Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
FED reassures the market that inflation is over by cutting rates.Bond market reassures FED that inflation ain't over. Shaping up to rival 73' -75' repeat. God help us all. pic.twitter.com/ZiKJ4qazxB — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 27, 2024 Yields will now keep rising until the equity market collapses. The die is set. — Uncle Milty’s …
Reverse repo surges $72BN to $268.7BN for year-end window dressing. Funding market spreads already had blown out to 3 month highs amid spike in repo tightness pic.twitter.com/wyBoMBEPN8 — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 27, 2024 The Federal Reserve's emergency Bank Term Funding Program dropped to $5 billion this week. It'll be $0 in January. pic.twitter.com/md8wCxDkVv — Financelot …
by confoundedinterest17 The US taxpayer has suffered a double whammy under The Federal government. First, thanks to the Federal Reserve, the purchasing power of the US Dollar has fallen 97% since the creation of The Federal Reserve in 1913 (under Woody Wilson). The second leg of the double whammy is the staggering $36 TRILLION is …
The Fed’s recent rate cut was called “hawkish,” which is simply wrong. Hawkishness means tightening the money supply and raising interest rates. So what’s going on? Here’s how the Fed’s latest moves will send gold higher… By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the most important stories about precious metals and the overall economy. …
Happy holidays! Not everyone’s got the Christmas spirit, though… In fact, Fed Chair Jerome Powell just handed out lumps of coal to everyone this year, and savers and investors alike are reeling. Here’s what happened… By Peter Reagan Key takeaways The Fed recently cut interest rates despite high inflation, low unemployment and positive GDP numbers Fed Chair …
by confoundedinterest17 It is a brave new world as the US attempts an Argentina-like shift from an over-regulated, corrupt economy to a more free economy. While Argentina has Javier Milei, the US is stuck with greedy Democrats and RINOs and their bloated spending sinking any attempt to cut wasteful spending. So as we transition from woefully …
1. The thought is the Fed could make homes more affordable by cutting interest rates So far, mortgage rates are doing opposite, and rising instead Why? Because mortgage rates move with the yield on the 10-year Treasury, which has surged this week pic.twitter.com/zk0c3UJi9Y — Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ (@burrytracker) December 20, 2024 3. A …
The December Philly Fed Manufacturing survey was another disaster, collapsing from -5.5 to -16.4, versus an expected rise to +2.8. This is the weakest level of the year. More problematic, prices paid jumped while prices received fell. All signs point to #stagflation. Sorry, Fed. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) December 19, 2024 The markets still don't …
by Mike Shedlock Based on Fed economic projections, it should not have cut interest rates today. Lead image is from today’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) from today’s FOMC meeting. Key SEP Projections PCE inflation for 2024: 2.4 percent up from 2.3 percent. PCE inflation for 2025: 2.5 percent up from 2.1 percent. Core PCE inflation for …
Enjoy your rate cut this week. There might not be another one for a long time. pic.twitter.com/Z04lWsu2Tn — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 16, 2024 This is what “sticky” inflation looks like. pic.twitter.com/zcKIeq34a2 — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 16, 2024 Yields on 10-year Treasuries rose about a quarter of a percentage point last week, the biggest …
by confoundedinterest17 Apparently, the late Hawaiian crooner Don Ho foresaw Biden’s irresponsible spending spree. That is, BIG BUBBLES. Let’s start with the Buffett Indicator (Warren, not Jimmy!). It indicates that the stock market is STRONGLY OVERVALUED. The S&P 500 Mean Reversion Model also shows the stock market to be STRONGLY OVERVALUED. How about the Shiller P/E Ratio? Also …
Today's hotter-than-expected #inflation data, following similar news yesterday, is putting more downward pressure on #gold. But gold will soar when investors realize the Fed will keep cutting rates despite inflation, and return to QE, sending both inflation and gold much higher. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) December 13, 2024 Agricultural commodities have surged nearly 30% year-over-year, …
In 2021 there were three spikes in Nasdaq Hindenburg Omens. The first two were followed by corrections -10%. The third one in November 2021 was followed by bear market. We see the same pattern in 2024. Two corrections (April, July) and a third spike in November: A Hindenburg… pic.twitter.com/VSngerA3Hl — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 13, 2024 …
#recession … #StockMarket Bubble edition https://t.co/p7cgcLzyrT pic.twitter.com/So5TXB58ic — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) December 11, 2024 Big cap Tech performance last 8 trading days $GOOGL 14%$AAPL 5.5% $MSFT 6% $META 10% $TSLA 18% $NFLX 6% — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 11, 2024 Bitcoin rippingGold rippingMost stocks ripping. Why? Because the Fed is a farce and not restrictive and …
