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4 Republicans revolt, force vote on Obamacare funding. MTG says ‘dam is breaking’ against president. Jobless rate for Blacks and teens surges in November

Breaking: In a rebuke of Speaker Johnson, four House Republicans sided with the Democrats to force a vote on extending ACA subsidies https://t.co/J9eBxdaptZ — The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) December 17, 2025 WASHINGTON — Rebelling against their leaders, four House Republicans on Wednesday signed onto a “discharge petition,” giving Democrats the 218 signatures needed to …

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Rising jobless rate has precedent, and it often ain’t pretty. Six-figure earners work side hustles, skip meals.

Plus, Susie Wiles breaks cover, a new name in the frame for the Federal Reserve and Hegseth says the Pentagon won’t release the Sept. 2 boat strike video Good morning. New data released Tuesday showed that the unemployment rate has risen from 4% when President Trump took office to 4.6% in November. A sizable drift …

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Many Unemployed Americans Are Applying For 100s Of Jobs With No Success As The Unemployment Rate Surges To A 4 Year High

by Michael Frustrated job seekers all over America just got more bad news.  The unemployment rate just hit the highest level that we have seen in four years, and that is yet another indication that the labor market is getting even tighter.  If you currently have a good job that you highly value, hold on …

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U.S. NOVEMBER JOBLESS RATE HITS 4.6%, HIGHEST SINCE 2021

U.S. Economy: Labor Market Takes a Walk 🚶‍♂️ • U-3: 4.6% 📈• U-6: 8.7% ⚠️• Retail sales: flat (real spending negative w/inflation) 🛒 • Rates 📉 — labor still 📉 •Gold & Silver 📈How to position your portfolio as growth slows. The latest 👇https://t.co/Gnenu1VSZt pic.twitter.com/4fPSfnOAFn — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) December 16, 2025 The US …

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With the US, China, Japan, and Europe all unleashing massive spending, the world is about to run the system hot again; US inflation index is approaching its highest level since Jan 2025. Trump moves to gut central bank independence and hunt for the lowest rate promise.

The world is about to pump massive liquidity into the system: – The US pauses QT, runs record deficits, and is considering $2,000 stimulus checks – China is running the largest deficit in its history – Japan is preparing a $110 billion stimulus package – The EU is planning to spend ~$1 trillion on military …

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Every major market crash followed a Fed pivot as rate cuts triggered brutal losses in stocks, from the 1970s to 2008.

They’re LYING to you, rate cuts are actually BAD… Well, in the short term they are. The biggest crashes in history didn’t happen before the Fed pivot. They happened after it. 1970s? Fed cuts → stocks nuked. 2000 dot-com? Fed cuts → -51%. 2008? Fed cuts → -58%. Even the early 2020s saw the same …

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What if we get another liquidation event in December in the fear of this rate hike then market starts pumping from January 2026 ?

🚨BREAKING: Bank of Japan is planning to hike rates on the December 19th meeting. Bloomberg reports that some internal sources say the BOJ is planning to even do more rate hikes in 2026. This is the reason behind the massive dump we are seeing in the market today. pic.twitter.com/DrdTzaQZ0M — Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) December 12, …

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The bond selloff is continuing, w/US 30y yield now up to 4.85%. More rate cuts = potential inflation concerns = 10-yr yields rising

Rate cuts work. We need more of them. Then yields will go up to 20% — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) December 12, 2025 Rates barely reacted, reinforcing the idea that the Fed is now pushing on a string. The market – not policy – has the wheel. Next 3 months: 2-yr drifting toward 3.50–4.00% 10-yr …

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Home prices go negative, slightly. Powell says Fed rate cut won’t fix housing challenges.

Jerome Powell on the housing market: – “The housing market faces some really significant challenges and I don’t know that a 25-basis point decline in the Federal Funds Rate is going to make much of a difference for people.” – “Housing supply is low, many people have very, very low-rate mortgages from the pandemic period.” …

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NFIB data shows hiring plans just surged at a rate faster than 96% of all periods since 1985.

