People keep calling bonds “safe,” but that’s a straight-up lie. Long bonds in 2021 looked boring and secure, but inflation turned them into a nightmare.
“Bonds are a safe-haven asset” is one of the biggest lies in financial markets.
Bond performance is heavily dependent on the inflationary environment.
– Disinflation -> bonds up
– Inflation -> bonds downAnyone who thought it was a good idea to go long bonds at the end of the… pic.twitter.com/1THSqxAmZh
— Lukas Ekwueme (@ekwufinance) January 1, 2026
The U.S. has a HUGE problem but nobody wants to talk about it…
Everybody is ignoring it.
The massive red bar you see is the principal amount of US debt expiring in the next 12 months.
OVER $8 TRILLION DOLLARS.
Here’s why it matters:
The US Treasury made a FATAL MISTAKE.
They shortened the duration of their debt when rates were near zero.
NOW, THE BILL IS DUE.
We’re about to force a rollover of trillions in ZIRP-era paper (issued at ~0.5%) into a 4.5%+ rate environment.
Why this is a black swan:
This isn’t about paying it off, it’s about repricing risk.
1: Debt Service Explosion: As this red bar rolls over, the Interest (Green) component on the budget will parabolic.
2: Liquidity problems: Who has the balance sheet to absorb this supply without yields spiking?
This is a mechanical squeeze on the US sovereign balance sheet.
It forces a choice: Austerity (Depression) or Yield Curve Control (Inflation).
Most analysts are looking at P/E ratios, but they should be looking at the structure.
Interest expense just hit $1 Trillion/year, consuming 19% of all federal tax revenue.
That’s not a projection, that’s today’s reality.
We are borrowing new debt just to pay the interest on old debt.
That’s the definition of a ponzi financing unit.
Btw, I’ve called every major top and bottom for over 10 YEARS.
When I make a new move, I’ll share it here for everyone to see.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it. Trust me.
🚨 The U.S. has a HUGE problem but nobody wants to talk about it…
Everybody is ignoring it.
The massive red bar you see is the principal amount of US debt expiring in the next 12 months.
OVER $8 TRILLION DOLLARS.
Here’s why it matters:
The US Treasury made a FATAL MISTAKE.… pic.twitter.com/VI2prigW5t
— NoLimit (@NoLimitGains) January 1, 2026
this is shocking:
> US collects $2.4T in income tax, but spends $1.5T on fraud
> if we didn't have to pay for fraud, only $900b would need to be collected
> this means anyone with less 500k in income could pay *literally $0* in income tax
we don't need to raise taxes. we… https://t.co/kz1ZU2bRcx pic.twitter.com/An7eotgpOT
— Arthur MacWaters (@ArthurMacwaters) December 31, 2025
Watch US yields carefully. As predicted many months ago, the reckless Fed will erode bonds into oblivion. Its only short-term saviour is a market mauling.
Longer term, the Fed needs to not intervene (highly unlikely); otherwise, expect a decade-long, if not longer, stagflation… pic.twitter.com/o4bu133Tgg
— The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 31, 2025