Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
I tried to warn you all! Remember when I said the weekly RSI pattern looked like the 2020 black swan and NOT like the other bear market bottoms? The weekly RSI is now at 43, and the pattern is confirming exactly that. During all four drawn-out bear market bottoms, we never briefly dipped below 40 …
via WSB Update of the post from Q2-2025 to account for full year In 2025, U.S. financial markets experienced repeated volatility driven by policy announcements from President Donald Trump. Approximately 150 announcements were issued throughout the year, spanning tariffs, trade measures, regulatory changes, and enforcement actions. The timing of these announcements by day of the …
Rep. Mike Levin @RepMikeLevin Right now, nine Supreme Court justices can shape your rights for decades without ever answering to the American people. That’s not balance. That’s not accountability, and that’s simply too much power for too long. That’s why I’m cosponsoring legislation to establish 18-year term limits for Supreme Court justices, with regular appointments …
🚨 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐦𝐩 𝐃𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐓𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐟𝐟 𝐇𝐢𝐤𝐞 𝐨𝐧 𝐅𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞, 𝐂𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐛𝐲 𝟏 𝐘𝐞𝐚𝐫 The delay postpones a scheduled increase from 25 percent to higher rates on upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets, and vanities. Read the article in the comment. pic.twitter.com/W1UD6OgQf4 — The Epoch Times (@EpochTimes) January 1, 2026 President Donald Trump has changed his mind on tariffs again …
BENGALURU, Dec 31 (Reuters) – Elon Musk’s brain implant company Neuralink will start “high-volume production” of brain-computer interface devices and move to an entirely automated surgical procedure in 2026, Musk said in a post on the social media platform X on Wednesday. Neuralink did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. The implant …
A bridge in India fell into the River Ganges for the second time in a year while it was still under-construction. This is literally the Mississippi of India. We would assume their best were working this project? Note* – No Foreign labor appears to have been involved in this… pic.twitter.com/vL7e5BamI5 — Chief_Engineer (@ChiefEngineerCE) December 30, …
Deputy Secretary Jim O’Neill @HHS_Jim We have frozen all child care payments to the state of Minnesota. You have probably read the serious allegations that the state of Minnesota has funneled millions of taxpayer dollars to fraudulent daycares across Minnesota over the past decade. Today we have taken three actions against the blatant fraud that …
CBS News’s Chief Washington Correspondent Major Garrett joined his colleagues in offering predictions for 2026 over the weekend and warned of a brewing battle within MAGA over the regulation and spread of artificial intelligence in the U.S. – noting that President Donald Trump has fully embraced AI while several major red states are starting to …
Santa rally turning into Santa chop — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 29, 2025 From @SubuTrade : pic.twitter.com/w6KfyMZwDf — Barchart (@Barchart) December 29, 2025 THE S&P500 7,000 MIRAGE Wall Street is not telling you this. The equity risk premium just inverted to negative 0.69 percent. Stocks are now mathematically expected to underperform risk free Treasuries. This has …
by Michael I think that nearly the entire population of the world would like to see peace in 2026, but global events just continue to drag us toward war. I honestly do not understand why more people are not upset about this. The drumbeats of war seem to get louder with each passing day, and we are …
THE TRUTH INSIDE VERITAS — Part 1 You wondered what happened inside PV. Here’s what happened. pic.twitter.com/6hIXybtCtX — James O'Keefe (@JamesOKeefeIII) December 23, 2025
https://twitter.com/luxcompute/status/2003852450772451782
When a country starts talking about demilitarized zones on its own soil, the leverage is already gone. Wars don’t end this way unless someone is running out of options. Ukraine’s president has floated a possible compromise to a key Russian demand that Kyiv give up territory in eastern Ukraine. Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s proposal could address one …
An American goes to the ER for high blood pressure. He’s there less than TWO hours. No surgery. No scans. The bill comes back at $41,297 — even AFTER he’s paid his FULL out-of-pocket max. This isn’t healthcare — it’s extortion. pic.twitter.com/8czWauKyG8 — MatrixMysteries (@MatrixMysteries) December 24, 2025
