Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Student loan delinquency will not be reported until Q3 — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) May 14, 2024 Startling data from the NY Fed’s quarterly household debt report for Q1 reveals a concerning uptick in mortgage delinquencies, signaling potential economic distress. The total household debt skyrockets to a staggering $17.69 trillion, marking a significant $184 billion increase from …
US Consumer is in great Fucken shape bro pic.twitter.com/fUp6BbvBvw — Mr. Nice Guy (@financebro21) May 8, 2024 the stock is getting slayed https://t.co/SegvTm4MJn pic.twitter.com/XIvubC9pzS — Jack Farley (@JackFarley96) May 8, 2024 https://twitter.com/apex_simmaps/status/1788270933712781410 An analyst has identified a major issue in U.S. consumer spending: “phantom debt” from “buy now, pay later” platforms that goes unrecorded by …
Credit card charge-offs and liquidations have hit their highest rate since 2008 for credit card issuers such as Capital One and Discover, a concerning sign for the outlook of the US economy. The Federal Reserve is starting to sign alarm bells about this. Recent reports from card issuers, including AMEX (American Express), also show an …
As ominous signs of economic distress emerge, the US teeters on the brink of a financial precipice. Subprime auto loan delinquencies soar to 2008 levels, signaling an impending crisis fueled by a doubling of delinquency rates in just three years. Simultaneously, the housing market grapples with a catastrophic collapse, with mortgage demand plummeting to its …
Key points: Commercial Real Estate Collateralized Loan Obligations (CRE CLO) issuance surged from $19 billion in 2019 to $45 billion in 2021. 72% of collateral is linked to multifamily properties. Delinquent loans or those in special servicing rose to 8.6% in January but decreased to 7.4% in February. Issuers repurchase delinquent loans using cash reserves …
Table is from December's report. Check out this supplementary table & the Reasons for Default – notice the uptick in both unemployment and NO Contact Those "no contact" are a combo of people who feel embarrassed and investors…these days less people are embarrassed pic.twitter.com/J7Sk7oqYuT — Melody Wright (@m3_melody) March 11, 2024 The economic landscape is …
via naturalnews New data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has found that credit card and auto debt delinquencies in the United States are soaring, especially among Americans aged 18 to 39. The Household Credit Report from the New York Fed’s Center for Microeconomic Data found that aggregate household debt balances rose by …
by confoundedinterest17 As some fans celebrate the Kansas City Chiefs Superbowl victory over the San Francisco 49ers (the game was so much like bread and circuses from the Roman Empire except for who is being thrown to the lions), we have been distracted from the horrible state of the US economy. Just review that horrible December …
via Mike Shedlock: Credit card debt surged to a record high in the fourth quarter. Even more troubling is a steep climb in 90 day or longer delinquencies. Please consider the New York Fed Household Credit Report for the Fourth Quarter 2023, released this week. Consumer Credit Key Points Aggregate household debt balances increased by $212 billion …
by confoundedinterest17 I think the Biden Presidency is nicely summed-up by Biden confusing France’s President Macron with former French President Mitterand. Particularly since Mitterand died in 1996. Is Biden seeing dead people?? Anyway, the Biden economy and his Bidenomic strategy is based on massive debt expansion, both public and private debt. Household Debt reached $17.5 Trillion in Fourth Quarter; …
by Michael Americans are going into debt as if tomorrow will never come, but of course tomorrow always arrives eventually. What we are witnessing right now is truly a historic debt binge, and to many of the experts it seems like there is no end in sight to the unrestrained spending that is going on. …
by GreggraffinCI https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2023/12/three-measures-of-us-credit-card-debt/#:~:text=In%202023%2C%20outstanding%20credit%20card,for%20consumer%20spending%20going%20forward. From a disposable income standpoint the Fed data agrees that the consumer is better able to service their debt now than they ever have. That peaked during the stimmie checks but that gap has closed from -25% to -5% in the past 2 years. Which is not a promising trend. Adjusting for …
Escalating delinquencies in commercial real estate loans, a shrinking S&P 500 real estate sector, and plummeting property values paint a dire picture, hinting at an imminent banking crisis. With soaring mortgage payments and declining retail sales, the signs point to an urgent and potential economic crisis. Delinquent commercial real estate loans at US banks have …
