Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
There's been no sign that government spending is slowing. If anything it's growing. pic.twitter.com/y88N4uPh8T — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) May 6, 2025 Trump assured there won't be cuts to Medicare, Medicaid, or Social Security. He said the only government spending cuts he would not veto are for waste, fraud, and abuse, as nobody minds that. …
"Protect the Internet from bad things" – who even says that? — Wilson Law (@WilsonLaw) May 5, 2025
And now, it is showing up in the hard data. Credit card transactions began falling in a highly unseasonal manner in the last week of April. Spending slows down, layoffs speed up. It’s just that simple. pic.twitter.com/I7zBVDie5u — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) May 5, 2025 Bonds are setting up the ultimate catch-up trade. All the hard …
News 3 hours apart that are completely oppositeHow would China view Trump position? pic.twitter.com/2Gwxl1BAhD — David Lee (@DavidLe76335983) May 5, 2025 These aren’t things you do when you’re interested in making a trade deal https://t.co/bucU8ym5ET — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 5, 2025 Chinese companies still shipping into the US are relabeling their items as made …
Before you get too bullish, be aware that $SPX is facing liquidity headwinds pic.twitter.com/YOnBnVeBRU — Cam Hui, CFA (@HumbleStudent) May 4, 2025 Keeping a close eye on volatility on Monday. Both $VIX futures and 3 month VIX futures broke the 50 day moving average on Friday. If volatility finishes the day flat that's a huge …
President Trump’s tariffs became very real for importers last month as the government collected more than $17.4 billion in “Customs and Certain Excise Taxes” during April. That was nearly double March’s haul of $9.6 billion, dwarfing the smaller spikes in revenue seen during Trump’s first term. All told, the duties have deposited more than $70 …
JNK vs. SPXEarly warning sign that the market rebound has peaked pic.twitter.com/LCtMWAtdE4 — The Maverick of Wall Street (@TheMaverickWS) May 2, 2025 Something is broken that the S&P 500 can rally 90 bps on 19k contracts. Its a fk'n joke pic.twitter.com/9d4gcjdzWt — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) May 2, 2025 Liquidity in the S&P 500 futures …
by Michael 2025 is going to be largely defined by whether there is a major war with Iran or not. If a verifiable deal with Iran can be reached that prevents Iran from producing nuclear weapons, I will applaud the Trump administration for pulling off the diplomatic coup of the century. But if negotiations fail, it …
Chinese factories are getting wiped out in the trade war. Containers are down by half. Factories are laying off half their workers or shutting down. One local analyst calls it "way bigger” than Covid-19. China needs a deal. pic.twitter.com/C93kukiUmy — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) May 1, 2025 Layoffs at Chinese factories and trucking companies …
3 weeks ago Jordan Peterson accurately predicted that a Mark Carney win was exactly what Trump wanted. He also said it would lead to the destruction of Canada 🇨🇦 https://t.co/oLbpMjI5ng pic.twitter.com/1P7yCbxU31 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) May 1, 2025 Canada will break in 3 parts:– West Canada– French Canada– Woke & Broke CanadaIt’s already set in motion… …
Leaked audio of new Canadian PM Mark Carney admitting that the Net Zero agenda is about making "a lot of money", not "saving the planet". "We're gonna make a lot of money off of this." pic.twitter.com/mIky2S0iuV — Wide Awake Media (@wideawake_media) May 1, 2025 Its all about the money has been from day zero. The …
There’s something happening right now that every single American needs to know about.A silent revolution.One that isn’t being talked about enough on the news.And it’s not a theory. It’s already underway. You may think you’re safe. That your job, your income, your future—are secure. But buried beneath all the headlines about inflation, debt, and the …
by Michael Experts are telling us that the supply chain disruptions that we are facing are likely to be more severe than anything that we witnessed during the last pandemic. Anyone that believes that we can easily replace 438 billion dollars of imports from China is just being delusional. There are thousands of products that are made in …
That's the week. Bulls just bought the right shoulder of a head and shoulder top that is equally overbought now as it was on the left shoulder. The "E" stands for Tech earnings. Have a great weekend everyone. pic.twitter.com/PfRP5cq92h — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 25, 2025 Just a few days to go in the month. This …
A NEW ERA IN CALIFORNIA: Now that Prop. 36 passed, police have started to arrest and jail all shoplifters regardless of how much they stole. pic.twitter.com/wXIA6t60oF — Carter Hughes (@itscarterhughes) April 24, 2025 Shoplifters actually threaten to call police after store won't let them steal. Emboldened pic.twitter.com/LbprfABxcg — TaraBull (@TaraBull) April 24, 2025
And rates marginally lower over that 4 week period! I was promised an apocalypse! pic.twitter.com/LI9S16eHje — Glen Evans (@Glen_Evans_01) April 25, 2025
After a customer did not tip on a $20 check . The angry owner of table to stix ramen follows him for 8 blocks, hurling insults and threats along the way.
