risk.

Rising bond yields despite falling inflation and macro momentum signals worst-case scenario. Many investors lack recession experience, leading to a warped understanding of risk.

It cannot also just be weird flows in thin markets currently. But I dislike when bond yields trade UP, when macro surprises are clearly SOFT — Andreas Steno Larsen (@AndreasSteno) December 23, 2024 Excellent read. Too many investors today have never lived through hard times or a recession thus their understanding of “risk” is completely …

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Mortgage-yield spread signals rising consumer risk, hinting at economic downturn pressures. 30 year average US mortgage rates are above 7% again! Dow Jones 1929 vs 2024 update

My take is that 30yr mortgage is in a pause before heading higher. — Alistair (@kiwiangloameric) December 21, 2024 BREAKING: 30 year average US mortgage rates are above 7% again, per Mortgage News Daily. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) December 21, 2024 $500 billion for 5 days? 🤨 https://t.co/RkcFxJ0OGq pic.twitter.com/NXfcFpSr3f — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) December 21, 2024 Extremely …

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S&P 500 price to book basically at 2000 levels. A double Black Swan event in manic risk seeking.

After the election I said that we had never seen Momo Tech 3 std deviations above the 200 dma. Then it pulled back briefly and now has exploded higher again. Back to record overbought for the second time. A double Black Swan event in manic risk seeking. pic.twitter.com/HRYpf6WGAv — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 4, 2024 https://twitter.com/MichaelMOTTCM/status/1864453725890175343 …

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Prosecutors Highlight ‘Risk of Obstruction’ if P Diddler Diddy Gets Bail Before Trial: ‘An Out-of-Control Individual’ $50 mill

NEW YORK (AP) — Sean “Diddy” Combs ‘ lawyers tried for a third time Friday to persuade a judge to let the hip-hop mogul out of jail while he awaits his sex trafficking trial, but a decision won’t come until next week as prosecutors warned of his “concerted effort” from behind bars to disrupt the …

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Cat ownership doubles schizophrenia risk, particularly if exposure occurs in childhood.

A startling new meta-analysis reveals a troubling connection between childhood cat ownership and an increased risk of developing schizophrenia-related disorders. According to the analysis of 17 studies spanning 11 countries, individuals who grew up with a cat are 2.24 times more likely to face these serious mental health challenges. The research highlights that the risk …

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Nearly 700 frozen waffle products recalled nationwide from major retailers due to Listeria risk.

TreeHouse Foods has issued a voluntary recall for nearly 700 frozen waffle products due to potential Listeria contamination. The recall involves products sold under various brands, including Kodiak and Good & Gather, and was initiated to prevent possible infection, especially among vulnerable populations such as the elderly, pregnant women, and those with weakened immune systems. …

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The real “risk” of a Trump presidency

The real "risk" of a Trump presidency: • Ukraine war ends • Border Wall Built • Mass Deportations • Inflation Drops • Cut Federal Employees • DEI eliminated • Make America Great Again Sign me up. — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) October 15, 2024 https://x.com/Bubblebathgirl/status/1845464933888061724 https://x.com/Bubblebathgirl/status/1845464933888061724 As we wrap up another intense election cycle, it’s …

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Mind-blowing and terrifying: if the market is blindly shorting volatility, a true ‘risk event’ could dwarf 2018’s Volmageddon.

So after the latest data release from the #BOJ balance sheet we now know central banks stepped in heavy to suppress volatility… isn’t this kicking the can down the road making the problem bigger and bigger? asking for a friend… https://t.co/Ey5RWZIkcZ — JustDario 🏊‍♂️ (@DarioCpx) September 3, 2024 Here you go sir https://t.co/9EK7NCI1um — JustDario …

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“High inflation Is Not The Only Risk” – Fed Chair Powell

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell told lawmakers on Tuesday that a weakening labor market is just as much a risk to the economy as high inflation. Why it matters: In recent months, Fed officials have said they want to see more economic data that confirms inflation is receding before lowering interest rates. But Powell acknowledges that waiting too long to …

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Local Community Banks at Risk: National Trend Sees Credit Unions Buying Out Tax-Paying Banks

Credit unions are run under NCUA guidelines while banks are FDIC. NCUA has stricter standards and are not for profit. Sounds like someone is upset they cant get their fingers in the money train. “The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA), led by President and CEO Rebeca Romero Rainey, has expressed concerns about the recent …

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Fear-mongering: Bird Flu expands to multiple cow herds across US. Humans at major risk: scientists warn 100X worse than Covid, 50% fatality rate!

