A hub for independent voices and hard truths
Breaking: In a rebuke of Speaker Johnson, four House Republicans sided with the Democrats to force a vote on extending ACA subsidies https://t.co/J9eBxdaptZ — The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) December 17, 2025 WASHINGTON — Rebelling against their leaders, four House …
Plus, Susie Wiles breaks cover, a new name in the frame for the Federal Reserve and Hegseth says the Pentagon won’t release the Sept. 2 boat strike video Good morning. New data released Tuesday showed that the unemployment rate has …
by Michael Frustrated job seekers all over America just got more bad news. The unemployment rate just hit the highest level that we have seen in four years, and that is yet another indication that the labor market is getting …
U.S. Economy: Labor Market Takes a Walk 🚶♂️ • U-3: 4.6% 📈• U-6: 8.7% ⚠️• Retail sales: flat (real spending negative w/inflation) 🛒 • Rates 📉 — labor still 📉 •Gold & Silver 📈How to position your portfolio as growth …
The world is about to pump massive liquidity into the system: – The US pauses QT, runs record deficits, and is considering $2,000 stimulus checks – China is running the largest deficit in its history – Japan is preparing a …
They’re LYING to you, rate cuts are actually BAD… Well, in the short term they are. The biggest crashes in history didn’t happen before the Fed pivot. They happened after it. 1970s? Fed cuts → stocks nuked. 2000 dot-com? Fed …
🚨BREAKING: Bank of Japan is planning to hike rates on the December 19th meeting. Bloomberg reports that some internal sources say the BOJ is planning to even do more rate hikes in 2026. This is the reason behind the massive …
Rate cuts work. We need more of them. Then yields will go up to 20% — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) December 12, 2025 Rates barely reacted, reinforcing the idea that the Fed is now pushing on a string. The market …
Jerome Powell on the housing market: – “The housing market faces some really significant challenges and I don’t know that a 25-basis point decline in the Federal Funds Rate is going to make much of a difference for people.” – …
I have another chart that shows the US labor market improving. The NFIB Small Business Optimism survey saw a rise in the number of firms who plan to increase employment versus decrease employment. Over the last 6 months, the rate-of-change …
The US government has shifted to financing itself almost entirely through short term Treasury Bills that need to be refinanced every few months, rather than locking in longer term debt. Over the last 12 months, they’ve issued a record $25.4 …
Forget the Headlines The 3 Month Treasury Just Told You the Truth. The 3 month Treasury is basically the market’s closest read on the Fed. It sits right on top of the policy rate, so when it starts drifting meaningfully …
Homebuyers’ demand just dropped again in late 2025 – showing that the U.S. Housing Market downturn is getting worse. NAR’s pending sales index just dropped -1.2% from last year, and is down -27% from the long-term norm. Homebuyers are on …
This was all pre planned. Government printed dollars. Lowered rates to 0%. You thought you were getting free monies to buy LED TV! In reality you were paying for this with your future and the elites were capturing every single …
$VIX looks calm, but the rate of change is not. Higher lows, higher closes, and a seven-month high while the market sits a few percent off all-time highs. The tape is tightening, not relaxing. pic.twitter.com/InUuwhFXkH — Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS® …
(Bloomberg) — Applications for US unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week to the lowest since mid-April, remaining relatively subdued amid economic uncertainty. Initial claims decreased by 6,000 to 216,000 in the week ended Nov. 22. The median forecast in a …
Reuters – BOJ nearing decision to raise rates TOKYO (Reuters) -The Bank of Japan is “nearing” a decision to raise interest rates and will not wait until after next year’s spring wage negotiations end, its board member Kazuyuki Masu was …
🇺🇸US PPI came in at 2.6% Expected – 2.7% This means core inflation is cooling down. Chance for Fed to cut interest rates goes up. — Ted (@TedPillows) November 25, 2025 Polymarket now has Fed cutting in December at 86%, …
MORGAN STANLEY: BUY THE DIP NOW FOR 2026 GAINS Michael Wilson says the current stock market pressure is a tactical correction caused by Fed liquidity jitters, NOT fundamental deterioration. 🔸 The damage “under the surface” suggests the correction is nearing …
not sure about that? pic.twitter.com/R1DilijKUf — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) November 23, 2025 US TSY SEC BESSENT REMARKS: “Interest rate sensitive sectors are in recession, but I’m confident about 2026 growth.” “Inflation is being driven by services rather than imported …
BREAKING: U.S. unemployment rate blows past expectations, soaring to the highest level in years. — Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 20, 2025 NOW – DHS Secretary Noem on H-1Bs: "Under the Trump admin, we've sped up our process and added integrity to …
It looks like the Fed is starting to communicate a December rate cut. The leading banks are getting the message through indirect channels. Fed futures now show a 70% probability of a cut — and suddenly market futures are magically …
https://twitter.com/spice1975503/status/1991520334458343476 Noticing a growing number of Fed officials voicing concerns about private credit lately. But this one is esp notable where one of them is openly highlighting risks among life insurers (its largest investor base). If the Fed is concerned …
The only thing offices provided was overhead. Remote work kept the productivity. AI took the rest. pic.twitter.com/vyNRPlq3Ee — Cactus Jack (@CactusJackMemo) November 20, 2025 The U.S. office market has hit a critical point, with vacancy rates soaring to historic highs …
Markets are reacting to news that the Fed will no longer is expected to cut rates in the month of Decemeber! This is bearish news for the stock market!
They keep telling everyone inflation is “cooling” while the numbers keep jumping the moment you look closely. This is why the hawks on the Fed are screaming no rate cut. Most recent food inflation data from Consumer Edge. Highly respected. …
by confoundedinterest17 The Federal government is still shut down, so we have to rely on ADP for jobs numbers. The ADP weekly jobless report pointed to a deterioration in US labor momentum, stating that “for the four weeks ending Oct. …
SOFR rate is plunging which means liquidity is flush throughout the system. Ignore all of the other noise around $2000 stimmies and the end of the shutdown. This surge in liquidity alone will push equities and gold higher at least …
Job cuts for October totaled 153,074, a 183% surge from September and 175% higher than the same month a year ago. It was the highest level for any October since 2003. Companies in the technology sector announced 33,281 cuts, nearly …