I have another chart that shows the US labor market improving. The NFIB Small Business Optimism survey saw a rise in the number of firms who plan to increase employment versus decrease employment. Over the last 6 months, the rate-of-change exceeds 96% of all periods since 1985. pic.twitter.com/i492W5C7wG — Jeff Weniger (@JeffWeniger) December 9, 2025 …

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The 3-month treasury just confirmed the cycle has turned: rate cuts coming, peak cash yields behind us, and the Fed preparing to prop up a slowing economy

Forget the Headlines The 3 Month Treasury Just Told You the Truth. The 3 month Treasury is basically the market’s closest read on the Fed. It sits right on top of the policy rate, so when it starts drifting meaningfully below that range, it’s the market’s way of saying, “We’re already looking past today’s rate …

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Home listings are at lowest rate in 30 years

Homebuyers’ demand just dropped again in late 2025 – showing that the U.S. Housing Market downturn is getting worse. NAR’s pending sales index just dropped -1.2% from last year, and is down -27% from the long-term norm. Homebuyers are on strike, and the market has gotten so bad that sellers are now quitting.   The …

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The zero rate boom was never free since ordinary people traded their future away while a small elite captured the nation’s stocks, homes and land under the illusion of easy money.

This was all pre planned. Government printed dollars. Lowered rates to 0%. You thought you were getting free monies to buy LED TV! In reality you were paying for this with your future and the elites were capturing every single asset — from stocks to houses to farm land! https://t.co/eprXRpb8jj — tic toc (@TicTocTick) November …

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$VIX looks calm, but the rate of change is not. Higher lows, higher closes, and a seven-month high while the market sits a few percent off all-time highs.

$VIX looks calm, but the rate of change is not. Higher lows, higher closes, and a seven-month high while the market sits a few percent off all-time highs. The tape is tightening, not relaxing. pic.twitter.com/InUuwhFXkH — Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS® (@kurtsaltrichter) November 27, 2025 can i have the permission to chart vix future? pic.twitter.com/IRJxCWvuCL — …

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US jobless claims fall to their lowest level since mid-April, odds of a December rate cut rising to 81%.

(Bloomberg) — Applications for US unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week to the lowest since mid-April, remaining relatively subdued amid economic uncertainty. Initial claims decreased by 6,000 to 216,000 in the week ended Nov. 22. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for 225,000 applications. Continuing claims, a proxy for the number …

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Japanese 10 Yr Bond rate at amost ATH and 30 Yr rate at ATH. Will Japan bring down the world financial market house of cards?

Reuters – BOJ nearing decision to raise rates TOKYO (Reuters) -The Bank of Japan is “nearing” a decision to raise interest rates and will not wait until after next year’s spring wage negotiations end, its board member Kazuyuki Masu was quoted in the Nikkei newspaper as saying. The remark follows those by Governor Kazuo Ueda …

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PPI at 2.6% versus 2.7% expected, cooling pressure lifts rate cut odds

🇺🇸US PPI came in at 2.6% Expected – 2.7% This means core inflation is cooling down. Chance for Fed to cut interest rates goes up. — Ted (@TedPillows) November 25, 2025 Polymarket now has Fed cutting in December at 86%, big V from 20-% a week ago 👀 pic.twitter.com/pDQkswroxv — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) November 25, 2025

Morgan Stanley says the pain is almost over and a 2026 boom is coming with rate cuts and 17 percent earnings growth on deck

MORGAN STANLEY: BUY THE DIP NOW FOR 2026 GAINS Michael Wilson says the current stock market pressure is a tactical correction caused by Fed liquidity jitters, NOT fundamental deterioration. 🔸 The damage “under the surface” suggests the correction is nearing its end. 🔸 Wilson remains highly bullish, expecting the Fed to cut rates and forecasting …