Here we go again: BREAKING: Bird flu has infected a dairy herd in Ohio for the first time and was detected in additional herds in Kansas and New Mexico, according to the U.S. government, expanding an outbreak in cows that has raised concerns about possible risks to humans. – Reuters pic.twitter.com/WnoOo4Yy8F — Insider Paper (@TheInsiderPaper) …

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Ukraine faces an impending energy crisis as thermal power plants and dams are dismantled. Military and logistic infrastructure at risk.

“Ukraine is heading towards a truly definitive energy crisis. In the east and west, thermal power plants are being liquidated one after another by completely demolishing the main turbine and generator sections. Dams also began to collapse from south to north. It is expected that all dams and thermal power plants will be decommissioned in …

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Bitcoin’s 90% correlation with Nvidia signals a $4 trillion financial risk, fueled by rampant artificial intelligence.

The fusion of the stock market with the crypto market is now complete. Bitcoin is 90% correlated with Nvidia. It's a $4 trillion financial weapon of mass destruction. Sponsored by artificial intelligence. Which is now rampant. And also in computers. pic.twitter.com/X3bjYwkzVI — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) February 28, 2024 Bulls, these central bank rigged markets will always …

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Nvidia is now a national security risk?

by slayez06 With a market cap of 1.7 T nvidia has put itself in an unusual position. It has about 50 buildings world wide and outsourced it manufacturing. TSMC and the Chinese produce the physical chips. Thing is, if something was to happen to a manufacturing plant, natural or terroristic because the supply chain and …

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SOFR surge signals funding pressure; less cash, dealer inventories, and repo demand risk Fed reassessment and early QT end.

by Chris Black Last Friday the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), a repo rate serving as the Fed’s new target reference rate , jumped 6 basis points (6 bps, 0.06) to above the Fed’s target range. SOFR measures (https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/reference-rates/sofr) the median cost of Treasury repo borrowing. The jump not only caught most people off guard, …

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FBI Director Says Israel War Increases Risk of Terrorism in America

by Chris Black Yeah, well. Thanks for that, Captain Obvious. NEW: FBI Director Christopher Wray suggests that Hamas may launch terror attacks on American soil as their war with Israel intensifies. Gee, if only someone tried securing the border a few years ago. The comment from Wray comes as a source confirmed to Breitbart that …

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Incredibly resilient market! They will suck in everyone until the implosion…. Gamblers have been conditioned by bailout to ignore risk.

In the last 24 hours: – Mortgage rates hit +8.09%– Credit card interest rate hits record high– Car loan interest rate hits highest since 2001– Oil prices jump highest in 6 months– China planning +$137 billion stimulus– War continues on in Israel But guess what? Stocks are… — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) October 10, 2023 …

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T-bills are paying 5.5% risk free, meanwhile, stocks are yielding 1.5% with end of cycle risk.

T-bills are paying 5.5% risk free, meanwhile, stocks are yielding 1.5% with end of cycle risk. Let's draw a picture to help bulls understand: pic.twitter.com/aqDLJiOEl2 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) October 4, 2023 Yield Curve flattening – after inversions – is textbook #recession behavior. Today seems no exception! pic.twitter.com/NRGLvqBgWr — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) October 5, 2023

CNN: “Scholars warn outdated constitution has put democracy at risk”

https://twitter.com/a_newsman/status/1703159850128003406?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw The few remaining viewers of CNN got a remarkable dose of news on Saturday. Just in time for Constitution Day, CNN’s dwindling audience learned that the Constitution of the United States — the oldest written government charter in the world and the document that gave birth to the nation that has spread democracy around …

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Pre-FOMC silent period with 96% chance of July rate hike, peak earnings, and lowest liquidity. This impending global asset meltdown and attendant bailout failure is now at level ’11’ biblical risk.

That's the week. We have now entered the pre-FOMC silent period. 96% probability of July rate hike. Peak earnings. Lowest liquidity period of the entire year. Nothing can go wrong now. pic.twitter.com/TEXdXB3q2w — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 14, 2023 Anyone who buys this chasmic gap between the wealthy and everyone else deserves what's coming. This impending …

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