by confoundedinterest17 We didn’t start the fire … The Fed and Biden/Harris did. And it is still burning. October STICKY core inflation is still up 4% YoY (year-over-year) Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM (as expected) which pushed it up 3.3% YoY (not even close to the 2% mandate)… Source: Bloomberg There has not been a single …
Fed injected 100million into the banking system this morning. Its probably nothin. pic.twitter.com/HzOJdkbUZW — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 10, 2024 They injected 2.3billion back few weeks ago. Ongoing liquidity crisis that will get extremely worse. — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 10, 2024 The blood indicator is VERY close to cross its 100-week MA. …
The unemployment level is now higher than where it was when the Fed cut rates (September). pic.twitter.com/epNpEKuaSt — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) December 9, 2024
1. Stocks: all-time highs2. Home Prices: all-time highs3. Bitcoin: all-time highs4. National Debt: all-time highs5. Core CPI Inflation: >3% for 42 straight months, longest run of high inflation since early 1990s6. Fed: cutting rates again in 2 weekshttps://t.co/rQuXrxVpWs — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 6, 2024 Let me be clear… The NFP numbers are BS! The …
The Federal Reserve’s unchecked power and fiat currency system are under fire as Ron Paul, former U.S. Congressman and Host of @RonPaulLibertyReport calls for major reforms. Paul argues that the Fed’s authority is unconstitutional, contributing to spiraling national debt, rising inflation, and systemic economic instability. He highlights how the Fed’s influence, under Jerome Powell, operates …
by confoundedinterest17 Hot ‘Lanta! Or perhaps COLD ‘Lanta! And despite what Biden says, thiere isn’t an economic revival. Yes. everyone can see the mental decline in President Biden and he should be in a nursing home. While he vows to run for President against Donald Trump, can you imagine what he will be like in 2 years? …
In a delicate balancing act, the Federal Reserve chose to keep its benchmark interest rate steady, resisting the pressure to cut rates as the economy faces cooling growth alongside persistent inflationary pressures. As households and businesses await the central bank’s decision, the stakes are high, with implications for borrowing costs, economic activity, and the trajectory …
Contraction of the money supply leads to an imminent recession. That’s what happened in the Great Depression. The gov’t f**ked around with required bank deposit percentages for normal accounts and time deposits which caused banks to pull back. Since they couldn’t create money via loans, that sparked the recession. The speculation in agriculture and rural …
by DesmondMilesDant Well in the first as written in the flash screen: Fed bal sheet – Tga – Rrp – Fed net operating losses. As for the second chart it’s the old measure: Fed bal sheet – Tga – Rrp. P.s. Not mark to mark but when paying up more in interest than receiving in …
Its not just the #Fed… World Central Banks starting to add #liquidity See our latest liquidity heatmap pic.twitter.com/ryLxnyE4Sp — CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes (@crossbordercap) June 20, 2023 Corporate Insiders are selling heavily into the stock market rally over the last 2 months pic.twitter.com/bwBupLJWuh — Barchart (@Barchart) June 20, 2023 Credit card debt is now less than …
by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME I’m sick of this shit If the goal is 2% inflation and we are at 5% per the imaginary numbers they report you don’t just skip a rate hike Especially when true inflation is 20%+ Just look at the price increase of a Big Mac pre-pandemic and today I trust that more as …
RELAX everything’s going to be fine, if there was ANY chance of collapse all the “experts” on the main collapse subreddit would be all over this. /s via realclearmarkets: “In purely technical terms, all these together are betting heavily on lower interest rates all over the world in the not-too-distant future. As they’ve come to …
by TheNewbieInvestor Everytime this happened, the Fed pivoted 2-year yield has now moved below the Fed funds rate pic.twitter.com/8fsrsDToh2 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) March 17, 2023 Looks like my hunch was correct. This tweet was from Thursday, the day before #SVB failed. QE unofficially resumes on Monday. #Powell folded. The #Fed has pivoted. Americans will pay …
“We need to keep raising rates until something breaks and inflation eases” <Something breaks> “Wait wait no, not that thing.” It’s very important that inflation is brought into check by poor people losing their jobs. Not rich people losing their deposits. NEW Banking Crisis In One Chart, Inflation=Fed Rate Hikes=Treasury/MBS Duration Increases=Bond Loss So, the Biden Administration …