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Bond market clearly sees this rate cut cycle to be far more justified than the one in Sep 2024…. Bessent drops a bombshell saying interest rate sectors are already in recession… Inflation is still soaring?

not sure about that? pic.twitter.com/R1DilijKUf — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) November 23, 2025 US TSY SEC BESSENT REMARKS: “Interest rate sensitive sectors are in recession, but I’m confident about 2026 growth.” “Inflation is being driven by services rather than imported goods.” “We should see an announcement this week regarding health care costs.” “Prices are starting …

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U.S. unemployment rate blows past expectations, highest level in years; Trump’s solution: Import more foreign workers

BREAKING: U.S. unemployment rate blows past expectations, soaring to the highest level in years. — Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 20, 2025 NOW – DHS Secretary Noem on H-1Bs: "Under the Trump admin, we've sped up our process and added integrity to the visa programs, to green cards, to all of that, but also more people are …

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The Fed is whispering a December rate cut through back channels and banks are hearing it loud and clear

It looks like the Fed is starting to communicate a December rate cut. The leading banks are getting the message through indirect channels. Fed futures now show a 70% probability of a cut — and suddenly market futures are magically recovering. I’m telling you… these hawks are basically dummy farts It looks like the Fed …

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Powell said the Unemployment Rate was now more important than payroll numbers…4.4% is a new cycle high. Highest since 2021. Fed officials voicing concerns about private credit lately.

https://twitter.com/spice1975503/status/1991520334458343476 Noticing a growing number of Fed officials voicing concerns about private credit lately. But this one is esp notable where one of them is openly highlighting risks among life insurers (its largest investor base). If the Fed is concerned about lifers, things are quite serious. pic.twitter.com/sC3uUFrdKq — Mr. VIX (@yieldsearcher) November 20, 2025 Everything’s …

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The office vacancy rate in the US has moved up to 20.7%, the highest level in history.

The only thing offices provided was overhead. Remote work kept the productivity. AI took the rest. pic.twitter.com/vyNRPlq3Ee — Cactus Jack (@CactusJackMemo) November 20, 2025 The U.S. office market has hit a critical point, with vacancy rates soaring to historic highs and creating major challenges for property owners and lenders, according to Reuters. Remote work and …

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Food inflation is surging, up from 2.8% to 3.2% as of November 9. December rate cut odds are dropping fast.

They keep telling everyone inflation is “cooling” while the numbers keep jumping the moment you look closely. This is why the hawks on the Fed are screaming no rate cut. Most recent food inflation data from Consumer Edge. Highly respected. Food inflation costs are surging. Up from 2.8% to 3.2% as of November 9th. We …

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ADP Report Shows Big Job Losses In October, 45,000 Job Losses (Rate Cuts Around The Corner?)

by confoundedinterest17 The Federal government is still shut down, so we have to rely on ADP for jobs numbers. The ADP weekly jobless report pointed to a deterioration in US labor momentum, stating that “for the four weeks ending Oct. 25, 2025, private employers shed an average of 11,250 jobs a week, suggesting that the …

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SOFR is dropping, which indicates there’s plenty of liquidity moving through the system. Tech is rallying today. But credit default swaps on the speculative AI names are still climbing.

SOFR rate is plunging which means liquidity is flush throughout the system. Ignore all of the other noise around $2000 stimmies and the end of the shutdown. This surge in liquidity alone will push equities and gold higher at least in the short term. https://t.co/tCTGfKPvLE — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 10, 2025 SOFR did drop …

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153,074 layoffs in October, the highest for that month in 22 years. Tech cuts up nearly 6 times. Earlier, the quit rate dropped to its lowest level since 2014.

Job cuts for October totaled 153,074, a 183% surge from September and 175% higher than the same month a year ago. It was the highest level for any October since 2003. Companies in the technology sector announced 33,281 cuts, nearly six times the level in September. “Like in 2003, a disruptive technology is changing the …

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