Spending slows down, layoffs speed up. Bonds are setting up the ultimate catch-up trade. All the hard data that feeds bonds is looking great (oil prices, housing data, growth data).

And now, it is showing up in the hard data.

Credit card transactions began falling in a highly unseasonal manner in the last week of April.

Spending slows down, layoffs speed up.

It’s just that simple. pic.twitter.com/I7zBVDie5u

— Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) May 5, 2025

Bonds are setting up the ultimate catch-up trade. All the hard data that feeds bonds is looking great (oil prices, housing data, growth data).$TLT https://t.co/d91XI1VTLA

— Fibonacci Investing⚡️ (@FibonacciInves1) May 5, 2025