predict
Mark Spitznagel warns of an 80 percent stock collapse and analyst predict a 50 percent housing crash next year
Spitznagel told Reuters (1) in an interview that he expects “an 80% crash” but also noted that he believes it will only happen “after a massive, euphoric, historic blow off rally.” While the stock market might be headed for an unstable future, he believes that a 20% gain for the S&P 500 index is possible …
Trade price, not news, to avoid costly mistakes; React, don’t predict to stay aligned with the market
Profit doesn’t come in flashes or fireworks. It’s earned quietly, steadily, and methodically. If you want to step up your trading game, the smart money still flows through the major indices, commodities, and bonds. These markets move with clarity and liquidity, unlike the noise-driven chaos you see in individual stocks or hyped headlines. Forget the …
96% of American toy companies are small and medium-sized. 45% to 46% predict they’ll go out of business in weeks or months due to Trump tariffs
The Toy Association provided insight into the effects of tariffs on the industry through a survey that asked more than 400 member companies to assess the potential business impact of the 145% tariffs on Chinese toy imports. The report revealed that 96% of American toy companies are small and medium-sized and that 45% to 46% …
Housing cycle worse than 2008 with speculation, fraud, and government intervention delaying collapse. Real estate cycle nearing its peak, experts predict 2025Q4 price top
Why this housing cycle is worse than 2008: 1. More speculation 2. More fraud 3. More unaffordable 4. MUCH worse demographics 5. Structural inflation Reason its delayed: 1. Government keeping MILLIONS of homes off the market using taxpayer dollars. — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) April 19, 2025 https://twitter.com/PhilipSoos/status/1913804783745683479 This is exactly how the 2008 Financial Crisis …
UNITED AIRLINES: Company’s outlook is dependent on the macro environment which the Company believes is impossible to predict this year.
I’ve never seen anything like this before. The current economy is so unpredictable that United is providing guidance under two different economic scenarios: One if the economy enters a recession, and one if it doesn’t. Investor Update1 Issue Date: April 15, 2025 This Investor Update provides guidance and certain other forward-looking statements about United Airlines …
UK government uses AI to predict future criminals, tracks citizens’ personal data
The UK government has begun using AI to forecast potential future murderers. Minority Report is here. pic.twitter.com/2yXsUXS5pj — Ian Miles Cheong (@ianmiles) April 9, 2025 The UK government has taken a dangerous leap toward a future where privacy means nothing. The Ministry of Justice has launched a project that sounds ripped from a dystopian novel: …
Predict what Jerome Powell says today using just 1 word
Predict what Jerome Powell says today using just 1 word pic.twitter.com/xD22waWLUR — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) January 29, 2025
Models predict a rare snowstorm with worsening cold, as winter storm warnings spread.
Update on the winter storm that is impacting the country. Warnings are expanding as active weather continues.
China’s bond yields fall below Japan’s as investors predict deflationary struggles ahead. Beijing’s strategy mirrors Japan’s past approach
2/7The FT continues: "Beijing has long fought against the “Japanification” of its economy, and has made huge investments in its high-tech, green and electric vehicle sectors with the goal of boosting long-term growth." What isn't said is that this was also Japan's strategy. — Michael Pettis (@michaelxpettis) November 29, 2024 4/7At the time Japan dominated …
Did The US Treasury Yield Curve Predict Trump’s Victory? Mortgage Rates Rising With Rising 10Y Treasury Yield
by confoundedinterest17 Put it where you want it. Trump that is! The US Treasury yield curve (10Y-2Y CMT) went negative on April 1, 2024. And remains positive. The US Treasury 10Y-2Y CMT (constant maturity Treasury) peaked locally on March 29, 2024 and then fell, eventually turning negative on April 1, 2024. And remained negative until August …
John Yoo — I predict Judge Merchan will throw out the verdict against Trump.
Former Deputy Assistant Attorney General John Yoo reacts to the delay of former President Trump’s N.Y. sentencing on ‘Your World.’ #foxnews
What If All the Conventional Models Fail to Predict What Happens Next?
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, The ‘novel, apocalyptic situation which has now arisen’ goes largely unrecognized. A truly staggering quantity of content is aimed at predicting what happens next, a.k.a. the future, and justifies their prediction by referencing models that are presented as rock-solid predictive tools. The majority of these models are based on historical …
Trump leads with a margin of 59-39 on the Polymarkets betting site, while on the Predict betting site, his lead stands at 52-49.
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1722185274515 https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456
Biden leads Trump 49-46 on Predict Bookie Site; Trump still leads Biden 45-43 in aggregated betting odds from 4 sites.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election https://electionbettingodds.com/ Biden back to 45 percent approval on Rasmussen. https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/biden_approval_index_history
Despite strong market performance, futures predict 5 rate cuts; implying hidden concerns…
Welcome to the market rollercoaster, where optimism is the name of the game. Investors are reveling in the highs – 75% are singing praises, 20% are keeping a level head, and 5% are eyeing the potential pitfalls. Now, here’s the plot twist: experts are buzzing about not one, not two, but five rate cuts on …
Biden leads Trump 48-45 on Predict Bookie Site.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
The Gathering Storm: 91% of Fund Managers Predict Falling Rates, Echoes of Past Crises
A sense of foreboding emerges as 91% of fund managers unite in the belief that interest rates are destined to fall. This unnervingly high consensus has historically preceded major market downturns, reminiscent of the Dotcom bear market in 2000-2001, the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, and the Covid panic in 2020. Adding to the apprehension, …
“Central bankers don’t like to predict storms because everyone knows that if they say a storm is coming, then it’s probably going to be a hurricane…”
Yes, this is pretty bad and unsustainable…CBO:Federal Debt Held by the PublicPercentage of GDP pic.twitter.com/2v1YjHLUKX — David Sommers (@dgsommersmkts) October 19, 2023 “Central bankers don’t like to predict storms because everyone knows that if they say a storm is coming, then it’s probably going to be a hurricane…” Inside Job — Nikolay Kolarov, CFA (@libertniko) …
The same guy who failed to predict inflation surge now predict no recession
pic.twitter.com/oGs5JsTJ3M — StockCats (@RealStockCats) July 26, 2023 2-years ago… Powell predicted inflation will be "transitory" pic.twitter.com/ipmIKCwu8Y — StockCats (@RealStockCats) July 26, 2023 *FED CANCELS RECESSION FORECAST – POWELL pic.twitter.com/3xmb6ceNFd — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) July 26, 2023
Kyiv, Moscow predict Zaporizhia nuclear plant accident within 24-48 hours.
False flag attack on nuclear power plant tonight? pic.twitter.com/XAJr8JszQF — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) July 4, 2023 Tonight authorities in Kyiv and Moscow say an accident will occur at the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant within 24-48 hours. — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) July 4, 2023 Zelensky tweets imminent threat at Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant!! Asks for immediate …
Bond managers predict a “nasty” recession, advising hedging risk assets.
Bond Investors Say a “Nasty” Recession in the U.S. Is Inevitable According to some of the world’s biggest bond managers from Fidelity International to Allianz Global Investors, the United States is heading for a recession. They’re sticking to their forecasts for a downturn that is “inevitable” and advise hedging any bets on risk assets. “Something …