Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
*STOCK FUTURES OPEN LOWER IN SUNDAY NIGHT TRADE, VIX JUMPS AS INVESTORS REACT TO MOODY'S U.S. CREDIT DOWNGRADE$SPY $QQQ $VIX 🇺🇸🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/tGKZbmreBe — Investing.com (@Investingcom) May 18, 2025 Eyes on yields this week. pic.twitter.com/03mReXTet4 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) May 18, 2025 GOLD 3360 next stop. pic.twitter.com/L1m7vEmHxP — The Great Martis (@great_martis) May 18, 2025 …
This market is running on fumes. There is no solid floor beneath it. No wave of earnings. No surge in demand. No real liquidity. It is all built on guesswork, misplaced optimism, and the fear of missing a rally that never had a base to begin with. The Fed keeps everyone waiting. But waiting for …
Almost everyone in the meantime… https://t.co/rNdMWR2GMR pic.twitter.com/8PYXNzaEFi — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) May 16, 2025 GLOBAL DURATION CRISIS: What the Spike in 30-Year Yields Is Really Telling You The alarm bells are ringing and they’re not coming from CPI prints or central bank speeches. They’re coming from the global bond market. Right now, 30-year government bond …
They say inflation is cooling. The market claps. Yields dip. And just as quickly, they climb right back up. Over and over again. It is not confusion. It is the new reality. And many still do not get it. Soft inflation used to mean celebration. It meant the Fed could cut, the economy was easing …
Switzerland’s Negative Yields Are Back And It’s a Global Red Flag, Not a Local Anomaly A remarkable event just unfolded quietly in global bond markets Swiss government bonds with maturities up to 4 years are once again offering negative yields. Investors are literally paying the Swiss government for the privilege of lending them money. While …
Yields also rallying, rate cut expectations dropping. pic.twitter.com/IUSumebjkB — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) May 11, 2025
Powell admitted that even though the markets are pricing in multiple rate cuts this year, Powell himself has no idea if the Fed will be cutting rates at all this year. The truth is the Fed should be hiking rates. Cutting rates instead would just compound the Fed's mistake. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) May 7, …
⚠️BREAKING: *U.S. Q1 GDP FALLS -0.3%, EST. 0.2%; PREV. 2.4% 🇺🇸🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/mahT0YOWbX — Investing.com (@Investingcom) April 30, 2025 Breaking Q1 GDP first look. -.3% vs -.2% exp. Recession? Pricing index 3.7% vs 3.2% expectations Stagflation? Oof 🤦♂️ — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April 30, 2025 Yields up. Stocks getting REKT pic.twitter.com/ZVvzwrx8hX — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April …
The recent spike in 10-year Treasury yield coincided with China fixing the Yuan weaker. That's no coincidence. The falling Yuan had contagion effects to all of EM, causing EM reserve managers to sell Treasuries. This shows how much power China has over US markets … and policy. pic.twitter.com/gCO47YV0r4 — Robin Brooks (@robin_j_brooks) April 24, 2025
Treasury bond yields going higher, dollar going lower. We’ve never seen this before. byu/Boo_Randy_II inSilverDegenClub
There is a quiet theft happening in plain sight. Banks like Chase and Bank of America are paying you a humiliating 0.01 percent on your savings. That is not a typo. For every thousand dollars you keep with them, you get one dime a year. It is not just a bad deal. It is financial …
It's all about Japan now. pic.twitter.com/k6qEvqWrY7 — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) April 17, 2025 Japan's Ministry of Finance admits they sold foreign bonds during the market turmoil last week https://t.co/oaPYAF8vEX — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) April 17, 2025 Japan's Bond Market is Flashing a Serious Warning Japan's government bond yields dropped sharply today, marking another critical signal that …
🇨🇳🇺🇸 CHINA’S MIDNIGHT MOVE: DUMPING U.S. DEBT WHILE WALL STREET SLEEPS? While Americans were dreaming of rate cuts, China may have been busy sending U.S. bond yields through the roof. Treasury spikes overnight—while Beijing’s open and Wall Street’s out cold—hint that China’s… https://t.co/AsfxvRMGwD pic.twitter.com/WOSSRYrPwY — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) April 15, 2025
JUST IN: Gold reaches new all-time high of $3,220. pic.twitter.com/Mo2PFP4ipt — Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) April 11, 2025 Say it again You can control the negotiation table but you can not control: – US 10 Yr and US 30 Yr Yield– The Dollar– The Fed– Inflation– China's counter policies– The stock market– Interest Rates– Humans getting triggered– …
BREAKING: S&P 500 futures fall nearly -100 points as the selloff from today’s session continues. pic.twitter.com/iz4auNYI5O — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 11, 2025 BREAKING: Gold surges to a new all time high of $3,210/oz, now up over +90% since October 2022. pic.twitter.com/Hzcb2mch3B — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 10, 2025 This is not a …