Bulls refuse to capitulate, which makes this a very dangerous market. The volume oscillator has been a very accurate indicator for when a rally can be bought for more than just a few days. pic.twitter.com/nUQo9Efvc8 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 24, 2025 Trump was just caught in another market manipulating lie. Yesterday stocks were bid on …
The world has changed in unimaginable ways from the time the oldest baby boomers were born in the late 1940s to the 21st-century birth dates of Gen Z. From the end of the Cold War and 9/11 to the advent of the internet and social media, the fast-changing last few decades have undoubtedly left unique …
by Michael If you are going to need anything made in China, I would buy it now while you still can. Many companies have already decided that it no longer makes any economic sense to import Chinese-made products into the United States because tariff rates are so high. As a result, there are certain things …
40% of the people that took out loans are not paying. The loans are over $1.5 Trillion. Major problem. — floridanow1 (@floridanow1) April 22, 2025 governments and taxes should DEFINITELY help students repay their loans! — Chris ⛈️ (@ChrisTradeCryp) April 23, 2025
by Michael Consumer sentiment is plummeting, delinquency rates are rising, and nearly three-quarters of all U.S. consumers admit that they are “financially stressed”. If U.S. consumers are experiencing this much pain now, what will things look like six months from today if there are empty shelves and widespread shortages? We witnessed a brief period of severe financial …
BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trump now has said that tariffs on China will come down and he won't play hardball. pic.twitter.com/HcOARJUsJh — Megatron (@Megatron_ron) April 22, 2025 BREAKING: President Trump says tariffs on China won’t be as high as 145% and “will come down substantially, but won’t be zero.” — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 22, 2025 …
by Michael The death of Pope Francis has created a firestorm of speculation about the next pope. There is no clear frontrunner, and all sorts of names are being thrown around. Many liberal Catholics are hoping for another liberal pope that will be able to continue the legacy of Francis, while many conservative Catholics are desperate …
It’s not a good thing that housing, education, and healthcare are sold at inflated prices. Comparing mortgage rates and healthcare costs to income in the U.S. in the past and doing the same comparison with other countries today, shows a troubling trend. Financial services are often pointless, like insurance for overpriced homes or cars or …
Wait so an elected Government official is telling foreign countries to go against the President?? Sounds treasonous. pic.twitter.com/hj2AcDil5a — Libs of TikTok (@libsoftiktok) April 21, 2025 Rep. Jamie Raskin threatened foreign leaders who “facilitated authoritarianism in our country” by currying favor with President Trump on issues like deportation — saying that Democrats will not “look …
BREAKING: China says 'firmly opposes' trade deals that harm its interests – AFP — Insider Paper (@TheInsiderPaper) April 21, 2025 🇨🇳🇺🇸CHINA COMMERCE MINISTRY: CHINA RESPECTS ALL PARTIES TO RESOLVE THEIR ECONOMIC AND TRADE DIFFERENCES WITH THE UNITED STATES THROUGH CONSULTATIONS ON AN EQUAL FOOTING. FIRMLY OPPOSED TO ANY PARTY STRIKING A DEAL AT THE EXPENSE OF …
4 states move to ban food stamp recipients from buying candy & soda, a goal of HHS Sec. Sec. RFK Jr. Instead, some hot foods like rotisserie chicken would be eligible to buy. Local food bank President says doing so would "take food out of their mouths" because poor people… pic.twitter.com/wTIbl1Cgqh — Breaking911 (@Breaking911) April …
The last trip to Fort Knox that showed the gold was over 50 years ago. Rumors have been swirling for years that they shipped all the gold out of Fort Knox. Hopefully will find out soon. President Donald Trump plans to travel to Fort Knox, Kentucky, to ensure that the stockpile of gold that …
by Michael Absolutely enormous things are happening all over the globe, but you aren’t hearing a lot about many of them. That is because the mainstream media chooses to focus on stories that advance the specific narratives that they are currently pushing. For example, virtually everyone knows who Kilmar Abrego Garcia is at this point, because …