A hub for independent voices and hard truths
Playing out, sadly: RECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS #Employment ADP commentary from Chief Economist Richardson: “Hiring has been choppy of late as employers weather cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment. And while November’s slowdown was broad-based, it was led …
For the record, U.S. stocks peaked in October 2007 and the economy entered recession in December 2007. As of now, the S&P 500 peaked in October. ADP private payroll job creation year to date is at the same level it …
Compounding inflation is a global crisis: Since January 2021, the UK gas experienced the largest surge in prices among major economies, at +28.2%. The US saw cumulative inflation of +23.8%, followed by the Euro Area at +23.1% and Germany at …
Spitznagel told Reuters (1) in an interview that he expects “an 80% crash” but also noted that he believes it will only happen “after a massive, euphoric, historic blow off rally.” While the stock market might be headed for an …
The just-released Chicago PMI measure has fallen to 36.3, missing the consensus forecast of 45.5 and deepening what is now a two-year contraction in Midwest business activity.It starkly illustrates the continued dominance of services growth over a struggling manufacturing… — …
During the bear market of 2007–2009, there were: – 5 rallies of 7%+– 3 rallies of 11%+ This all happened during a 57% drawdown. pic.twitter.com/41x0ZSFzEQ — Dividendology (@dividendology) November 22, 2025 BIGGEST CRASH IN HISTORY STARTING In 2013 I published …
The Japanese carry trade has gone into reverse so it’s inevitable. Japan is in denial on debt. It's 10-year gov't bond yield is only 1.8% (blue), which looks ok, but that same yield 10-years forward is 4.0% (orange) and 20-years …
by Michael The ride up was a lot of fun for crypto investors, but now many of them are getting wiped out by the ride down. For a long time, people were using borrowed money to make absolutely enormous returns in …
by Michael During the days of the Great Recession, rapidly falling home prices caused all sorts of havoc for our major financial institutions. Unfortunately, home prices are starting to plummet once again in many areas of the country. And just …
If you need $3 trillion in debt to keep the dream alive, it’s not a dream anymore. This is why people have grown increasingly worried about the financing behind AI over the past few months: bond issuance has surged since …
The last time this happened was in February 2020, before the COVID crash. pic.twitter.com/yCQ5wo4LNe — Subu Trade (@SubuTrade) November 13, 2025 It’s over. Your kids will never retire. pic.twitter.com/yoI8QiZJgy — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) November 13, 2025
pic.twitter.com/T642kqJBaO — McClellan (@MI_Architect) November 11, 2025 A staggering 84% of Gen Z say they’re delaying milestones to buy a house. There’s ‘no single fix’ for the affordability crisis, real estate exec says The American Dream of buying a home …
Margin Debt Exceeds $1Trillion. Can you Imagine the Magnitude of the Crash if there is low or no Exiting Liquidity? byu/Hephaestus4 inWallstreetsilver Visual Representation of the Nasdaq 100 and Crowded AI Trades! byu/Hephaestus4 inWallstreetsilver Chairman of UBS Group AG warns …
The American economy is crashing right now, and it’s worse than most people realize. From banks refusing cash withdrawals to nearly a million jobs lost to automation, from healthcare premiums doubling overnight to stores packed with inventory nobody can afford, …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dxiSOlvKUlA October 1929 — the most powerful financial machine in history was about to collapse. Investors were euphoric. Stocks were unstoppable. And then, within hours, it all fell apart. This is the untold story of America’s final financial hours before …
UPS Flight 2976, a McDonnell Douglas MD-11 freighter bound for Honolulu, crashed into a field near Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport around 5:20 p.m. ET on Tuesday, erupting into a massive fireball that killed at least seven people, including crew …
All the signs are point that way. The fed is lowering interest even though we are still sitting at 3% inflation, there’s a massive AI bubble, the auto line bubble, people are financing groceries, job growth isn’t looking exactly great, …
New York has been losing people due to outbound migration over the last 50 years, with its share of the US population getting cut in half during that time. Meanwhile, states like Florida have grown in economic influence and population, …
Mortgage rates jump 20 basis points following Fed cut While the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate this week, mortgage rates responded by doing just the opposite. The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage has jumped 20 basis …
Nokia surges nearly +30% after announcing a $1 billion investment from Nvidia byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts
This will be the biggest and fastest crash from an all time high in history. With no comparison. In October 1929, 1987, and 2008 the Dow was well off its high when the crash occurred. pic.twitter.com/LNNS8u3NZH — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) October …
ONTARIO, Calif. (KABC) — Three people were killed in a fiery crash involving as many as eight vehicles, including four semi-trucks, on the 10 Freeway in Ontario on Tuesday. The crash occurred on the westbound 10 Freeway just east of the …
‘It’s surprising that one thing affected their network, because usually there’s backup, and redundant systems all running at the same time. One particular system going down is very, very surprising.’ Knight admitted he was puzzled by the outage which, he …
Margin debt is rising at a rate last seen before major bear markets and market CRASHES: Margin debt jumped 6.3%, or $67 billion, in September to a record $1.13 TRILLION. Investor leverage has surged 39% since April, marking the biggest …
Leverage often appears as innovation before it collapses into contagion. https://twitter.com/TruthInTesting/status/1980017309537140799 No need to call tops. Just wait for price to show you the way, you don't need to be the first seller. Follow structure. The next couple of days …
Lobo Tiggre, Founder of The Independent Speculator, discusses gold and silver’s Friday sell-off, the biggest single-day since April, 2025, and whether or not this is the start of a bigger correction.
Remember the very subtle scene in The Big Short where the Moody's rating chick was wearing blinders. pic.twitter.com/Fu7qhSk1xv — Orlando (@Orlando74180344) October 18, 2025 Moody’s says the private credit & banking systems are perfectly “sound.” In 2007, right before the …
PLANE CRASH. BATH TOWNSHIP MICHIGAN. 3 DEAD. OUTSIDE. LANSING NEAR CLINTON. Police, Fire & Rescue at the scene. BATH TWP. – Three people are dead after a plane crash east of downtown Bath, according to local authorities. A plane crashed …
by David Haggith As “The Deeper Dive” this past weekend looked at the signs building for a stock market crash and economic collapse into an especially deep recession, more headlines came in on Friday and over the weekend to lay …
