Recession is coming
Recession is coming byu/bdogwu inwallstreetbets
recession
McKelvey-PMES Recession Indicator Weakens Slightly but Signal Still Firm
by Mike Shedlock The McKelvey-PMES recession indicator dipped a bit in September but the signal still implies recession. 100 percent of the time, with no false positives or negatives, under current conditions, the economy has been in recession. The odds …
Yield curve steepening historically signals recessions, yet markets often rise until the final moment. We’re in the “hot zone” for a recession
2/ The yield curve just steepened by 1%, coming out of an inversion The last time we saw this was in 2020 during the COVID-19 recession pic.twitter.com/L2gzkGSCI8 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 8, 2024 4/ So, where's the recession now? …
“We are in a recession already,” Jeffery Gundlach has said, per BI. “I see an awful lot of layoffs announcement.”
Jeffery Gundlach, a well-known investor, has indeed expressed concerns about the U.S. economy. He mentioned that the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts are arriving too late and that the mounting job losses indicate the U.S. economy is already in a recession. …
Recession Signals Are FLASHING Red, It’s Much Worse Than You Think
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x415sUMvNjk The US economy has been struggling for some time, and the situation has worsened with the onset of a recession. The recession is here, and it’s not looking pretty. Despite the optimism and reassurances from various sources, the reality …
Personal savings rate has been revised from 2.9% to 4.9% for August – recession cancelled?
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=580A There’s good news in another corner of today’s report: Americans are saving more than previously thought. The personal saving rate, a measure of the disposable income left over after Americans pay their taxes and regular expenses, was 4.8% in …
China shows 2008-like panic, launching pandemic-level stimulus to combat looming recession.
The first signs of weakness came after China’s HY real estate index fell a massive 82% in just over 2 years. This came as Evergrande, one of China’s real estate giants, filed Chapter 15 bankruptcy. This put the index back …
Can Uncle Sam Stop the World Sliding Into Recession?
By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist Outside of the U.S., the world economy is in serious trouble. Europe is teetering on the verge of recession with its collective economy barely growing for three quarters in a row. Germany, …
Over the last 45 years, such a spike has always coincided with a recession.
⚠️US ECONOMY HAS: 1) 1 MILLION full-time jobs lost in a year 2) ALL JOBS REVISED DOWN BY 818K for the 12 months through March 2024 3) 452 BIG bankruptcies in 2024, 2nd most in 14 years 4) $2.1tn excess …
A massive rate-cutting cycle has started. Are we heading for a global recession?
Hopefully. This is disgusting and needs to regress to the mean pic.twitter.com/qU2EOpjj5O — Jesse From NJ (@whiteneck81) September 24, 2024 ⚠️CHINA UNLEASHED THE BIGGEST STIMULUS PACKAGE YET TO BOOST THE CRATERING PROPERTY MARKET AND THE ECONOMY⚠️ 1) The People’s Bank …
12 months ago, the Federal Reserve predicted a 65% chance of recession occurring in 12 months using the near-term forward spread.
by Stargazer5781 Since the 10 – 2-year yield curve recently normalized I was curious if the same were true of the near-term forward spread (10-year – 3-month), which the Federal Reserve previously announced as the most accurate predictor of recession …
Market Pricing Signals A 100% Probability Of US Recession
🚨MARKET PRICING SIGNALS A 100% PROBABILITY OF US RECESSION🚨 The market is currently pricing in over 2.00% Fed rate cuts within 12 months, the most since the Financial Crisis. This implies a 100% probability of a recession in the next …
Trucking Data Show A Recession
via Tom McClellan The folks at Cass Information Systems spend their time gathering a lot of data about how much money gets spent on shipping things, and their data show that the U.S. is already in a recession of economic activity. This …
US NFIB Business Optimism Index at 91.2, signals deep recession concerns; FedEx CEO highlights economic weakness.
