yields Archives - Page 6 of 6 - Citizen Watch Report

Global economy’s ‘soft landing’ stumbles amid soaring bond yields, raising concerns of massive corporate failures in 2024. A hard landing scenario is in the cards.

October 6, 2023 9:17 am

Global economy’s glide to ‘soft landing’ gets bumpy as bond yields jump WASHINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) – Rocketing U.S. government bond yields that have led to a global jump in borrowing costs are raising new risks for economic policymakers hoping to lower inflation without triggering a major crisis. The world’s finance officials, who will gather …

For all the regards who have no clue what’s all this Bonds and Yields talk driving the markets

October 5, 2023 12:06 pm

by flying_cofin Listen up regards, here is some quick 101 for you who don’t have slightest clue what’s driving the markets and why we are seeing all this news suddenly on Bonds and Yields: Fed led by Papa pow printed a lot of money during Covid.. like a fuck ton of money and used it …

Fed’s graph shows spiking junk bond yields.

October 4, 2023 9:33 pm

by j_stars Acceleration in junk yields points materially higher. Yields spiking higher across the board are going to cause hedge funds and more regional banks to blow up. Not a recipe for general equities.

Why have 10 year Treasury yields gone up so much even though FED paused rate hikes?

October 4, 2023 2:55 pm

by StatisticalMan Long bonds are not based solely on the current fed funds rate. They are based on projected short term rates over the duration of the long bond. They have a yield at a premium to short term rates due to the risk/lockup but not just the current short term rate that exists right now. They …

10yr bond yields are spiking. What does this mean?

October 4, 2023 6:47 am

by TBSchemer It means IT’S SHOWTIME! So you know how the Fed has been hiking interest rates to suck liquidity out of the system and reduce inflation, right? The mechanism of this is that investors see the high interest rates, and they move their money into bonds, while avoiding taking on new debt, avoiding risky assets …

‘This is as awkward as it sounds! The higher the debt-to-GDP ratio, the LOWER yields.’

October 2, 2023 7:54 pm

The Bank of Japan, which holds a staggering 47% of ALL outstanding Japanese government #debt, has announced additional bond purchases to push #yields lower. This is as awkward as it sounds!The higher the debt-to-GDP ratio, the LOWER yields. pic.twitter.com/vAL0qWM87f — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) October 2, 2023 When your perspective is #debt sustainability on a macro …

Japanese bond yields are running.

September 29, 2023 2:28 pm

by j_stars The era of free money and repeated financial bubbles driven by loose central banks is over. Japanese 10 Year Bond Yield And Japan’s free money has been fueling US asset bubbles for decades through the carry trade. Imagine holding a negative rate long bond and rates shoot to 5+% suddenly. BOJ Loosens Grip: …

Bank Deposit Rates Plunge to Record Lows While Alternatives Offer 5% Yields – $1 Trillion in Deposits Flee Banks

September 19, 2023 1:56 pm

Interest rates on bank deposits are reaching rock bottom, with major banks offering meager rates like Wells Fargo at 0.15%, Citibank at 0.05%, Chase, Bank of America, and US Bank all hovering at a mere 0.01%. In contrast, alternatives to traditional bank deposits are offering significantly higher returns, with Certificates of Deposit (CDs) topping the …

Mounting Financial Risks: Over-Leveraged US Banks, Surging Bond Yields, and Recession Warnings Raise Alarm Bells

September 15, 2023 3:41 pmSeptember 15, 2023 2:58 pm

The current situation in the US financial landscape is a cause for concern. It has been known that the top 5 US banks are over-leveraged, which can be a recipe for disaster. Over-leveraging can make these banks vulnerable to financial downturns and economic shocks. This vulnerability is further highlighted by the fact that companies are …

These 10yr yields can’t stop, won’t stop pushing higher until or unless Federal Reserve announce “YCC program” or let one of G-SIBs fail.

September 15, 2023 12:54 pm

by DesmondMilesDant Imagine 5% 10yr bond yield.

