A hub for independent voices and hard truths
This collapse is just getting started. Kids can’t get jobs and fast food giants scramble as broke Americans pull back hard. Labor Force participation is collapsing at a pace only seen during the 2020 crisis. Participation always drops before the …
The federal government is set to temporarily suspend the federal fuel excise tax on gas and diesel starting next week. Prime Minister Mark Carney made the announcement in Ottawa on Tuesday, just hours after his government secured a majority through …
If AI driven layoffs keep spreading across major firms, the real risk is no longer just job loss but a broader spillover into housing demand and consumer stability. You are already seeing early stress signals in labor data and forced …
As shown below, the Walmart Recession Signal (WRS) currently warns of a potential recession or at least a significant economic slowdown. I haven’t published the WRS for some time and “Walmart Worries” just keep multiplying. For the details see my …
Job creation in the US has slowed to essentially zero, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday as the Fed released its latest economic projections, which included slightly higher economic growth than previously projected and little change to the unemployment …
Healthcare has been propping up a shaky labor market. For the first time in over four years, the sector shed thousands of jobs Despite making up nearly a fifth of the U.S. economy and providing a much-needed set of crutches, …
So if only 6 American were killed and there was minimal injuries… then this wouldn’t be happening… They are freeing up capacity to deal with service members evac’d from the Gulf. https://t.co/3q7TLE17OQ — Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth) (@adamscochran) March 6, 2026 …
Macro vulnerability increasing ahead of automation wave. The consumer most exposed to AI displacement already has no financial runway. Before a single layoff announcement, 401k hardship withdrawals are 365% above baseline. Emergency savings at a 15-year low. Credit card delinquency …
⚠️The US labor market is CONTRACTING: The US economy added just +584,000 jobs in 2025, the weakest year for hiring outside of a recession since 2003. Shockingly, ~85% of job gains occurred by April, with the job market contracting over …
ADP National Employment Report And What the Headline Misses About Today’s Labor Market ADP says private employers added 41,000 jobs in December, framing it as a rebound. But when you slow down and look at where those jobs came from, …
🇯🇵 BOJ SIGNALS MORE PRESSUREBOJ: JAPAN YEN AT RISK 😱 Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda says Japan’s underlying inflation is steadily accelerating toward the 2% target, driven by tighter labor markets & rising wages. Wages + prices are changing …
pic.twitter.com/ZmEzFnNvwJ — James Beeker (@beeker_jam24189) December 21, 2025 I checked. Nope. Not seeing any of that here. American citizens have the right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. The Democrat party makes that almost impossible. pic.twitter.com/o7dVqEsLAq — AnnieJ …
This week sees Fed lack October PPI and creates uncertainty on inflation expectations. The delay by the BLS forces analysts to wait until the joint October-November PPI becomes available. A lack of October information weakens market confidence and undermines other …
Yikes. ADP employment report shows -32,000 jobs lost in November. Most industries were doing layoffs. The only ones still are hiring are hospitality and healthcare. But look at employment by firm size. There's a K-shaped economy among firms, too. Larger …
New reporting reveals the Class of 2026 will graduate into the worst job market seen since the first year of the COVID pandemic. pic.twitter.com/YU0GJdZ80S — FactPost (@factpostnews) November 14, 2025 Companies Predict 2026 Will Be the Worst College Grad Job …
View post on imgur.com “Megyn Kelly asked about highly-skilled immigration. The H-1B program is neither high-skilled nor immigration: these are temporary foreign workers, imported from abroad, for the explicit purpose of substituting for American workers at lower pay. I remain …
The dawning storm of tariff destruction in manufacturing, the government shutdown, DOGE cuts, rising inflation, and the emergence of AI implementation is developing into a grim transition for labor. by David Haggith It’s fortunate for the government that its bean-counters …
Why is the VISA process continuing during shutdown??@SecretaryLCD — Cindy (@Cindybinmo) November 8, 2025 Because U.S. visa processing is funded by application fees, not congressional appropriations so it continues even during a government shutdown. h/t dr0id
🚨 2026 RECESSION ODDS UP TO 49% pic.twitter.com/sb2XNapYJW — Micah (@micah_erfan) October 28, 2025 So if we layoff everyone to increase margins this year, who will have money left to buy your products next year? https://t.co/1h0rTviPXw pic.twitter.com/2kAtdSgs2B — Boring_Business (@BoringBiz_) …
American farms are already under pressure. Labor shortages threaten production and prices nationwide. Beth Ford, CEO of Land O’Lakes, warned of a black swan event if farms cannot find enough workers: “These are folks who oftentimes try to get American …
Lowest hiring since 2009.Payroll growth has slowed to <0.1% MoM.Openings down 25% YoY.Wage growth still sticky at 3.8%. It’s the worst mix possible — weak labor, stubborn inflation. — Shashank Sindhe (@shashank_sindhe) October 13, 2025 WTF! Hiring just hit the …
Proof that the current H1B program is about cheap labor, not skilled labor? Almost 73% of H1B holders are Indian. Only 1% are Canadian. 0.9% are from South Korea. Companies aren't bringing in people to do the job better, they're …
They say the economy’s fine. That’s the first lie. You walk through any town that used to have factories, used to have warehouses, used to have jobs, and you don’t see recovery. You see silence. Long-term unemployment just hit a …
911K Job Growth Revisions Color me not surprised. https://t.co/xWCzOX1Im4 pic.twitter.com/jCjWB3pON3 — Samantha LaDuc (@SamanthaLaDuc) September 9, 2025 Big 50bps cut at the next FOMC meeting is a lock: https://t.co/thO5HFLVos — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) September 9, 2025 The US …
The labor market is going from frozen to cracking. Look at how many industries have LOST jobs in the past 3 months. Mining -13,000Construction -10,000Manufacturing -31,000Information -15,000Business/Professional -51,000Federal gov't -34,000Finance 0 job gains The US job… pic.twitter.com/BsUYoCTMX3 — Heather Long …
Yup. Basically pic.twitter.com/mKedOV6P44 — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 31, 2025 The Federal Reserve is facing pressure on two fronts as inflation picks up and the labor market shows signs of slipping. Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye joins Opening Bid …
No recession, eh? pic.twitter.com/HNRsjQRspd — David Rosenberg (@EconguyRosie) August 29, 2025
Markets cheered, but the message was hawkish. Powell didn’t promise cuts. He didn’t hint at September. He made the Fed’s caution sound like reassurance. That’s not dovish. That’s tight policy, carefully cloaked. “Risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, …
The system is stacked against the average person, and nobody seems to care until it hits them in the wallet. Back in 2022, I predicted that the US would not only avoid a recession, but would experience an “immaculate” disinflation. …
“Payroll employment growth slowed sharply to only 35,000 jobs per month over the three months ending in July. This is well below the moderate pace seen earlier in the year, likely due to a significant softening in labor demand.” https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2025/08/09/federal-reserve-rate-bowman/1681754774717/ …