Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
How to turn a $39,000 Kia into a $57,806 car with a 17% car loan interest rate. This was originally posted on Reddit on March 31st as an Arizona car ($5,000 undercoating lol) It was later picked up by some rando X account claiming it was their first car. pic.twitter.com/JhjWTboekv — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) April …
Gas prices in the US have moved up to $3.72/gallon, their highest level since October 2023. The 27% spike over the last month ($2.93/gallon to $3.72/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years. pic.twitter.com/C3HrTiRnH5 — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) March 16, 2026
There are widespread reports on Iran allowing "any country aside from the US and Israel" to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. If this is true, China and India alone will be able to restore nearly 7 million barrels of oil supply PER DAY. In other words, ~39% of the 18 million… — The Kobeissi …
Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq cut oil out by 6.7 million barrels per day. That’s roughly 33% of their combined output and about 6% of global oil production. The reason is simple: They’re running out of storage. With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed, Gulf producers are struggling to ship oil to global markets. …
Green by morning? https://t.co/NqrxcHn0Iw — Acres and Ounces (@RetirementRight) March 8, 2026 The Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 should fully recover their pre-market losses by tomorrow’s close, or by the close of the following day. — The Macro Pulse (@TheMacroPulse) March 8, 2026 Watching Oil futures like all of us. He won’t be able …
The world is facing a massive surge in prices, and the latest developments suggest that inflation is entering a far more dangerous phase than most people realize. Venezuela’s inflation exploded to 475 percent in 2025, the highest in the world last year. Food costs soared 532 percent, rent jumped 340 percent, and healthcare expenses skyrocketed …
The percentage of unemployed Americans with four-year college degrees hit a record in January, at 36.6% of those 25 and older. (Bloomberg News reported in November that those with college degrees “now comprise a record 25% of total unemployment,” which was correct—and in January this measure hit 27%—but involved dividing unemployed workers 25 or older …
“The Congressional Budget Office says to be prepared for Social Security check payments to be reduced in 6 years due to low funds “It’ll be an immediate 7% payment cut in 2032, and then an average 28% benefit drop from 2033 onward” You pay in your whole life and the government spends it and then …
NEW from Reuters/Ipsos: 🚨Trump's disapproval hits 60% 🚨Trump's immigration approval hits -17%, a second-term LOW 🚨The poll shows support for Trump's handling of immigration has fallen significantly AMONG MEN in recent weeks 🚨Trump's economic approval falls to -23% pic.twitter.com/dZIlx0IB4p — CJ Warnke (@cjwarnke) February 17, 2026 Summary Trump’s immigration approval falls to lowest since return …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, Let’s compare Trump’s claim to actual trade numbers. US Balance of Trade Goods Only Through November 2025 Key Trade Deficit Points Last year, the goods trade deficit $1.205 trillion. Through November, the trade deficit is $1.134 trillion. There will be no significant change in the trade deficit in 2025 …
by Michael I feel quite exasperated right now. Everyone knows that the economic numbers that federal bureaucrats in Washington are feeding us each month are fraudulent. It has been that way for a very long time. The employment numbers are a perfect example of this. Every month they give us a headline number that looks …
10Y moving higher in hot patch of economic data this morning pic.twitter.com/aaJ7AJh615 — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) February 2, 2026 US ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.6% vs 48.5% expected. The US economy has entered the expansion phase. — Ted (@TedPillows) February 2, 2026 Do not confuse the increase in shipping rates as being bullish …
Pres. Trump’s disapproval rating has reached 55%. That's up from 43% when he was inaugurated on January 20th, 2025. TRUMP’S TARIFFS, CONTINUED INFLATION, & GREENLAND ADVENTURISM ARE GOING OVER LIKE A LEAD BALLOON.https://t.co/0NLAH6U7L0 pic.twitter.com/jQ9cOCpikN — Steve Hanke (@steve_hanke) January 25, 2026 Ken Griffin: 'Unfortunately, the most recent research indicates the tax been borne by both …
ABSOLUTE CINEMA 😳 Trump threatens 200% tariffs on French wine and champagne after Paris signals it may decline his invitation to join his proposed “Board of Peace.” Trump also shared on Truth Social a private message he received from President Macron regarding Greenland. pic.twitter.com/i8MSN28DwW — Sharp Sighter (@SharpSighter) January 20, 2026 Donald Trump threatened to …
Surprised this number wasn't higher given the tariff situation https://t.co/Ybh5xQKv9I — Eric @ Drive Protected ™ (@Drive_Protected) January 14, 2026 Elon promised a revolution. Canadians found a discount. China 🇨🇳 🤝 Canada 🇨🇦 TRADE DEAL – The bilateral trade deal where Canada reduces its 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles to zero, in exchange for …
