A hub for independent voices and hard truths
Past periods of rising small business uncertainty led to hiring slowdowns and reduced capital spending due to weaker demand visibility and tighter credit conditions US small businesses are highly concerned about the economy: The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped …
U.S. stocks spiked and oil dropped off today; But I don't get the reason for the optimism. What changed? What do the insiders know that we don't?pic.twitter.com/ehCQE7WPvD https://t.co/ouB6hne9sp — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) March 31, 2026 Look at a pic of …
The 28-point plan hammered out by US and Russian envoys and put to Ukraine this week came with a deadline and an implicit threat: Sign up or face the risk of being abandoned. US President Donald Trump said Friday that …
New home sales in China collapsed by 42% in October when compared to last October, representing more than just another setback for the beleaguered Chinese real estate market, the world’s largest asset class. This is a major problem for Chinese …
Holy Shit guys the Times is hiring Redditors pic.twitter.com/pXLrBylFGX — GBR (@GayBearRes) August 10, 2025 Sam Altman says Gen Z are the “luckiest kids in history” thanks to AI. That’s not optimism. That’s propaganda. “I would feel like the luckiest …
Snowflake debuted at roughly 100× revenue valuation at its IPO, even though it was doubling revenue annually. Palantir meanwhile is clocking in at around 30% annual growth—a sharp disparity. Investors are now questioning how PLTR earned wildly higher multiples given …
Nvidia did the heavy lifting during the market rebound since April. Failure to make new highs at this point means the market is heading down $NVDA pic.twitter.com/NzCOvtlWvo — The Maverick of Wall Street (@TheMaverickWS) June 1, 2025 The unemployment rate …
US executives are getting more concerned about the economy: The share of S&P 500 companies mentioning “recession” during their Q1 2025 earnings calls spiked to 23%, the highest since 2022. This percentage has surpassed levels recorded in all years between …
https://twitter.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1879287185138163932
History suggests the recent uninversion of the 10y-2y chart portends a recession to begin soon…. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1CyYI Rest of world going down fast as we speak. look under your desk. will drag US down. decoupling is fantasy. The government funded distractions …
Once again, the disconnect between what the stock market is hoping and what the consumer is telling us, is striking. Retail inventories are climbing month after month, and revisions are upward. The consumer is spending less and less and retail …
"Ottawa Sharpens the Axe" Thousands of federal public servants brace for potential layoffs as Ottawa targets $15.8B in budget cuts. 🪓 pic.twitter.com/IsYAPpTBoa — Shazi (@ShaziGoalie) December 24, 2024 1/ RE/MAX predicts a 5% national price increase in 2025, with GTA …
MSTR’s issuance relies on NAV premium and implied volatility, which would flatten without them. TLDR: MSTR sells shares at 2.3x NAV, making the sale accretive by buying BTC at a premium. Convertible bonds sold with 65% delta offer 1.5 BTC …
Druckenmiller recently announced at a conference that he is shorting U.S. Treasury bonds, and these bets now account for 15% to 20% of his portfolio. https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/10/20/does-stanley-druckenmiller-know-something-wall-str/ ✅Market optimism on inflation is ‘misleading’ byu/Fun_Balance_1809 inu_Fun_Balance_1809 Inflation is not dead, it’s just …
by confoundedinterest17 Communications breakdown! As Harris wordsalads her vision of the economy saying small businesses are the backbone of the US economy, but small businesses aren’t feeling it. Small business optimism remains below 100 at 91.5. Perhaps the themesong of Harris/Walz …
Investing.com– Gold prices hit record highs in Asian trade on Tuesday, extending a recent run of gains amid persistent optimism over U.S. interest rate cuts, with focus turning to more upcoming cues this week. Among industrial metals, copper prices rose …
FedEx CEO says “The magnitude of the Fed rate cuts . . . signals the weakness of the current environment,” as priority shipments between businesses, a bell-weather of the economy, dropped FedEx reported a steep quarterly profit drop and lowered …
AAII bulls up to 52.7% – highest level of this year and 2nd highest level since early 2021. Optimism is elevated, but risks become more acute when the crowd heads for the exits pic.twitter.com/0foZRmidNi — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July …
With small business optimism plummeting to an 11-year low, exacerbated by surging inflation and a shrinking labor force due to post-COVID government benefits, concerns mount about the economic landscape. As rents rise, hiring plans falter, and easy money policies end, …
The outlook for small business sales is beginning to decline, historically signaling a challenging macroeconomic environment. The Small Business Optimism Index plummeted to its lowest level in March since December 2012, marking the third consecutive decline and the 50th consecutive …
NEW: Gold hits new record high on Fed rate cut bets https://t.co/gHbUVRlwig — Insider Paper (@TheInsiderPaper) April 1, 2024 🟡 GOLD 🟡 pic.twitter.com/QLS9PG7BBg — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 1, 2024 GOLD 🟡 & SILVER ⚪️ 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/xJRymPgsCq — Win …
Very bearish chart. Finding good ‘quality labour’ is no longer a problem in the US. Sharp increase in labour supply is underway (as per today’s NFIB report). Not what a soft landing looks like pic.twitter.com/KyA51rL28w — Longview Economics (@Lvieweconomics) March …
Optimism in the US banking industry is being threatened by a growing pile of bad loans, putting pressure on the sector’s biggest players. Bloomberg analysts say non-performing loans, or loans to debtors that haven’t made a payment in over 90 …
via phys.org: A behavioral economist at the University of Bath in the U.K. has found evidence linking higher levels of unwarranted financial optimism with lower levels of cognitive ability. In his study, published in the journal Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, Chris Dawson …
US consumer confidence is soaring to a two-year high as a robust job market and easing inflation foster renewed optimism. pic.twitter.com/hbr0xT2Agm — Quiver Quantitative (@QuiverQuant) July 25, 2023 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-confidence-hits-highest-level-in-two-years-155813210.html We shall see how confident many consumers are when student loan …
The third OPEC+ oil cut. Oil ended down on the news. Sign of an extremely weak global economy. pic.twitter.com/Ic3kgQWpFf — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 3, 2023 Optimism around the Chinese consumer has faded following the re-opening A weakening Chinese economy is …