Bond Yields should go even more higher

September 1, 2023 4:12 pm

by DesmondMilesDant falling interest rates for 40 years (between 1980 and 2020) means that every year money got cheaper to borrow when money gets cheaper to borrow, people and corporations borrow it and buy stuff with it, fueling bubbles in stocks and real estate meanwhile, other sectors crucial to supporting human life like commodities get …

Treasury yields have broken their secular downtrend

September 1, 2023 9:46 am

That’s why alot of folks are betting on extended duration treasuries. This system doesn’t work if rates trends away from zero h/t InternationalTop2405

Today Risk ON mode :US 2y yields plunge 15bps to 4.90% following weak JOLTS numbers which fuel recession fears.

August 29, 2023 6:09 pm

Risk on due to recession fears… h/t inWineVerit4x

Gold Prices Holding Critical Support As U.S. Bond Yields Remain Near 15-Year -Highs… More BRICS News

August 23, 2023 9:19 am

(Kitco News) – Despite the recent selling pressure, analysts note that the gold market is holding up remarkably well, given that bond yields have risen to a fresh 15-year high. Overnight, the yield on U.S. 10-year bonds pushed to 4.36%, its highest level since late 2007. Analysts note that the rise in bond yields is …

‘Market not happy as exploding money market yields pressure banks to raise deposit rates or face mass exodus.’

August 22, 2023 4:21 pm

Speaking of under-funded banks, Schwab just announced they are cutting jobs AND raising debt. https://t.co/Bd8grqcl0J Market not happy as exploding money market yields pressure banks to raise deposit rates or face mass exodus. pic.twitter.com/ugidUJHuIW — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 22, 2023 Financial stocks are dropping, moar BTFP liquidity is needed — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) August 22, 2023

Treasury yields reach highest since 2007; Liquidity issues in Treasuries; Investors demand higher compensation for US government debts and elsewhere.

August 21, 2023 3:37 pmAugust 21, 2023 2:51 pm

Treasury Yields Reach Highest Since 2007 Amid Elevated Rate Fears: Rising Real Yields Reflect Firmer Economy and Higher Deficits; 10-Year Yield Surpasses 4.34%, Marking Highest Level Since Financial Crisis The US bond-market selloff resumed Monday, driving 10-year yields to a 16-year high, as the persistently resilient economy has investors positioning for interest rates to remain …

Larry Summers sees 10yr yields averaging 4.75%. Yields will go even more higher

August 17, 2023 2:43 pm

by DesmondMilesDant Source : Summers Sees 10-Year Yields Averaging 4.75% in Coming Decade (yahoo.com) The yield on the 10-year US government bond is currently sitting at around 2.5%. However, in a recent interview, former Treasury chief Larry Summers said that he believes it will rise to an average of 4.75% over the next decade. This would …

How is this possible and why aren’t yields moving up?

August 16, 2023 1:11 pm

by DesmondMilesDant It’s like in 2007 when they kept eating junk as AA when really it was just D Give in a few months

Something is about to break: Real yields break things up here, at 185bps, the highest since Lehman. Bond markets anticipate spiraling debt interest expense due to increased rates.

August 16, 2023 9:59 am

Real yields break things up here, at 185bps, the highest since Lehman. pic.twitter.com/7od1pAtJLB — Lawrence McDonald (@Convertbond) August 15, 2023 Yes for sure. Bond markets understand that, on top of the continued large deficit spending, interest expense on the debt is going to start spiraling as rates increase. This expense will be nearly impossible to …

10-year yields rise above pre-SVB collapse, highest since 2009. Higher nominal yields impact corporate bonds, increasing refinancing costs. Will we see another blow-up in the next few weeks?