SINGAPORE/LONDON, Dec 24 (Reuters) – The U.S. dollar was on the back foot on Wednesday and set for its biggest yearly fall since 2017, possibly with more to come, as investors wagered the Federal Reserve would have room to cut rates further next year even as most of its peers look finished with easing. Tuesday’s …
The govt spent $7T last year and we didn't get this. Why should we believe that if we give govt $10T, $20T, or $100T, that anything will change? — Josh Steimle (@joshsteimle) December 23, 2025
Wall Street's S&P 500 Targets for 2026 🚨 Nobody is predicting a red year for stocks 🤯 pic.twitter.com/5LOfHmfI9y — Barchart (@Barchart) December 22, 2025 The stock market’s run has been historic: US households now own more equities than real estate as a percentage of their net worth, the 3rd such occurrence over the last 65 …
One of Kentucky’s largest bourbon producers apparently is pausing whiskey production at the end of the year. Jim Beam, which is one of the largest makers of American whiskey in the world, is planning to shut down production in Happy Hollow in Clermont on Jan. 1 through 2026. The visitors center on site will remain …
This is the nightmare scenario for Japan. Rates up, yen weaker, and the one lever they pulled just made it worse. Once the 10 year breaks levels like this, control turns into theater. There really is no clean exit left. 🚨 Japanese inflation is now above US inflation for the first time since 1979. pic.twitter.com/pACaUFHHfi …
The numbers finally crossed a line that people in Washington used to swear we would never cross, and now that we are here the reaction feels almost casual. The $38 trillion national debt to blame for over $1 trillion in annual interest payments America’s fiscal outlook continues to enter uncharted territory, with the Committee for …
by Michael Frustrated job seekers all over America just got more bad news. The unemployment rate just hit the highest level that we have seen in four years, and that is yet another indication that the labor market is getting even tighter. If you currently have a good job that you highly value, hold on …
“4 distressed office buildings in Los Angeles, California. Brookfield and its lenders (and receivers and special servicers) are peddling four active offerings that total about 4.9M SF of Class A office space in the Financial District, roughly 18% of the total inventory. EY Plaza: Colliers is marketing the $275M, non-preforming note tied to the property …
The RAM I bought a year ago is the fastest appreciating asset I have ever owned byu/Last_Jedi inwallstreetbets
If you’re still banking on access to your local branch, don’t count on it. Major US banks have announced plans to shut 311 branches since late August — a pre-Christmas wipeout that puts 2025 on track to be the worst year ever for walk-in banking. JPMorgan Chase led the pre-Christmas cull with 66 closures, followed …
Rob Reiner and his wife, Michele Singer Reiner, were killed by their son, Nick, according to multiple sources who have spoken with family members. Police have not yet confirmed the account. On Sunday, Dec. 14, at about 3:30 p.m., the Los Angeles Fire Department (LAFD) was called to a home to provide medical aid, the …
Was Friday the start of a bigger pullback for stocks?$VIX Term Structure fell below 0.79 on Thursday. Volatility was too low. This only happened 3 other times in the past 4 years. Each case was followed by at least a -10% correction for $SPX pic.twitter.com/vDxvJRwZLY — Subu Trade (@SubuTrade) December 14, 2025 JAN 2008. Markets …
Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh Brown University tuition is $70,000. Its endowment is $8 billion and just hit a new record. AND THEY DON’T HAVE A SINGLE SECURITY CAMERA THAT GOT A CLEAR VIEW OF THE SHOOTER IN THE BUILDING!!! You can afford it! BUY SOME. Brown University tuition is $70,000. Its endowment is $8 billion and …
Last quarter I rolled out Microsoft Copilot to 4,000 employees. $30 per seat per month. $1.4 million annually. I called it “digital transformation.” The board loved that phrase. They approved it in eleven minutes. No one asked what it would actually do. Including me. I told everyone it would “10x productivity.” That’s not a real …
All signs point to the first double bear market in one year since the 1930s. Unforeseen by basically everyone. The criminal element can't predict their own handiwork coming undone. pic.twitter.com/YwRGWd0Nyl — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 9, 2025 How far can this go? Investors are in "all-in mode", as NYSE available cash as a percentage of market …
Conference championship weekend delivered, and now we all wait for the final rankings from the College Football Playoff selection committee. One thing that won’t be up for grabs is which team will land at No. 1 in the final iteration of the rankings Sunday, as No. 2 Indiana pulled off an upset of No. 1 …