Perhaps just one way of fascilitating payoffs. Much like the ol’ “book deals” of decades past. — Bruce (@Doomsday10tac2) January 13, 2026 Former New York City Mayor Eric Adams is facing a lot of heat today after his high-profile launch of a new cryptocurrency, dubbed the NYC Token, crashed within hours of launching. Adams launched …
Pretending valuations don’t warn of risk is willful ignorance. Ladies and gentlemens, we have now surpassed the S&P 500 price-to-book value of the dot-com bubble by a factor of 1.13 times or 13%. This not good.This very bad God bless and godspeed. pic.twitter.com/PnZugz0tgh — The Great Martis (@great_martis) January 12, 2026 The percentage of S&P …
by Michael The headline of this article is not a misprint. The reason why “affordability” has become the number one issue for U.S. voters is because most of the population is being absolutely crushed by the rising cost of living. Just look at how much you are paying for electricity compared to five years ago. …
Fox News’ Marie Harf and Kaylee McGhee White brawled over President Donald Trump’s continued efforts to deport illegal immigrants on Monday’s edition of Outnumbered. After playing a clip of Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass (D) decrying the fact that many new Border Patrol recruits are Hispanic, host Tomi Lahren prompted Harf, a former Obama administration …
by confoundedinterest Nobody wastes money like government, particularly around events like Covid where Federal spending led to housing prices spiking after Covid outbreak in 2020. This made housing unaffordable for most households. This in turn helped kill the mortgage market. Mortgage applications decreased 3.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage …
A significant number of stillbirths are happening in pregnancies the medical system labels as safe and at a higher rate in the U.S. than previously reported, according to a new study led by researchers at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health and Mass General Brigham. The study… https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-abstract/2840578 A Harvard summary https://hsph.harvard.edu/news/stillbirths-in-the-u-s-higher-than-previously-reported-often-occur-with-no-clinical-risk-factors/ h/t A …
The proportion of Republicans who say they identify more with the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement than the traditional Republican Party has declined, a new poll has shown. According to polling by NBC News, the proportion of self-identified Republicans who identify with MAGA, a political movement associated with President Donald Trump, has dropped by …
SANTIAGO, Chile —Chile has taken a decisive turn to the right after José Antonio Kast, a hardline conservative, won the country’s presidential runoff, following a campaign dominated by fears over crime, migration and economic uncertainty. With over 99% of ballots counted, Kast, the leader of the Republican Party, secured over 58% of the vote. His …
🚨NEWS: America's biggest meat processors have allegedly used a secretive data company to collude to hike food prices & suppress wages, according to lawsuit documents reviewed by The Lever. Ground beef prices have increased by over 400% as meat-industry wages have stagnated. pic.twitter.com/rlfJSL6GJP — David Sirota (@davidsirota) December 11, 2025 According to private and federal …
Ladies and Gentlemens, the Shiller PE just hit its highest level in 25 years. The second most overvalued market in history. Back then rates were rising; now we're cutting. LOL Guess what happens next. pic.twitter.com/4LyzObR7Ca — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 10, 2025 Just In: The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates 25bps (as expected) to …
Tarconish sees the growing number of students receiving accommodations as evidence that the system is working. Ella Callow, the assistant vice chancellor of disability rights at Berkeley, had a similar perspective. “I don’t think of it as a downside, no matter how many students with disabilities show up,” she told me. “Disabled people still are …
by Michael It is getting very hard to deny that the U.S. economy is moving in the wrong direction. Yesterday, ADP reported that the U.S. economy shed tens of thousands of jobs last month. Today, Challenger, Gray & Christmas is reporting that U.S. employers announced a grand total of 1.17 million job cuts through the first 11 …
The Legacy Media’s NEGATIVE Coverage: Rahmanullah Lakanwal: 85% RFK Jr: 94% JD Vance: 88% Elon Musk: 96% Kash Patel: 97% Kristi Noem: 87% Tulsi Gabbard: 98% Pete Hegseth: 100% President Trump: 92% So telling… The Legacy Media is the enemy of the people. The Legacy Media’s NEGATIVE Coverage: Rahmanullah Lakanwal: 85% RFK Jr: 94%JD Vance: …
Silver is experiencing a moment of profound significance, with major implications for the history of hard money, fiat currency debasement, and — most critically — inflation. We’re seeing one of the most volatile monetary assets approach a breakout above its previous highs, potentially setting the stage for a historic move. This is what explosive price …