The collapse in the Producer Price Index (PPI) signifies a critical shift, as companies find themselves unable to command exorbitant prices from customers, leading to a significant impact on their profit margins. The era of making extraordinary profits and refinancing at 0% appears to be coming to an end, exacerbated by the Federal Reserve’s decision …
by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics is a windfall for the donor class (high rate of return on campaign contributions) while the middle class gets beaten to a pulp. Waiting for Biden to lean over and creepily whisper “It’s working!” Even though it is clearly not working, at least for the middle class. Evidence that Bidenomics is not …
by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics is a windfall for the donor class (high rate of return on campaign contributions) while the middle class gets beaten to a pulp. Waiting for Biden to lean over and creepily whisper “It’s working!” Even though it is clearly not working, at least for the middle class. Evidence that Bidenomics is not …
The record-high subprime auto loan delinquency rate in September is deeply concerning, but it’s not just about the car market. The ripple effects extend to people struggling with their bills, families losing their means of transportation, and the broader economy. Many people have asked me to why I haven’t commented on the concerning auto loan …
The sharp increase in credit card losses, coupled with the rise in evictions and loan delinquencies, paints a bleak picture for the economy, reminiscent of the challenging times during the Great Financial Crisis. Food Prices up Over 20%, Credit Card Delinquencies Now Higher As Credit Card Debt Grows on Inflation Despite Paul Krugman’s assurance that …
by confoundedinterest17 The US is experencing a slow down. The massive Federal government and Federal Reserve Covid stimulus has worn out and we are left with a sagging jobs report and soaring credit card delinquencies. After ADP’s reports printed almost perfectly in line with BLS last month (+177k vs +187k), all eyes are on today’s print, …
by betsharks0 Maybe Joe will forgive all auto loans.
by confoundedinterest17 Shape of things in the US economy. But a better tune to descible what is happening is over, under, sideways down. For example, look at this chart of loans and leases at commercial banks, since last year (YoY). The growth rate is plunging rapidly. Of course, M2 Money growth has already crashed. Loan delinquenices? …
by confoundedinterest17 Thanks to Bidenomics, code for massive Federal spending on green energy initiatives and payoffs fo large donors, we have agonizing inflation and consumers are borrowing more and more to cope with inflation. And with the increased use of debt comes …. drumroll … delinquenices! Let’s start with mortgage loans, the overall delinquency rate …
Macy’s executives have warned of a spike in customers failing to make credit card payments thanks to unprecedented pressures on household finances. The department store has seen its credit card revenue plunge by 36 percent this year due to the rise in delinquencies. Bosses said they had expected to see a rise in delinquencies post-pandemic …
by DesmondMilesDant Only thing left is Student loan (start sept) and Mortgages (start once you lose your job next yr)
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://abi.org/newsroom/press-releases/commercial-chapter-11-filings-increased-68-percent-in-the-first-half-of-2023 The 2,973 total commercial chapter 11 bankruptcies filed during the first six months of 2023 represented a 68 percent increase over the 1,766 filed during the same period in 2022, according to data provided by Epiq Bankruptcy, the leading provider of U.S. bankruptcy filing data. Individual chapter 13 filings increased by …
by BoatSurfer600 This recession will turn into a depression real quick. Americans under 25 racked up more credit card debt than any other age group last year – and they’re about to run into trouble as financial conditions tighten and inflation stays high “Defaults and delinquencies could spike among young adults who’ve racked up credit …
Delinquencies spiked in May on mortgage bonds tied to officeshttps://t.co/L0fv4QmRJR Distress in Office Market Spreads…https://t.co/8VuV67lbFR #news #commercialrealestate #CBRE #CRE #cmbs #wfh #realestate #economy #Medical #Healthcare #Hospital #Philadelphia #Philly #phl… https://t.co/dFrTGh2GxT pic.twitter.com/7AabHcSPRp — Mo Hossain (@MoHossain) June 19, 2023 Meanwhile… Rents pic.twitter.com/3pCkDgvtC3 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) June 14, 2023