August 15, 2023 9:31 am

Real yields on 10-year Treasuries closed yesterday at the highest since 2009. pic.twitter.com/Ujfb0Lco7l — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) August 15, 2023 Nominal yields keep going higher and this affects corporate bonds $LQD, therefore cost of refinancing is increasing. We can expect this chop into the market to keep going while investors move from growth to value …

No one is prepared: Money-market funds are offering the highest yields since 2007; NVDA can take down the entire stock market alone; Speculators are more short treasuries now than they ever have in history…

August 8, 2023 9:14 am

Markets are RED https://finviz.com/futures.ashx Money-market funds are offering the highest yields since **2007** The yield on 100 of the largest mm funds recently hovered at 5.13%, highest in 16 years –Crane Datahttps://t.co/5pmUpnhAae @WSJmarkets pic.twitter.com/eTNjZdcaod — Gunjan Banerji (@GunjanJS) August 8, 2023 https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1688894857132085248 Speculators are more short treasuries now than they ever have in history… at …

Catalyst: Bond yields rebound, approaching 2023 highs; breakout nears….This Apple report should be it for the Tech bubble.

August 3, 2023 8:25 pm

Earnings a mixed bag after hours – Amazon up, Apple down. We'll see what happens tomorrow. The real story is the back up in bond yields, now heading to the 2023 highs. We are one too-hot data point away from breakout. pic.twitter.com/CLOOQnrAgs — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 3, 2023 This Apple report should be it for …

US yields skyrocketed after Fitch stripped the US of its AAA rating. 10y yields now at 4.15%, highest since November 2022

August 3, 2023 3:37 pm

by betsharks0

Japanese Investors Shift Away from U.S. Bonds Amid Rising FX Hedging Costs and Anticipated Higher Yields

October 18, 2025 9:18 pmAugust 1, 2023 8:45 pm

by Chris Black Japanese investors have already begun adjusting investment portfolios away from U.S. bonds in light of rising FX hedging costs (https://archive.is/BGtTQ) and in anticipation of higher JGB yields (https://archive.is/8MWKR). Official sector data (https://ticdata.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/slt_table5.html) show a notable decline in Japanese holdings of Treasuries, a slight decline in Agency MBS, and a modest increase in …

Atlanta Fed projects Q3 GDP at 3.5%! But wait, what’s up with bond yields? With CPI set to reaccelerate, they might need to go much higher. Keeping an eye on economic indicators! #GDP #CPI #Economy #Finance”

July 29, 2023 4:41 pm

by DesmondMilesDant This is concerning for bondholders. Stock holders love real GDP going higher. Inflation running above 4% is bad for both though.

Bankruptcies surge, bond yields reach 4%, a level previously associated withto Silicon Valley collapse. Fed maintains ‘higher for longer’ stance to curb inflation.

July 20, 2023 2:52 pm

2/ Rising bankruptcies coincides with bond yields hitting 4%, a level previously associated with the Silicon Valley Bank collapse and UK pension fund crisis pic.twitter.com/tcC6aBY9UD — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 20, 2023 4/ A Deutsche Bank survey indicates that over half of market professionals anticipate market stress due to higher rates While 20% foresee minimal …

When The Fed Loses Control Of The Debt Market & Yields Start To Spike Uncontrollably, It’s Game Over For The Everything Bubble

June 29, 2023 11:08 pmJune 29, 2023 10:23 am

by Simian_Stacker https://www.cnbc.com/bonds/ Big moves in the debt market. US 3M T-BILL YIELD new high wen 50bps pic.twitter.com/mCbZMOxnf0 — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) June 29, 2023 1-Year Treasury Bills now have a yield of 5.32%, the highest level since December 2000 pic.twitter.com/jKj27cpliq — Barchart (@Barchart) June 29, 2023 The decline in headline CPI is primarily driven by …

Investors demand higher yields to compensate for increased risk of default.

June 14, 2023 2:23 pm

by DesmondMilesDant Do these things matter? As you can see from the chart, the corporate bond spreads for both BBB and AAA rated bonds have been widening in recent years. This is indicative of increasing risk aversion among investors, as they demand higher yields to compensate for the perceived increased risk of default. However, it …

There have always been a recession when treasury yields get uninverted. Could it be different this time?

June 4, 2023 8:20 am

h/t neda6117

Here is the US 2 year Treasury trading like Bear Stearns is collapsing all over again with a solid 25 bps drop in yields since early this morning:

May 31, 2023 10:58 amMarch 10, 2023 11:51 pm

by BoatSurfer600