Forget the Six Flags ride in stocks. Look at 10y If yields were going up bc inflation/tariffs why didn’t yields come down when tariffs are reduced? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/mB9iUqLvXX — George Gammon (@GeorgeGammon) April 9, 2025 Shorts are squeezed, maybe good opportunity to sell the standard US stocks. Everybody is warned now. UST Yields not coming …
Powell may pretend he doesn't need to get involved, but the market is about to drag him in kicking and screaming pic.twitter.com/izA4VUQmQN — zerohedge (@zerohedge) April 8, 2025 Junk bond yields going parabola https://t.co/LGDN6xHOiq pic.twitter.com/ILja6xLDGY — The Great Martis (@great_martis) April 8, 2025 The crash that's now happening in the bond market has more dire …
Talk about a shift in sentiment: The 10-year note yield now pushing above 4.20% while the S&P 500 falls -4.5% in 3 hours. Yields are ABOVE levels seen before "Liberation Day." Once again, bond markets are telling us something. pic.twitter.com/zOQcikVObA — Adam Kobeissi (@TKL_Adam) April 8, 2025 FHA delinquencies are skyrocketing, 15.11% of all FHA …
Junk bond yields have exploded pic.twitter.com/F8Slv78mou — The Great Martis (@great_martis) April 7, 2025 High-yield spreads are blowing out…$SPY $TLT pic.twitter.com/zV75YPlXh5 — Fibonacci Investing⚡️ (@FibonacciInves1) April 7, 2025 Market distress is skyrocketing: US high-yield corporate bond spreads are up 100 bps since April 2nd, to 4.45%, the highest since October 2023. This marks the largest …
by confoundedinterest17 US tariff policies for the last 50 years represent a folly. Particularly since Presidents Obama and Biden (along with Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi) did nothing to correct the enormous disparity in tariffs. Trump is trying to do something to right the ship before it sinks like The Titanic. Victor Davis Hanson wrote in …
🚨BREAKING: Short-Term Yield 📈: Financial Stress? A sharp 📈 in 3& 6-month yields signal financial strains, similar to the 2019 repo crisis causes: •Liquidity Strains: Banks/hedge funds may face overnight funding pressures •Hedge Fund Stress: Losses or margin calls driving pic.twitter.com/HvkMtQ7zzE — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) April 1, 2025 Why are the 3 and 6 …
It’s hard to ignore the mounting pressure as bond yields rise. Nations already drowning in debt face the harsh reality of even higher borrowing costs, pushing them closer to the brink. This isn’t a minor shift; it signals a major financial storm that looms on the horizon. Just look at the 10-year and 30-year Treasury …
The 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield has hit a 16-year high, creeping toward 1.75%. That may not sound extreme by global standards, but in Japan’s fragile system, even small increases in borrowing costs send shockwaves through the economy. The Bank of Japan has spent years suppressing rates with aggressive bond-buying. Now, markets are testing …
According to Fortune, Donald Trump cares more about lowering the yield on 10-year bonds than the stock market or interest rates. At first glance, that may seem surprising, but let’s break down why this is crucial for Trump’s economic strategy. 10-year bonds are essentially loans that citizens give to the government for a decade, and …
How long will the BOE be able to hold the dam from collapsing and we start seeing yield on GILTs running wild like horses on an open field? https://t.co/W0axZRfn18 pic.twitter.com/L1dSKvtZkh — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) March 21, 2025 Tell me you are about to put on capital controls ahead of a sovereign debt crisis without telling …
With a debt-to-GDP ratio over 200%, rolling over that debt at higher rates is a financial death sentence. Worse, the Bank of Japan holds 70% of their bonds — meaning if the market crumbles, the central bank collapses too. Japan’s experiment of perpetual debt-funded growth is unraveling fast. Once confidence breaks, their economy could implode …
Nearly $3 trillion of U.S. debt is expected to hit maturity in 2025, much of it of a short-term nature. That could provide another headache should the market not be prepared to absorb what already is expected to be massive Treasury issuance as the U.S. finances a nearly $2 trillion budget deficit. As if the …
This week (Wednesday morning) is CPI. Commodity prices back to 20 year highs. This is what I call Ponzi inflation. Bid up asset markets until they explode due to feedback through the economy. pic.twitter.com/VyscoXucnF — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 14, 2025 M2 money supply is a key indicator of liquidity It represents the total amount of …
The common prediction that the Federal Reserve will cut rates as a response to an economic downturn due to high interest rates misses a significant global economic factor: the widespread collapse of major currencies, driven by governments’ heavy spending to fend off recessions. This scenario complicates the traditional narrative of monetary policy response. Around the …
Its never been more obvious the markets are setting up for an epic downside crash. I know you have been spoiled on the “up-only” markets, but the FED cannot save you without causing massive inflation. They have to let equity markets fall. Its coming, its obvious. Its never been more obvious the markets are setting …