great …
TSLA is at 271. It was $225 when Tim Walz was so excited about the stock dropping. It was $172 a year ago. Can Democrats do anything right? https://t.co/p7c5OWXCoq — Karol Markowicz (@karol) March 24, 2025
With the second-lowest month of hires in the 21st century, the industry is struggling like never before. This slowdown is telling us a lot about the broader economy. Even during the height of the pandemic, there were more job openings in construction than there are now. The cost of construction is plummeting, as developers have …
The U.S. Postal Service halting inbound packages from China and Hong Kong isn’t just a logistical hiccup—it’s a flashing red warning light for escalating trade tensions. E-commerce businesses, already grappling with supply chain issues, now face another blow. Investors are pulling back from Chinese stocks, sensing the storm ahead. This isn’t just about shipping; it’s …
Meet Donald Trump's new press secretary Karoline Leavitt, 27, as she becomes youngest person to hold coveted position | The US Sun https://t.co/VI8j7AykUw — RANDYRAZOR (@Razor777666) January 21, 2025 HISTORIC HIRING Meet Donald Trump’s new press secretary Karoline Leavitt, 27, as she becomes youngest person to hold coveted position DONALD Trump’s new press secretary is …