FedEx CEO says “The magnitude of the Fed rate cuts . . . signals the weakness of the current environment,” as priority shipments between businesses, a bell-weather of the economy, dropped FedEx reported a steep quarterly profit drop and lowered …
Hard Landing! 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Suggests Coming Recession
by confoundedinterest17 Whenever the 10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve slope goes negative, it is following by positive slope … then recession. Like clockwork. Following every recession since the 1970s, the 10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve slope has risen, then declined. This time …
Will a housing crisis occur before the recession?
Multi-family delinquency rate pic.twitter.com/Ygj4URgZVt — Will DeCotiis (@Will_DeCotiis) September 19, 2024 2/ The recent unemployment rate came in at 4.2% Showing signs of a weakening labor market This has begun to spark recessionary concerns pic.twitter.com/Ig9umKI2aH — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) September …
What happens to the deficit when a recession hits?
It’s a joke. The US took in less than $4.5T in income in 2023, yet serviced $33T in debt. The US debt was $5.6T 24 years ago (2000), but revenue was $2.025T. Interest payments were $660B in 2023 and $220B …
“Despite surveys showing that the consensus is expecting a soft landing, rates markets are pricing in a full-blown recession.” – Apollo Slok
There’s a reason why the big boys have been selling and holding cash. The market may not correct right away but when it bottoms it will take years to recover. The difficulty will be determining when the bottom is in. …
Printing $13 trillion created a temporary boom, now we’re stuck in recession. Wake up!
The Federal Reserve’s actions during the COVID-19 crisis were extensive and went beyond just purchasing government securities. The Federal Reserve took unprecedented measures to support the economy. By the end of 2020, the Fed had purchased approximately $3.5 trillion in government securities. …
Claudia Sahm knows the job numbers are much worse than the government data shows. Her indicator showed recession 2 reports ago
Claudia Sahm knows the job numbers are much worse than the government data shows. Her indicator showed recession 2 reports ago 👀 — Gimme3Steps (@TheSouthGAJohn) September 17, 2024 https://twitter.com/RJRCapital/status/1836012662272020707 Most uncertain FOMC meeting on record BofA pic.twitter.com/WkQhKaPFcE — Win Smart, …
Michael Pento: Recession Now or Stagflation Forever
by pentoport The labor market is clearly weakening. But in reality, this is what needs to happen. Short-term pain is needed to reconcile the great imbalances created by decades of free money. The alternative is intractable inflation that renders the …
Oil has dropped <$70bbl on expectations of global recession.
OPEC has recently reduced global growth expectations. h/t Infamous_Sympathy_91
Global recession hits: Samsung Electronics to lay off up to 30% of its global workforce, citing declining sales and a shrinking customer base.
Samsung Electronics, the world's top maker of smartphones, TVs and memory chips, is cutting up to 30% of its overseas staff at some divisions, three sources with direct knowledge of the matter told @Reuters. Read more https://t.co/U07j1AM2pe pic.twitter.com/imSKS6qwyq — Reuters …
Fed Beige Book Conditions Are Worse Now Than the Start of the Great Recession
by Mike Shedlock Let’s compare current Beige Book conditions to those at the beginning of the Great Recession. Beige Book January 2008 Let’s take a look at the Fed’s Beige Book Summary of Economic Conditions in the 12 Fed districts in January …
Stocks are increasingly sure that the economy will avoid a recession. Bonds…..not so much. The 10y2y Yield is back to the 0 line.
#Stocks are increasingly sure that the #economy will avoid a #recession.#Bonds…..not so much.h/t @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/jGH6KyX8eY — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) August 30, 2024 The 10y2y Yield is back to the 0 line. The Inverted Yield Curve is one of the most …
The rich thrive in a booming economy, while the poor endure a deep recession.
"It was all going so well" pic.twitter.com/ywaWoUuh9d — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 29, 2024 Explain this!Germany’s DAX Index Hits Record High while the economy is in recession! #Germany #Stocks #Gold #Recession #Inflation pic.twitter.com/DiLIwRZL8K — Anas Alhajji (@anasalhajji) August 30, 2024 Dollar …
Recession Predictor: Unemployment rate and Interest Rate Intersection
by Jhoffman12 To start, I am not a Doomer and I have money in the market. I was looking at the unemployment rate recently just out of curiosity and saw a correlation between a recession and whenever there was a rise, …