This will be the biggest and fastest crash from an all time high in history.
With no comparison.
In October 1929, 1987, and 2008 the Dow was well off its high when the crash occurred. pic.twitter.com/LNNS8u3NZH
— Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) October 22, 2025
IBM’s selloff after earnings was about how the market is redefining what good means in the AI era. On paper, the company’s quarter was solid where revenue and earnings beat expectations, guidance was raised, and free cash flow hit record highs. But investors were reacting to the tone of the results, which didn’t deliver the kind of explosive growth story markets now expect from anything touching AI.
The slowdown in IBM’s core software business, especially in hybrid cloud and Red Hat spooked investors because that segment is supposed to be its high margin growth engine. When it doesn’t accelerate fast enough, it raises doubts about how much longer IBM can rely on efficiency and cost control to drive earnings rather than real expansion. At the same time, the company’s AI business, while growing quickly, still isn’t on the same scale as the industry’s biggest winners. Adding $2 billion in AI related sales sounds impressive until you compare it to what Nvidia or Microsoft are posting. IBM’s more measured, enterprise focused approach of building tools and services around automation, consulting, and hybrid integration is smart, but it doesn’t fit the hyper growth narrative the market wants to buy into right now.
There’s also a positioning story here. IBM’s stock had already rallied roughly 30% this year as investors crowded into legacy tech names that were seen as AI catch ups. Once the results came out and didn’t offer another reason to push higher, traders took profits. The sudden drop was less about disappointment in the fundamentals and more about clearing out overextended expectations.
So it is a classic re-rating of expectations. IBM is executing well, but in a market where every tech name is being judged against AI driven hypergrowth, steady and improving doesn’t cut it. The market is rewarding narrative velocity over operational discipline and IBM, despite doing many things right, is being priced like the adult in a room full of dreamers.
IBM’s selloff after earnings was about how the market is redefining what good means in the AI era. On paper, the company’s quarter was solid where revenue and earnings beat expectations, guidance was raised, and free cash flow hit record highs. But investors were reacting to the… https://t.co/mdHpPurAZx
— EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) October 23, 2025
Rate drops are because the economic engines are stalling. Arthur Burns we don’t need?
— John Ravenda (@JohnRavenda) October 23, 2025
This is the kind of stuff that used to happen repeatedly during dotcom bust. pic.twitter.com/y2IYcjah9E
— JaguarAnalytics (@JaguarAnalytics) October 22, 2025
The real economy is in the gutter. pic.twitter.com/3vD1FvDRQ6
— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) October 23, 2025