The government is working to prevent a recession, but data signals an imminent downturn. Buckle up.

2/ Over the last 2 years, rates have risen from 0% to 5% at a very rapid pace pic.twitter.com/x4ZhknYJT2

— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) November 20, 2024

4/ According to the NBER, which officially defines recessions, 4 key metrics matter:

– Unemployment
– Personal income
– GDP
– Industrial production

As of Q4 2024, none of these metrics indicate a recession pic.twitter.com/RPf1aGINKT

— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) November 20, 2024

7/ High government deficits essentially mean the government is spending money it doesn’t have

Some call this "money printing," though it’s more accurately described as deferred debt

This 6% boost to GDP has undoubtedly boosted economic growth pic.twitter.com/89lVAiycB8

— Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) November 20, 2024